Amanda Anisimova and Naomi Osaka will play each other in the semifinal of the U.S. Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 9:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.75
Amanda Anisimova -> 2.12

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Prediction and head to head Amanda Anisimova vs. Naomi Osaka

This will be the 3^rd time that Amanda Anisimova and Naomi Osaka face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Anisimova (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Anisimova won 7-5 6-4 in the 1^st round in at the French Open back in 2022.

Highlights Amanda Anisimova vs Naomi Osaka – French Open 23-May-2022

Amanda Anisimova

Ranked no. 9, Amanda reached the semifinal after beating Kimberly Birrell 6-3 6-2, Maya Joint 7-6(2) 6-2, Jaqueline Cristian 6-4 4-6 6-2, Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-0 6-3 and Iga Swiatek 6-4 6-3.

In the quarter, Amanda had a good straight sets win against Swiatek (6-4 6-3). During the match, Anisimova scored 67 points vs Swiatek’s 54. Amanda was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about the service games, Anisimova struck 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Amanda Anisimova was exceptionally effective on serve to win 71% (24/34) of her 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Anisimova broke Swiatek 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has conceded 1 set in this event to win 57% of the points she played.

Anisimova has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (199-113). 18-7 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Anisimova has an aggregate 116-68 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Doha where she beat Jelena Ostapenko in the final 6-4 6-3.

The American has an aggregate 38-15 win-loss record in 2025, 18-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Naomi Osaka

Ranked no. 24, Naomi reached the semifinal after defeating Greetje Minnen 6-3 6-4, Hailey Baptiste 6-3 6-1, Daria Kasatkina 6-0 4-6 6-3, Cori Gauff 6-3 6-2 and Karolina Muchova 6-4 7-6(3).

In the quarter, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Muchova (6-4 7-6³). During the match Osaka scored 71 points vs Muchova’s 64. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Osaka blasted 5 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Naomi Osaka lost the serve twice and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Osaka put 65% of her first serves in, winning 75% (38/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Muchova 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Naomi has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

Her best result of the year was winning the title the Malo where she beat Kaja Juvan in the final 6-1 7-5.

Naomi has a composed 32-12 win-loss record in 2025, 21-6 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, she won this tournament twice in 2018 and 2020. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Anisimova	Osaka
Match played	5	5
Tot Set	11	11
Tot Games	100	100
Pts	360-274	339-246
Total Points	634	585
Winners	141	131
%Winners	39%	39%

Both Anisimova and Osaka played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Amanda Anisimova conceded 1 set, while Naomi Osaka conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Anisimova and Osaka have played the same amount of sets 11. They also played the same amount of games (100). Anisimova scored 141 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese recorded 131 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Anisimova	Osaka
Aces	28	28
Avg per match	5.6	5.6
1st in	196/292	177/303
%1st in	67%	58%
1st pts	141/196	131/177
%1st pts	72%	74%
2nd pts	51/96	66/126
%2nd pts	53%	52%

Anisimova recorded 28 aces (5.6 per match). Osaka managed to score 28 aces (5.6 per match). Anisimova won 72% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Osaka won 74% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Anisimova	Osaka
Won	23	25
Converted	23/57	25/31
% Converted	40%	81%
Conceded	19	23
Saved	10	13
% Saved	53%	57%
Times Broken	9	10

Anisimova broke her opponents 23 times with a 40% conversion rate. Amanda surrendered her serve 9 times and she saved 53% of the break points that she conceded. The Japanese broke her opponents 25 times with a 81% conversion rate. Osaka conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded.

Anisimova
	R1 Birrell	R2 Joint	R3 Cristian	R4 Haddad Maia	1/4 Swiatek	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	7-62 6-2	6-4 4-6 6-2	6-0 6-3	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	2	11
Tot Games	17	21	28	15	19	100
pts	60-38	70-54	99-89	64-39	67-54	360-274
Total points	98	124	188	103	121	634
Winners	24	33	36	24	24	141
%Winners	40%	47%	36%	38%	36%	39%
SERVE
Aces	6	8	6	5	3	28
Double Faults	3	2	4	1	2	12
1st in	28/46	45/61	56/81	33/43	34/61	196/292
% 1st in	61%	74%	69%	77%	56%	67%
1st pts	24/28	33/45	36/56	24/33	24/34	141/196
% 1st pts	86%	73%	64%	73%	71%	72%
2nd pts	10/18	10/16	11/25	6/10	14/27	51/96
% 2nd pts	56%	63%	44%	60%	52%	53%
Breaks
Won	4	3	6	6	4	23
Converted	4/8	3/7	6/15	6/18	4/9	23/57
Converted %	50%	43%	40%	33%	44%	40%
Conceded	2	2	8	3	4	19
Saved	1/2	1/2	4/8	2/3	2/4	10
Saved %	50%	50%	50%	67%	50%	53%
Times Broken	1	1	4	1	2	9

Osaka
	R1 Minnen	R2 Baptiste	R3 Kasatkina	R4 Gauff	1/4 Muchova	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	6-3 6-1	6-0 4-6 6-3	6-3 6-2	6-4 7-63
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	2	11
Tot Games	19	16	25	17	23	100
pts	69-49	61-39	83-61	55-33	71-64	339-246
Total points	118	100	144	88	135	585
Winners	26	20	32	15	38	131
%Winners	38%	33%	39%	27%	54%	39%
SERVE
Aces	7	4	9	3	5	28
Double Faults	0	1	4	0	2	7
1st in	38/65	29/48	43/74	16/38	51/78	177/303
% 1st in	58%	60%	58%	42%	65%	58%
1st pts	26/38	20/29	32/43	15/16	38/51	131/177
% 1st pts	68%	69%	74%	94%	75%	74%
2nd pts	12/27	12/19	13/31	17/22	12/27	66/126
% 2nd pts	44%	63%	42%	77%	44%	52%
Breaks
Won	6	5	7	4	3	25
Converted	6/6	5/8	7/9	4/4	3/4	25/31
Converted %	100%	63%	78%	100%	75%	81%
Conceded	7	3	6	0	7	23
Saved	4/7	2/3	2/6	0/0	5/7	13
Saved %	57%	67%	33%	–	71%	46%
Times Broken	3	1	4	0	2	10

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Gabriela Dabrowski/Erin RoutliffeDabrowski/Erin Routliffe – Sara Errani/Jasmine PaoliniErrani/Jasmine Paolini (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Katerina Siniakova/Taylor TownsendSiniakova/Taylor Townsend – Veronika Kudermetova/Elise MertensKudermetova/Elise Mertens (6-3 7-6³) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Go SoedaSoeda (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dennis NovakNovak – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (6-7¹ 7-6³ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jessica PegulaPegula (7-2) – H2H and prediction
• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-2) – H2H and prediction