Naomi Osaka is 3 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. Osaka has defeated Greetje Minnen 6-3 6-4, Hailey Baptiste 6-3 6-1, Daria Kasatkina 6-0 4-6 6-3 and Cori Gauff 6-3 6-2 to reach the quarter where she will face Karolina Muchova.
Draw prediction with head to head records
This is Naomi Osaka’s projected draw includingherpresumable opposition at the U.S. Open. The Japanese has a neutral record (4-4) with the projected opposition.
1/4 – Karolina Muchova’s rankings and performance.
Head to head record 2-2
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-17 | 23-13 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-7 | 15-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-13 | 28-9 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-12 | 3-2 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-9 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-8 | 6-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 38-14 | 25-9 | 6-2 | 3-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 29-11 | 5-2 | 7-4 | 10-1 | 3-3 | 4-1 |
Karolina Muchova has a 20-12 win-loss record in 2025, 17-8 on hard. Regarding the previous 10 years, the Czech has a 129-53 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Karolina won 7 of her last 10 matches.
Karolina’s best achievement of the current year was getting to the semifinal Australia, Linz and Dubai.
Last year at the U.S. Open the Czech lost to Jessica Pegula in the semifinal 1-6 6-4 6-2.
H2H Naomi Osaka vs. Karolina Muchova
This match would represent the 5th time that Naomi Osaka and Karolina Muchova play each other. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 2-1 for Osaka on hard in major tournaments.
1/2 – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 2-1 for Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 64-17 | 40-10 | 11-4 | 3-2 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 34-17 | 17-8 | 10-3 | 4-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 43-6 | 8-1 | 34-5 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Iga Swiatek has a 53-12 record in 2025, 32-7 on hard. In connection to the last 10 years, Swiatek has a 194-49 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Swiatek will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 9 matches winning streak.
Her most significant achievement of the year was conquering the tournament at the Wimbledon where she defeated Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-0 6-0, and in Cincinnati where she overcame Jasmine Paolini in the final 7-5 6-4.
Last year at the U.S. Open Iga lost to Jessica Pegula in the quarter 6-2 6-4
.H2H Naomi Osaka vs. Iga Swiatek
This would be the 4th time that Naomi Osaka and Iga Swiatek face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.
On the other hand, Naomi Osaka could take on Amanda Anisimova. Their head to head is 2-0 for Amanda Anisimova.
Final – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 1-0 for Naomi Osaka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 63-12 | 35-6 | 17-3 | 4-1 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 39-22 | 28-12 | 5-5 | 4-1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 51-25 | 34-13 | 7-6 | 3-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Aryna Sabalenka has a 54-10 win-loss record in 2025, 30-5 on hard. As for the last 10 years, Sabalenka has a 257-97 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Aryna won 8 of her last 10 matches.
Her most significant achievement of this current season was winning the competition in Brisbane where she defeated Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2, in Miami where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2, and in Madrid where she defeated Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).
Last year at the U.S. Open the Belarussian won the competition after downing Jessica Pegula 7-5 7-5.
H2H Naomi Osaka vs. Aryna Sabalenka
This match would represent the 2nd time that Naomi Osaka and Aryna Sabalenka face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Osaka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.
Alternatively, Naomi Osaka may come up against Jessica Pegula. Their H2H is 1-1.