Jannik Sinner and Lorenzo Musetti will square off in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 9:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.08
Lorenzo Musetti -> 8.6

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Lorenzo Musetti

This will be the 3^rd time that Jannik Sinner and Lorenzo Musetti face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Sinner won 6-2 6-2 in the quarter in Monte carlo back in 2023.

Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Lorenzo Musetti – Monte carlo 14-April-2023

Jannik Sinner

Currently world no. 1 Sinner got to the quarter after defeating Vit Kopriva 6-1 6-1 6-2

, Alexei Popyrin 6-3 6-2 6-2, Denis Shapovalov 5-7 6-4 6-3 6-3 and Alexander Bublik 6-1 6-1 6-1.

In the 4^th round, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Bublik (6-1 6-1 6-1). During the match, Sinner scored 86 points vs Bublik’s 46. Jannik was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sinner bagged 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jannik Sinner was pretty efficient on serve to win 81% (25/31) of his 1st serve and 73% (16/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sinner broke Bublik 8 times after converting 47% of his break points (8/17).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 1 set in this event to win 60% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic record in the last 8 years having won 75% of his matches (381-125). 16-1 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has a composed154-47 record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title at the Australian Open where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3 and at the Wimbledon where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4.

Jannik has a composed 35-4 win-loss record in 2025, 16-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Lorenzo Musetti

Ranked no. 10, Lorenzo reached the quarter after beating Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-7(3) 6-3 6-4 6-4, David Goffin 6-4 6-0 6-2, Flavio Cobolli 6-3 6-2 2-0 ret. and Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-3 6-0 6-1.

In the 4^th round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Munar Clar (6-3 6-0 6-1). During the match Musetti scored 79 points vs Munar Clar’s 42. Lorenzo was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about serving, Musetti recorded 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Lorenzo Musetti was very efficient on serve to win 82% (27/33) of his 1st serve and 66% (21/32) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Musetti broke Munar Clar 7 times after converting 88% of his break points (7/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

Musetti’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Carlo.

Lorenzo has an aggregate 30-12 win-loss record in 2025, 11-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2022 and 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sinner	Musetti
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	13	14
Tot Games	108	107
Pts	393-262	366-252
Total Points	655	618
Winners	145	147
%Winners	37%	40%

Both Sinner and Musetti played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner conceded 1 set, while Lorenzo Musetti lost 1 set. Sinner has played 1 set(s) less than Musetti (13 vs 14). However, it’s interesting to notice that Sinner played 1 game more than Musetti. Jannik scored 145 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian recorded 147 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sinner	Musetti
Aces	23	27
Avg per match	5.8	6.8
1st in	176/312	186/312
%1st in	56%	60%
1st pts	145/176	147/186
%1st pts	82%	79%
2nd pts	78/136	82/126
%2nd pts	57%	65%

Sinner bagged 23 aces (5.8 per match). Musetti struck 27 aces (6.8 per match). Sinner won 82% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sinner	Musetti
Won	26	23
Converted	26/49	23/37
% Converted	53%	62%
Conceded	14	21
Saved	11	18
% Saved	79%	86%
Times Broken	3	3

Sinner broke his opponents 26 times with a 53% conversion rate. Sinner dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. Musetti broke his opponents 23 times with a 62% conversion rate. Musetti conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
	R1 Kopriva	R2 Popyrin	R3 Shapovalov	R4 Bublik	Total
Score	6-1 6-1 6-2	6-3 6-2 6-2	5-7 6-4 6-3 6-3	6-1 6-1 6-1
Tot Set	3	3	4	3	13
Tot Games	22	25	40	21	108
pts	84-47	95-61	128-108	86-46	393-262
Total points	131	156	236	132	655
Winners	33	33	54	25	145
%Winners	39%	35%	42%	29%	37%
SERVE
Aces	7	6	2	8	23
Double Faults	1	4	5	1	11
1st in	40/68	41/81	64/110	31/53	176/312
% 1st in	59%	51%	58%	58%	56%
1st pts	33/40	33/41	54/64	25/31	145/176
% 1st pts	83%	80%	84%	81%	82%
2nd pts	15/28	24/40	23/46	16/22	78/136
% 2nd pts	54%	60%	50%	73%	57%
Breaks
Won	7	5	6	8	26
Converted	7/10	5/9	6/13	8/17	26/49
Converted %	70%	56%	46%	47%	53%
Conceded	2	5	6	1	14
Saved	2/2	5/5	3/6	1/1	11
Saved %	100%	100%	50%	100%	88%
Times Broken	0	0	3	0	3

Musetti
	R1 Mpetshi	R2 Goffin	R3 Cobolli	R4 Munar Clar	Total
Score	6-73 6-3 6-4 6-4	6-4 6-0 6-2	6-3 6-2 2-0 ret.	6-3 6-0 6-1
Tot Set	4	3	3	3	13
Tot Games	42	24	19	22	107
pts	123-102	94-62	70-46	79-42	366-252
Total points	225	156	116	121	618
Winners	59	36	25	27	147
%Winners	48%	38%	36%	34%	40%
SERVE
Aces	13	4	3	7	27
Double Faults	1	2	5	4	12
1st in	68/100	53/85	32/62	33/65	186/312
% 1st in	68%	62%	52%	51%	60%
1st pts	59/68	36/53	25/32	27/33	147/186
% 1st pts	87%	68%	78%	82%	79%
2nd pts	28/32	17/32	16/30	21/32	82/126
% 2nd pts	88%	53%	53%	66%	65%
Breaks
Won	3	8	5	7	23
Converted	3/8	8/12	5/9	7/8	23/37
Converted %	38%	67%	56%	88%	62%
Conceded	0	11	6	4	21
Saved	0/0	9/11	5/6	4/4	18
Saved %	–	82%	83%	100%	66%
Times Broken	0	2	1	0	3

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Taylor FritzFritz (6-3 7-5 3-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-4 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (5-3) – H2H and prediction
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (3-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (2-0) – H2H and prediction