Dusan Lajovic and Pablo Carreno-Busta will face off in the quarter of the Seville Challenger for the 9^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 7:00 pm on CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.77
Dusan Lajovic -> 1.96

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Prediction and head to head Dusan Lajovic vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta

This will be the 9^th time that Dusan Lajovic and Pablo Carreno-Busta fight against each other. The head to head is 5-3 for Carreno-Busta (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Lajovic won 3-6 6-4 ret.

in the 1^st round in at the Wimbledon back in 2022.

Dusan Lajovic

Ranked no. 128, the Serbian got to the quarter after defeating Elias Ymer 7-6(4) 6-7(2) 6-1 and Frederico Ferreira Silva 6-4 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, The Serbian had a good straight sets win against Ferreira Silva (6-4 6-4). During the match, Lajovic scored 70 points vs Ferreira Silva’s 63. Dusan was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Lajovic blasted 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Dusan Lajovic lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Lajovic put 74% of his first serves in, winning 73% (35/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (7/17) on the 2nd serve. Lajovic broke Ferreira Silva 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Serbian has lost 1 set in this competition to win 52% of the points he played.

Lajovic has a unfavourable match record in the last 10 years having won only 49% of his matches (266-272). 25-14 on clay in 2025. . Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Lajovic has a composed 158-122 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Cordenons Challenger where he overcame Lukas Neumayer in the final 6-2 7-6(3).

The Serbian has a compiled 31-26 win-loss record in 2025, 25-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Seville Challenger

Lajovic has never competed in this tournament before.

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Ranked no. 137, Pablo reached the quarter after defeating Daniel Rincon 6-2 6-2 and Javier Barranco Cosano 6-3 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Carreno-Busta had a good straight sets win against Barranco Cosano (6-3 6-2). During the match Carreno-Busta scored 63 points vs Barranco Cosano’s 51. Carreno-Busta was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.

About the serving games, Carreno-Busta blasted 2 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Pablo Carreno-Busta was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (32/45) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Pablo broke Barranco Cosano 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he beat Alejandro Moro Canas in the final 6-3 6-2 and the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he beat Filip Misolic in the final 6-3 6-2.

The Spaniard has an overall 28-21 win-loss record in 2025, 11-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Lajovic	Carreno-Busta
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	4
Tot Games	53	33
Pts	175-159	126-97
Total Points	334	223
Winners	84	58
%Winners	48%	46%

Both Lajovic and Carreno-Busta played 2 matches. At the moment, Dusan Lajovic lost 1 set while Pablo Carreno-Busta hasn’t conceded a set so far. Lajovic has played 1 set more than Carreno-Busta (5 vs 4). Therefore, Lajovic played 20 games more than Carreno-Busta. The Serbian scored 84 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard recorded 58 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Lajovic	Carreno-Busta
Aces	8	2
Avg per match	4	1
1st in	120/171	83/113
%1st in	70%	73%
1st pts	84/120	58/83
%1st pts	70%	70%
2nd pts	28/51	13/30
%2nd pts	55%	43%

Lajovic struck 8 aces (4 per match). Carreno-Busta blasted 2 aces (1 per match). Lajovic won 70% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Lajovic	Carreno-Busta
Won	8	9
Converted	8/21	9/18
% Converted	38%	50%
Conceded	11	8
Saved	8	6
% Saved	73%	75%
Times Broken	3	2

Dusan broke his opponents 8 times with a 38% conversion rate. Dusan dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Carreno-Busta broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Pablo conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Lajovic
	R1 Ymer	R2 Ferreira Silva	Total
Score	7-64 6-72 6-1	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	33	20	53
pts	105-96	70-63	175-159
Total points	201	133	334
Winners	49	35	84
%Winners	47%	50%	48%
SERVE
Aces	4	4	8
Double Faults	3	1	4
1st in	72/106	48/65	120/171
% 1st in	68%	74%	70%
1st pts	49/72	35/48	84/120
% 1st pts	68%	73%	70%
2nd pts	21/34	7/17	28/51
% 2nd pts	62%	41%	55%
Breaks
Won	5	3	8
Converted	5/12	3/9	8/21
Converted %	42%	33%	38%
Conceded	6	5	11
Saved	4/6	4/5	8
Saved %	67%	80%	74%
Times Broken	2	1	3

Carreno-Busta
	R1 Rincon	R2 Barranco	Total
Score	6-2 6-2	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	16	17	33
pts	63-46	63-51	126-97
Total points	109	114	223
Winners	26	32	58
%Winners	41%	51%	46%
SERVE
Aces	0	2	2
Double Faults	0	0	0
1st in	38/52	45/61	83/113
% 1st in	73%	74%	73%
1st pts	26/38	32/45	58/83
% 1st pts	68%	71%	70%
2nd pts	4/14	9/16	13/30
% 2nd pts	29%	56%	43%
Breaks
Won	6	3	9
Converted	6/11	3/7	9/18
Converted %	55%	43%	50%
Conceded	4	4	8
Saved	2/4	4/4	6
Saved %	50%	100%	75%
Times Broken	2	0	2

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Dusan LajovicLajovic – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (3-5) – H2H and prediction
• David Jorda SanchisJorda Sanchis – (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – (0-0) – H2H and prediction