Nicolas Mejia and Milos Karol will clash against each other in the quarter of the Istanbul Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on HILTON COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Mejia who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Nicolas Mejia is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Mejia -> 1.56
Milos Karol -> 2.31

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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Mejia vs. Milos Karol

There is no head to head record between Nicolas Mejia and Milos Karol since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Nicolas Mejia

Ranked no. 246, Nicolas reached the quarter after beating Ilya Ivashka 6-2 2-1 ret. and Marek Gengel 7-6(8) 3-6 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, The Colombian defeated Gengel (7-6⁸ 3-6 6-2). During the match, Mejia scored 104 points vs Gengel’s 91. The Colombian was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Mejia made 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Nicolas Mejia lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Mejia put 53% of his first serves in, winning 66% (31/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (24/42) on the 2nd serve. Nicolas broke Gengel 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Mejia has positive record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (235-202). 16-16 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Mejia has an overall 99-90 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Savannah Challenger where he defeated Liam Draxl in the final 2-6 6-2 7-6(3).

Mejia has an aggregate 28-23 win-loss record in 2025, 16-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Istanbul Challenger

Mejia has never competed in this tournament before.

Milos Karol

Ranked no. 357 (career-high), Karol got to the quarter after beating Michal Krajci 6-3 6-2 and Lukas Klein 6-7(6) 6-2 7-5.

In the 2^nd round against Klein, Milos recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7⁶ 6-2 7-5). During the match Karol scored 115 points vs Klein’s 107. Milos was pretty aggressive to blast 51 winners.

About the serving games, Karol managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Milos Karol was exceptionally effective on serve to win 77% (51/66) of his 1st serve and 51% (24/47) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Milos broke Klein 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Milos has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

The Slovakian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in M15 Warmbad Villach.

Milos has an aggregate 26-21 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Mejia	Karol
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	6	5
Tot Games	41	50
Pts	145-117	182-156
Total Points	262	338
Winners	47	80
%Winners	32%	44%

Both Mejia and Karol played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Nicolas Mejia dropped 1 set, while Milos Karol surrendered 1 set. Mejia has played 1 set more than Karol (6 vs 5). However, it’s interesting to notice that Mejia played 9 games less than Karol. The Colombian scored 47 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Karol made 80 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Mejia	Karol
Aces	10	25
Avg per match	5	12.5
1st in	69/117	98/167
%1st in	59%	59%
1st pts	47/69	80/98
%1st pts	68%	82%
2nd pts	29/48	35/69
%2nd pts	60%	51%

Mejia struck 10 aces (5 per match). Karol made 25 aces (12.5 per match). Mejia won 68% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Karol won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Mejia	Karol
Won	8	7
Converted	8/17	7/14
% Converted	47%	50%
Conceded	9	10
Saved	5	9
% Saved	56%	90%
Times Broken	4	1

Mejia broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Colombian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Milos broke his opponents 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. Milos conceded his serve once and he saved 90% of the break points that he conceded.

Mejia
	R1 Ivashka	R2 Gengel	Total
Score	6-2 2-1 ret.	7-68 3-6 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	11	30	41
pts	41-26	104-91	145-117
Total points	67	195	262
Winners	16	31	47
%Winners	39%	30%	32%
SERVE
Aces	1	9	10
Double Faults	0	3	3
1st in	22/28	47/89	69/117
% 1st in	79%	53%	59%
1st pts	16/22	31/47	47/69
% 1st pts	73%	66%	68%
2nd pts	5/6	24/42	29/48
% 2nd pts	83%	57%	60%
Breaks
Won	3	5	8
Converted	3/4	5/13	8/17
Converted %	75%	38%	47%
Conceded	2	7	9
Saved	2/2	3/7	5
Saved %	100%	43%	72%
Times Broken	0	4	4

Karol
	R1 Krajci	R2 Klein	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	6-76 6-2 7-5
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	17	33	50
pts	67-49	115-107	182-156
Total points	116	222	338
Winners	29	51	80
%Winners	43%	44%	44%
SERVE
Aces	16	9	25
Double Faults	3	5	8
1st in	32/54	66/113	98/167
% 1st in	59%	58%	59%
1st pts	29/32	51/66	80/98
% 1st pts	91%	77%	82%
2nd pts	11/22	24/47	35/69
% 2nd pts	50%	51%	51%
Breaks
Won	3	4	7
Converted	3/8	4/6	7/14
Converted %	38%	67%	50%
Conceded	2	8	10
Saved	2/2	7/8	9
Saved %	100%	88%	94%
Times Broken	0	1	1

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