[UPDATED SF]. Prediction, H2H of Novak Djokovic’s draw vs Alcaraz, Sinner to win the U.S. Open

U.S. Open draw preview with H2H - Novak Djokovic may need to overcome Carlos Alcaraz, Jannik Sinner to conquer the competition in the U.S. Open.

Novak Djokovic Stats info

Novak Djokovic is 2 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. Novak has defeated Learner Tien 6-1 7-63 6-2, Zachary Svajda 6-75 6-3 6-3 6-1, Cameron Norrie 6-4 6-74 6-2 6-3, Jan-Lennard Struff 6-3 6-3 6-2 and Taylor Fritz 6-3 7-5 3-6 6-4 to reach the semifinal where he will face Carlos Alcaraz.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Novak Djokovic’s projected draw withhislikely opposition at the U.S. Open. Djokovic has a neutral record (9-9) against the presumable opposition.

R1 – Learner Tien (50) – 6-1 7-63 6-2
R2 – Zachary Svajda (145) – 6-75 6-3 6-3 6-1
R3 – Cameron Norrie (35) – 6-4 6-74 6-2 6-3
R4 – Jan-Lennard Struff (144) – 6-3 6-3 6-2
1/4 – Taylor Fritz (4) – 6-3 7-5 3-6 6-4
1/2 – Carlos Alcaraz (2) – H2H 5-3
Fin – Jannik Sinner (1) – H2H 4-6
or Felix Auger-Aliassime (27) – H2H 1-1
Djokovic
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Draw

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1/2 – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-3 for Novak Djokovic

71 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 71-9 28-4 22-1 10-3 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 59-6 win-loss record in 2025, 21-4 on hard. During the last 8 years, Carlos has a 118-29 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Carlos will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 10 matches winning streak.

His most significant achievement of this year was conquering the competition in Rotterdam where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2, in Carlo where he defeated Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0, in Rome where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1, at the French Open where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2), in London where he defeated Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2, and in Cincinnati where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 5-0 ret..

Last year at the U.S. Open Carlos was overcome by Botic Van De Zandschulp in the 2nd round 6-1 7-5 6-4.

H2H Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This would be the 9th time that Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz square off. The head to head is 5-3 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Final – Jannik Sinner’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 6-4 for Jannik Sinner

58 - 6win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 58-6 24-3 11-2 15-0 8-1 0-0
2024 73-8 40-5 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0
2020 20-14 2-6 7-3 11-5 0-0 0-0
2019 62-24 12-6 17-8 31-7 2-3 0-0
2018 31-22 13-8 17-12 1-1 0-0 0-1

Jannik Sinner has a 36-4 record in 2025, 17-1 on hard. In connection to the last 8 years, the Italian has a 155-47 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Jannik will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 5 matches winning streak.

His most significant result of this year was winning the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3, and at the Wimbledon where he overcame Carlos Alcaraz in the final 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4.

Last year at the U.S. Open Sinner conquered the event after beating Taylor Fritz 6-3 6-4 7-5.

H2H Novak Djokovic vs. Jannik Sinner

This would be the 11th time that Novak Djokovic and Jannik Sinner square off. The head to head is 6-4 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

However, Novak Djokovic may play Felix Auger-Aliassime. Their head to head is 1-1.