Jannik Sinner and Felix Auger-Aliassime will play each other in the semifinal of the U.S. Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.034
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 13.25

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime

This will be the 4^th time that Jannik Sinner and Felix Auger-Aliassime fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Auger-Aliassime (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Sinner won 6-0 6-2 in the quarter in Cincinnati back in August 2025.

Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassime – Cincinnati 14-August-2025

Jannik Sinner

Currently world no. 1 Jannik got to the semifinal after defeating Vit Kopriva 6-1 6-1 6-2, Alexei Popyrin 6-3 6-2 6-2, Denis Shapovalov 5-7 6-4 6-3 6-3, Alexander Bublik 6-1 6-1 6-1 and Lorenzo Musetti 6-1 6-4 6-2.

In the quarter, Sinner had a good straight sets win against Musetti (6-1 6-4 6-2). During the match, Sinner scored 85 points vs Musetti’s 56. Jannik was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sinner blasted 10 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults. Jannik Sinner was quite efficient on serve to win 91% (42/46) of his 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sinner broke Musetti 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sinner has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 60% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 75% of his matches (382-125). 17-1 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sinner has a composed155-47 record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title at the Australian Open where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3 and at the Wimbledon where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4.

Sinner has a composed 36-4 win-loss record in 2025, 17-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ranked no. 27, the Canadian got to the semifinal after defeating Billy Harris 6-4 7-6(8) 6-4, Roman Safiullin 6-1 7-6(4) 7-6(5), Alexander Zverev 4-6 7-6(7) 6-4 6-4, Andrey Rublev 7-5 6-3 6-4 and Alex De Minaur 4-6 7-6(7) 7-5 7-6(4).

In the quarter against De Minaur, The Canadian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-6⁷ 7-5 7-6⁴). During the match Auger-Aliassime scored 158 points vs De Minaur’s 153. The Canadian was quite aggressive to blast 78 winners.

About the serving games, Auger-Aliassime submerged his opponent with 22 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Felix Auger-Aliassime lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Auger-Aliassime put 64% of his first serves in, winning 82% (78/95) of the points behind his 1st serve and 32% (17/53) on the 2nd serve. Auger-Aliassime broke De Minaur 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Auger-Aliassime has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Adelaide where he beat Sebastian Korda in the final 6-3 3-6 6-1 and in Montpellier where he beat Aleksandar Kovacevic in the final 6-2 6-7(7) 7-6(2).

The Canadian has a composed 34-19 win-loss record in 2025, 21-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sinner	Auger-Aliassime
Match played	5	5
Tot Set	16	17
Tot Games	133	188
Pts	478-318	648-561
Total Points	796	1209
Winners	187	297
%Winners	39%	46%

Both Sinner and Auger-Aliassime played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner lost 1 set, while Felix Auger-Aliassime lost 2 sets. Sinner has played 1 set(s) less than Auger-Aliassime (16 vs 17). Therefore, Sinner played 55 games less than Auger-Aliassime. Jannik scored 187 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian recorded 297 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sinner	Auger-Aliassime
Aces	33	69
Avg per match	6.6	13.8
1st in	222/387	375/581
%1st in	57%	65%
1st pts	187/222	297/375
%1st pts	84%	79%
2nd pts	93/165	106/206
%2nd pts	56%	51%

Sinner blasted 33 aces (6.6 per match). Auger-Aliassime recorded 69 aces (13.8 per match). Sinner won 84% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Auger-Aliassime won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sinner	Auger-Aliassime
Won	31	19
Converted	31/55	19/43
% Converted	56%	44%
Conceded	21	40
Saved	18	29
% Saved	86%	73%
Times Broken	3	11

The Italian broke his opponents 31 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Auger-Aliassime broke his opponents 19 times with a 44% conversion rate. Auger-Aliassime conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
	R1 Kopriva	R2 Popyrin	R3 Shapovalov	R4 Bublik	1/4 Musetti	Total
Score	6-1 6-1 6-2	6-3 6-2 6-2	5-7 6-4 6-3 6-3	6-1 6-1 6-1	6-1 6-4 6-2
Tot Set	3	3	4	3	3	16
Tot Games	22	25	40	21	25	133
pts	84-47	95-61	128-108	86-46	85-56	478-318
Total points	131	156	236	132	141	796
Winners	33	33	54	25	42	187
%Winners	39%	35%	42%	29%	49%	39%
SERVE
Aces	7	6	2	8	10	33
Double Faults	1	4	5	1	0	11
1st in	40/68	41/81	64/110	31/53	46/75	222/387
% 1st in	59%	51%	58%	58%	61%	57%
1st pts	33/40	33/41	54/64	25/31	42/46	187/222
% 1st pts	83%	80%	84%	81%	91%	84%
2nd pts	15/28	24/40	23/46	16/22	15/29	93/165
% 2nd pts	54%	60%	50%	73%	52%	56%
Breaks
Won	7	5	6	8	5	31
Converted	7/10	5/9	6/13	8/17	5/6	31/55
Converted %	70%	56%	46%	47%	83%	56%
Conceded	2	5	6	1	7	21
Saved	2/2	5/5	3/6	1/1	7/7	18
Saved %	100%	100%	50%	100%	100%	90%
Times Broken	0	0	3	0	0	3

Auger-Aliassime
	R1 Harris	R2 Safiullin	R3 Zverev	R4 Rublev	1/4 De Minaur	Total
Score	6-4 7-68 6-4	6-1 7-64 7-65	4-6 7-67 6-4 6-4	7-5 6-3 6-4	4-6 7-67 7-5 7-64
Tot Set	3	3	4	3	4	17
Tot Games	33	33	43	31	48	188
pts	115-102	130-105	141-121	104-80	158-153	648-561
Total points	217	235	262	184	311	1209
Winners	53	57	59	50	78	297
%Winners	46%	44%	42%	48%	49%	46%
SERVE
Aces	10	14	10	13	22	69
Double Faults	5	5	8	4	11	33
1st in	72/107	72/106	76/129	60/91	95/148	375/581
% 1st in	67%	68%	59%	66%	64%	65%
1st pts	53/72	57/72	59/76	50/60	78/95	297/375
% 1st pts	74%	79%	78%	83%	82%	79%
2nd pts	17/35	20/34	35/53	17/31	17/53	106/206
% 2nd pts	49%	59%	66%	55%	32%	51%
Breaks
Won	5	3	3	4	4	19
Converted	5/8	3/13	3/6	4/7	4/9	19/43
Converted %	63%	23%	50%	57%	44%	44%
Conceded	10	7	9	4	10	40
Saved	7/10	6/7	7/9	3/4	6/10	29
Saved %	70%	86%	78%	75%	60%	74%
Times Broken	3	1	2	1	4	11

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (4-6 7-6⁷ 7-5 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Joe Salisbury/Neal SkupskiSalisbury/Neal Skupski – Tomas Machac/Matej VocelMachac/Matej Vocel (7-6⁶ 6-3) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-1 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Constantin Frantzen/Robin HaaseFrantzen/Robin Haase (7-5 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Robert Cash/James TracyCash/James Tracy – Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul (6-1 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Taylor FritzFritz (6-3 7-5 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-4 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-1 6-4 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (5-3) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (1-2) – H2H and prediction