Taylor Fritz and Novak Djokovic will fight against each other in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 11th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 9:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.52
Taylor Fritz -> 2.6

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Taylor Fritz vs. Novak Djokovic

This will be the 11th time that Taylor Fritz and Novak Djokovic clash against each other. The head to head is 10-0 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 5-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Djokovic won 6-4 7-6(6) in the semifinal in Shanghai back in 2024.

Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritz – Shanghai 12-October-2024

Taylor Fritz

Taylor Fritz

42 - 15win/loss

Hard
25-8
I Hard
1-1
Clay
3-4
Grass
13-2
Rank
6
High
4
LLWLWLWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 31-12 3-4 6-5 13-2 0-0
2024 54-23 23-10 15-7 6-4 10-2 0-0
2023 54-24 35-11 11-6 5-3 3-4 0-0
2022 46-21 24-8 5-3 9-7 8-3 0-0
2021 34-22 20-13 4-5 8-3 2-1 0-0

Ranked no. 4 (career-high), the American reached the quarter after beating Emilio Nava 7-5 6-2 6-3, Lloyd Harris 4-6 7-6(3) 6-2 6-4, Jerome Kym 7-6(3) 6-7(9) 6-4 6-4 and Tomas Machac 6-4 6-3 6-3.

In the 4th round, Fritz had a good straight sets win against Machac (6-4 6-3 6-3). During the match, Fritz scored 87 points vs Machac’s 63. Fritz was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Regarding the service games, Fritz blasted 14 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Taylor Fritz was very efficient on serve to win 91% (39/43) of his 1st serve and 65% (17/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Machac 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Taylor has lost 2 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.

Fritz has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (404-234). 25-8 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Fritz has an aggregate 234-117 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Australia where he defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(4) and in Stuttgart where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(0) and in Eastbourne where he beat Jenson Brooksby in the final 7-5 6-1.

The American has a composed 42-15 win-loss record in 2025, 25-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Fritz's Record

Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic

30 - 9win/loss

Hard
16-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
9-3
Grass
5-1
Rank
4
High
1
WWWWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-11 21-7 9-3 4-0 5-1 0-0
2024 37-9 15-5 16-3 1-0 5-1 0-0
2023 56-7 27-1 12-3 11-2 6-1 0-0
2022 42-7 2-1 14-4 19-2 7-0 0-0
2021 55-7 19-3 18-3 11-1 7-0 0-0

Ranked no. 7, the Serbian got to the quarter after defeating Learner Tien 6-1 7-6(3) 6-2, Zachary Svajda 6-7(5) 6-3 6-3 6-1, Cameron Norrie 6-4 6-7(4) 6-2 6-3 and Jan-Lennard Struff 6-3 6-3 6-2.

In the 4th round, The Serbian had a good straight sets win against Struff (6-3 6-3 6-2). During the match Djokovic scored 90 points vs Struff’s 62. The Serbian was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Djokovic recorded 12 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Novak Djokovic was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 79% (38/48) of his 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Djokovic broke Struff 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Serbian has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Geneva where he beat Hubert Hurkacz in the final 5-7 7-6(2) 7-6(2).

Novak has an overall 30-9 win-loss record in 2025, 16-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, he won this tournament 4 times in 2011, 2015, 2018 and 2023. See his history.

U.S. Open
Djokovic's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

T.Fritz
N.Djokovic
10h:01
10h:01
Time on court​
9h:35
9h:35
1h:38
1h:38
Last match​
1h:49
1h:49
4
4
Match played
4
4
144
144
Games Played​
132
132
14
14
Set played​​
14
14
480
480
Total points​
452
452
120
120
Avg point​
113
113
208
208
Winners
187
187
52
52
Avg Winners​
46.8
46.8
43%
43%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
62
62
Aces
47
47
!
15.5
15.5
Avg Aces
!
11.8
11.8
11
11
Double Faults
14
14
2.8
2.8
Avg Double Faults
3.5
3.5
208/257
208/257
1st won total​
187/231
187/231
!
81%
81%
1st won %
!
81%
81%
98/162
98/162
2nd won total​
88/145
88/145
60%
60%
2nd won %
!
61%
61%
-- Break Points --
16/38
16/38
BP won
23/44
23/44
4/9.5
4/9.5
Avg BP won
5.8/11
5.8/11
42%
42%
Won
!
52%
52%
14
14
Conceded
13
13
3.5
3.5
Avg Conceded
3.3
3.3
4
4
Broken
5
5
1
1
Avg Broken
1.3
1.3
10
10
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Fritz Djokovic
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 14 14
Tot Games 144 132
Pts 480-396 452-332
Total Points 876 784
Winners 208 187
%Winners 43% 41%

Both Fritz and Djokovic played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Taylor Fritz conceded 2 sets, while Novak Djokovic conceded 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Fritz and Djokovic have played the same amount of sets 14. However, Fritz played 12 games more than Djokovic. Fritz scored 208 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Serbian fired 187 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Fritz Djokovic
Aces 62 47
Avg per match 15.5 11.8
1st in 257/419 231/376
%1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 208/257 187/231
%1st pts 81% 81%
2nd pts 98/162 88/145
%2nd pts 60% 61%

Fritz fired 62 aces (15.5 per match). Djokovic bagged 47 aces (11.8 per match). Fritz won 81% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Djokovic won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Fritz Djokovic
Won 16 23
Converted 16/38 23/44
% Converted 42% 52%
Conceded 14 13
Saved 10 8
% Saved 71% 62%
Times Broken 4 5

The American broke his opponents 16 times with a 42% conversion rate. Fritz conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Novak broke his opponents 23 times with a 52% conversion rate. Djokovic conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.

Fritz
R1
Nava
R2
Lloyd
R3
Kym
R4
Machac
Total
Score 7-5 6-2 6-3 4-6 7-63 6-2 6-4 7-63 6-79 6-4 6-4 6-4 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 3 4 4 3 14
Tot Games 29 41 46 28 144
pts 105-83 152-130 136-120 87-63 480-396
Total points 188 282 256 150 876
Winners 39 64 66 39 208
%Winners 37% 42% 49% 45% 43%
SERVE
Aces 11 17 20 14 62
Double Faults 5 3 1 2 11
1st in 50/88 85/135 79/127 43/69 257/419
% 1st in 57% 63% 62% 62% 61%
1st pts 39/50 64/85 66/79 39/43 208/257
% 1st pts 78% 75% 84% 91% 81%
2nd pts 26/38 25/50 30/48 17/26 98/162
% 2nd pts 68% 50% 63% 65% 60%
Breaks
Won 4 5 3 4 16
Converted 4/10 5/14 3/6 4/8 16/38
Converted % 40% 36% 50% 50% 42%
Conceded 4 8 2 0 14
Saved 4/4 5/8 1/2 0/0 10
Saved % 100% 63% 50% 53%
Times Broken 0 3 1 0 4
Djokovic
R1
Tien
R1
Tien
R2
Svajda
R2
Svajda
R3
Norrie
R3
Norrie
R4
Struff
R4
Struff
Total
Score 6-1 7-63 6-2 6-1 7-63 6-2 6-75 6-3 6-3 6-1 6-75 6-3 6-3 6-1 6-4 6-74 6-2 6-3 6-4 6-74 6-2 6-3 6-3 6-3 6-2 6-3 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 28
Tot Games 28 28 38 38 40 40 26 26 264
pts 108-75 108-75 125-94 125-94 129-101 129-101 90-62 90-62 904-664
Total points 183 183 219 219 230 230 152 152 1568
Winners 43 43 51 51 55 55 38 38 374
%Winners 40% 40% 41% 41% 43% 43% 42% 42% 41%
SERVE
Aces 7 7 10 10 18 18 12 12 94
Double Faults 4 4 4 4 6 6 0 0 28
1st in 56/94 56/94 61/104 61/104 66/104 66/104 48/74 48/74 462/752
% 1st in 60% 60% 59% 59% 63% 63% 65% 65% 61%
1st pts 43/56 43/56 51/61 51/61 55/66 55/66 38/48 38/48 374/462
% 1st pts 77% 77% 84% 84% 83% 83% 79% 79% 81%
2nd pts 18/38 18/38 29/43 29/43 26/38 26/38 15/26 15/26 176/290
% 2nd pts 47% 47% 67% 67% 68% 68% 58% 58% 61%
Breaks
Won 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 6 46
Converted 6/9 6/9 6/15 6/15 5/12 5/12 6/8 6/8 46/88
Converted % 67% 67% 40% 40% 42% 42% 75% 75% 52%
Conceded 8 8 3 3 1 1 1 1 26
Saved 6/8 6/8 2/3 2/3 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/1 16
Saved % 75% 75% 67% 67% 0% 0% 0% 0% 71%
Times Broken 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 10

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw