Jannik Sinner is 3 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. Jannik has defeated Vit Kopriva 6-1 6-1 6-2, Alexei Popyrin 6-3 6-2 6-2, Denis Shapovalov 5-7 6-4 6-3 6-3 and Alexander Bublik 6-1 6-1 6-1 to reach the quarter where he will face Lorenzo Musetti.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Jannik Sinner’s projected draw together withhislikely opposition at the U.S. Open. Sinner has a winning record (17-10) against the likely opponents.

R1 – Vit Kopriva (89) – 6-1 6-1 6-2
R2 – Alexei Popyrin (36) – 6-3 6-2 6-2
R3 – Denis Shapovalov (29) – 5-7 6-4 6-3 6-3
R4 – Alexander Bublik (24) – 6-1 6-1 6-1
1/4 – Lorenzo Musetti (10) – H2H 2-0
1/2 – Alex De Minaur (8) – H2H 10-0
or Felix Auger-Aliassime (27) – H2H 1-2
Fin – Carlos Alcaraz (2) – H2H 5-10
or Novak Djokovic (7) – H2H 6-4
Latest Updated
Draw

1/4 – Lorenzo Musetti’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Jannik Sinner

45 - 22win/loss in 2025

Rank
8
High
6
LWLLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 45-22 18-11 19-4 8-6 0-1 0-0
2024 46-30 13-12 18-10 3-5 12-3 0-0
2023 32-29 10-10 16-11 0-5 6-3 0-0
2022 44-30 11-10 21-7 12-10 0-3 0-0
2021 36-31 9-8 17-12 10-10 0-1 0-0
2020 30-15 6-4 20-6 4-5 0-0 0-0
2019 32-25 1-2 27-19 4-4 0-0 0-0
2018 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0

Lorenzo Musetti has a 30-12 win-loss record in 2025, 11-7 on hard. In the course of the previous 8 years, Lorenzo has a 61-53 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Lorenzo won 5 of his last 10 matches.

Musetti’s best result of the year was reaching the final Carlo.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Italian capitulated to Brandon Nakashima in the 3rd round 6-2 3-6 6-3 7-6(4).

H2H Jannik Sinner vs. Lorenzo Musetti

This match would represent the 3rd time that Jannik Sinner and Lorenzo Musetti square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

1/2 – Alex De Minaur’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 10-0 for Jannik Sinner

56 - 24win/loss in 2025

Rank
7
High
6
LWLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 56-24 30-11 10-5 13-6 3-2 0-0
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0
2020 13-10 6-5 0-2 7-3 0-0 0-0
2019 41-20 25-10 1-4 13-3 2-3 0-0
2018 51-30 24-13 9-9 5-4 13-4 0-0

Alex De Minaur has a 41-15 win-loss record in 2025, 23-7 on hard. Regarding the last 11 years, Alex has a 194-93 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Alex won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His best achievement of the current year was winning the tournament in Washington where he beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 5-7 6-1 7-6(3).

Last year at the U.S. Open De Minaur was overcome by Jack Draper in the quarter 6-3 7-5 6-2.

H2H Jannik Sinner vs. Alex De Minaur

This match would represent the 11th time that Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur fight against each other. The head to head is 10-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats

), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Jannik Sinner may face Felix Auger-Aliassime. Their head to head record is 2-1 for Felix Auger-Aliassime.

Final – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 10-5 for Carlos Alcaraz

71 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 71-9 28-4 22-1 10-3 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 59-6 record in 2025, 21-4 on hard. In connection to the previous 8 years, the Spaniard has a 118-29 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Alcaraz will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 10 matches winning streak.

His most significant result of the current year was winning the competition in Rotterdam where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2, in Carlo where he defeated Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0, in Rome where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1, at the French Open where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2), in London where he overcame Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2, and in Cincinnati where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 5-0 ret..

Last year at the U.S. Open the Spaniard was defeated by Botic Van De Zandschulp in the 2nd round 6-1 7-5 6-4.

H2H Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This would be the 16th time that Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz play each other. The head to head is 10-5 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 5-2 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Jannik Sinner could compete against Novak Djokovic. Their H2H record is 6-4 for Jannik Sinner.