Karolina Muchova is 3 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. Muchova has defeated Venus Williams 6-3 2-6 6-1, Sorana Cirstea 7-60 6-73 6-4, Linda Noskova 6-75 6-4 6-2 and Marta Kostyuk 6-3 6-70 6-3 to reach the quarter where she will face Naomi Osaka.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Karolina Muchova’s projected draw andherpresumable opponents at the U.S. Open. The Czech has a unfavourable record (6-7) with the likely opposition.

R1 – Venus Williams (602) – 6-3 2-6 6-1
R2 – Sorana Cirstea (71) – 7-60 6-73 6-4
R3 – Linda Noskova (32) – 6-75 6-4 6-2
R4 – Marta Kostyuk (28) – 6-3 6-70 6-3
1/4 – Naomi Osaka (24) – H2H 2-2
1/2 – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 1-4
or Amanda Anisimova (9) – H2H 0-1
Fin – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 3-1
or Jessica Pegula (4) – H2H 0-2
Latest Updated
Draw

1/4 – Naomi Osaka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 2-2

35 - 15win/loss in 2025

Rank
16
High
1
WWLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 35-15 24-9 8-3 0-0 3-3 0-0
2024 22-18 13-10 5-5 1-0 3-3 0-0
2023 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 14-9 13-7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 18-6 16-4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 16-3 16-2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 40-11 29-7 9-2 1-0 1-2 0-0
2018 43-21 28-9 5-4 4-5 6-3 0-0

Naomi Osaka has a 31-12 record in 2025, 20-6 on hard. In the course of the last 2 years, Osaka has a 33-16 record on hard. Osaka won 9 of her last 10 matches.

Naomi’s most significant result of the season was getting to the final Auckland, the Malo and Montreal.

Last year at the U.S. Open Naomi was overcome by Karolina Muchova in the 2nd round 6-3 7-6(5).

H2H Karolina Muchova vs. Naomi Osaka

This match would represent the 5th time that Karolina Muchova and Naomi Osaka face off. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 2-1 for Osaka on hard in major tournaments.

1/2 – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-1 for Iga Swiatek

64 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 53-12 win-loss record in 2025, 32-7 on hard. In connection to the previous 10 years, Swiatek has a 194-49 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Swiatek will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 9 matches winning streak.

Her most significant result of the current year was winning the competition at the Wimbledon where she beat Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-0 6-0, and in Cincinnati where she overcame Jasmine Paolini in the final 7-5 6-4.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Pole surrendered to Jessica Pegula in the quarter 6-2 6-4

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H2H Karolina Muchova vs. Iga Swiatek

This contest would be 6th time that Karolina Muchova and Iga Swiatek square off. The head to head is 4-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Karolina Muchova may play Amanda Anisimova. Their H2H is 1-0 for Amanda Anisimova.

Final – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-1 for Karolina Muchova

63 - 12win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 63-12 35-6 17-3 4-1 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 54-10 record in 2025, 30-5 on hard. During the previous 10 years, Sabalenka has a 257-97 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Belarussian won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of the current year was winning the tournament in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2, in Miami where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2, and in Madrid where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Last year at the U.S. Open Aryna conquered the event after beating Jessica Pegula 7-5 7-5.

H2H Karolina Muchova vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This match would represent the 5th time that Karolina Muchova and Aryna Sabalenka square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Muchova (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Karolina Muchova may compete against Jessica Pegula. Their H2H is 2-0 for Jessica Pegula.