Yi Zhou and Renta Tokuda will fight against each other in the 2^nd round of the Shanghai Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:00 pm on COURT 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yi Zhou who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Yi Zhou is the pick to win this match.
Yi Zhou -> 1.48
Renta Tokuda -> 2.5

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Yi Zhou vs. Renta Tokuda

This will be the 2^nd time that Yi Zhou and Renta Tokuda fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Zhou (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Zhou won 6-3 6-2 in the 2^nd round in M15 Tsukuba back in 2024.

Yi Zhou

Ranked no. 325, Yi reached the 2^nd round after beating Yoshihito Nishioka 2-6 7-6(5) 2-0 ret..

In the 1^st round against Nishioka, the Chinese had a free pass after Nishioka retired on a 2-6 7-6⁵ 2-0 . scoreline.

Zhou has a negative match record in the last 4 years having won 47% of his matches (55-62). 15-19 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Zhou has an overall54-55 record in the last 4 years on hard.

Yi’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Tyler Challenger.

Zhou has a compiled 15-19 win-loss record in 2025, 15-19 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Shanghai Challenger

Renta Tokuda

Ranked no. 458, Tokuda reached the 2^nd round after defeating Linghao Zhang 6-2 6-2, Joshua Charlton 6-4 6-2 and Kokoro Isomura 6-0 6-2.

In the 1^st round, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Isomura (6-0 6-2). During the match Tokuda scored 69 points vs Isomura’s 47. Renta was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.

About the serving games, Tokuda made 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Renta Tokuda lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Tokuda put 62% of his first serves in, winning 79% (26/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 30% (6/20) on the 2nd serve. Renta broke Isomura 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).

Tokuda’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Tashkent and M15 Tokyo.

The Japanese has an aggregate 49-15 win-loss record in 2025, 49-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Shanghai Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2019. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Zhou	Tokuda
Match played	1	3
Tot Set	4	6
Tot Games	23	48
Pts	81-72	188-127
Total Points	153	315
Winners	40	78
%Winners	49%	41%

Zhou played 1 match while Tokuda competed in 3 matches. Tokuda started his run from the qualifications while Zhou had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Yi Zhou lost 1 set while Renta Tokuda hasn’t lost a set so far. Zhou has played 2 set(s) less than Tokuda (4 vs 6). Therefore, Zhou played 25 games less than Tokuda. Yi scored 40 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Tokuda made 78 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Zhou	Tokuda
Aces	7	19
Avg per match	7	6.3
1st in	54/80	95/147
%1st in	68%	65%
1st pts	40/54	78/95
%1st pts	74%	82%
2nd pts	11/26	26/52
%2nd pts	42%	50%

Zhou bagged 7 aces . Tokuda fired 19 aces (6.3 per match). Zhou won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Tokuda won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Zhou	Tokuda
Won	2	13
Converted	2/6	13/25
% Converted	33%	52%
Conceded	9	9
Saved	6	8
% Saved	67%	89%
Times Broken	3	1

Yi broke his opponent twice with a 33% conversion rate. Zhou conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Renta broke his opponents 13 times with a 52% conversion rate. Renta conceded his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded.

Zhou
	R1 Nishioka	Total
Score	2-6 7-65 2-0 ret.
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	23	23
pts	81-72	81-72
Total points	153	153
Winners	40	40
%Winners	49%	49%
SERVE
Aces	7	7
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	54/80	54/80
% 1st in	68%	68%
1st pts	40/54	40/54
% 1st pts	74%	74%
2nd pts	11/26	11/26
% 2nd pts	42%	42%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/6	2/6
Converted %	33%	33%
Conceded	9	9
Saved	6/9	6
Saved %	67%	67%
Times Broken	3	3

Tokuda
	Q1 Zhang	Q3 Charlton	R1 Isomura	Total
Score	6-2 6-2	6-4 6-2	6-0 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	16	18	14	48
pts	61-40	58-40	69-47	188-127
Total points	101	98	116	315
Winners	24	28	26	78
%Winners	39%	48%	38%	41%
SERVE
Aces	4	5	10	19
Double Faults	2	1	3	6
1st in	27/44	35/50	33/53	95/147
% 1st in	61%	70%	62%	65%
1st pts	24/27	28/35	26/33	78/95
% 1st pts	89%	80%	79%	82%
2nd pts	10/17	10/15	6/20	26/52
% 2nd pts	59%	67%	30%	50%
Breaks
Won	4	3	6	13
Converted	4/9	3/3	6/13	13/25
Converted %	44%	100%	46%	52%
Conceded	2	3	4	9
Saved	2/2	3/3	3/4	8
Saved %	100%	100%	75%	275%
Times Broken	0	0	1	1

Tennis Scores in Shanghai Challenger

• Petr Bar BiryukovBar Biryukov – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Marat SharipovSharipov (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Filip PeliwoPeliwo – Luca Van AsscheVan Assche (6-4 ret.) – See score progression
• Ilia SimakinSimakin – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (6-4 6-7⁷ 7-5) – See score progression
• Daniel EvansEvans – Linang XiaoXiao (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama – Arthur GeaGea (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – Gauthier OnclinOnclin (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Renta TokudaTokuda – Kokoro IsomuraIsomura (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
• Bernard TomicTomic – Yaojie ZengZeng (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Tsung-Hao HuangHuang – Yan BaiBai (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
• Kasidit SamrejSamrej – Tung-Lin WuWu (0-6 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Fajing SunSun – James McCabeMcCabe (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu – Jie CuiCui (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Omar JasikaJasika – Rigele TeTe (4-6 6-2 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Yi ZhouZhou – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (2-6 7-6⁵ 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Daniel EvansEvans – Linang XiaoXiao (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Filip PeliwoPeliwo – Luca Van AsscheVan Assche (6-4 ret.) – See score progression
• Petr Bar BiryukovBar Biryukov – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Ilia SimakinSimakin – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (6-4 6-7(7) 7-5) – See score progression
• Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama – Arthur GeaGea (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Marat SharipovSharipov (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (6-4 7-5) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniel EvansEvans – Filip PeliwoPeliwo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Fajing SunSun – Omar JasikaJasika (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tsung-Hao HuangHuang – Bernard TomicTomic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Kasidit SamrejSamrej – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – (0-0) – H2H and prediction