Jessica Pegula and Barbora Krejcikova will play each other in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 11:30 am on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.66
Barbora Krejcikova -> 2.27

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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Barbora Krejcikova

This will be the 4th time that Jessica Pegula and Barbora Krejcikova play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Krejcikova (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Krejcikova won 6-3 6-3 in the R in Riyadh back in 2024.

Highlights Barbora Krejcikova vs Jessica Pegula – Riyadh 05-November-2024

Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula

41 - 16win/loss

Hard
26-9
I Hard
0-0
Clay
11-5
Grass
4-2
Rank
6
High
3
LWLWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 35-12 11-5 3-4 4-2 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 4, Jessica got to the quarter after beating Mayar Sherif 6-0 6-4, Anna Blinkova 6-1 6-3, Victoria Azarenka 6-1 7-5 and Ann Li 6-1 6-2.

In the 4th round, Pegula had a good straight sets win against Li (6-1 6-2). During the match, Pegula scored 56 points vs Li’s 29. Jessica was exceptionally aggressive to blast 17 winners.

Talking about the service games, Pegula struck 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Jessica Pegula was quite efficient on serve to win 85% (17/20) of her 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The American broke Li 6 times after converting 67% of her break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Pegula hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 60% of the points she played.

Pegula has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 67% of her matches (345-173). 26-9 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Pegula has a compiled 230-99 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Austin where she beat Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Charleston where she overcame Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Bad Homburg where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 7-5.

Pegula has an overall 41-16 win-loss record in 2025, 26-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Pegula's Record

Barbora Krejcikova

Barbora Krejcikova

12 - 6win/loss

Hard
7-2
I Hard
0-0
Clay
1-2
Grass
4-2
Rank
65
High
2
LWWLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 16-9 11-5 1-2 0-0 4-2 0-0
2024 21-16 7-7 3-5 2-2 9-2 0-0
2023 34-19 22-11 5-5 2-1 5-2 0-0
2022 25-15 12-10 2-3 9-0 2-2 0-0
2021 45-19 27-13 15-3 0-2 3-1 0-0

Ranked no. 62, Barbora got to the quarter after defeating Victoria Mboko 6-3 6-2, Moyuka Uchijima 6-4 6-2, Emma Navarro 4-6 6-4 6-4 and Taylor Townsend 1-6 7-6(13) 6-3.

In the 4th round against Townsend, Krejcikova recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-613 6-3).During the match Krejcikova scored less points (10) than Townsend. In fact, the world no. 4 won 111 points vs Townsend’s. That means that Krejcikova was more focused during the important points. Krejcikova was extremely aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Talking about serving, Krejcikova scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 6 double faults. Barbora Krejcikova lost the serve 6 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Krejcikova put 64% of her first serves in, winning 63% (50/79) of the points behind her 1st serve and 36% (16/44) on the 2nd serve. Krejcikova broke Townsend 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Barbora has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Barbora has an overall 12-6 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See her history.

U.S. Open
Krejcikova's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Pegula
B.Krejcikova
4h:51
4h:51
Time on court​
!
8h:08
8h:08
!
0h:54
0h:54
Last match​
!
3h:04
3h:04
4
4
Match played
4
4
66
66
Games Played​
94
94
8
8
Set played​​
10
10
260
260
Total points​
344
344
65
65
Avg point​
86
86
90
90
Winners
134
134
22.5
22.5
Avg Winners​
33.5
33.5
35%
35%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
15
15
2.5
2.5
Avg Aces
3.8
3.8
5
5
Double Faults
20
20
1.3
1.3
Avg Double Faults
5
5
90/124
90/124
1st won total​
134/196
134/196
!
73%
73%
1st won %
68%
68%
41/84
41/84
2nd won total​
57/123
57/123
49%
49%
2nd won %
46%
46%
-- Break Points --
24/44
24/44
BP won
20/43
20/43
6/11
6/11
Avg BP won
5/10.8
5/10.8
!
55%
55%
Won
47%
47%
18
18
Conceded
34
34
4.5
4.5
Avg Conceded
8.5
8.5
7
7
Broken
14
14
1.8
1.8
Avg Broken
3.5
3.5
11
11
Saved
20
20

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Pegula Krejcikova
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 8 10
Tot Games 66 94
Pts 260-170 344-307
Total Points 430 651
Winners 90 134
%Winners 35% 39%

Both Pegula and Krejcikova played 4 matches. At the moment, Barbora Krejcikova surrendered 2 sets while Jessica Pegula hasn’t conceded a set so far. Pegula has played 2 set(s) less than Krejcikova (8 vs 10). Therefore, Pegula played 28 games less than Krejcikova. The American scored 90 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Barbora managed to score 134 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Pegula Krejcikova
Aces 10 15
Avg per match 2.5 3.8
1st in 124/208 196/319
%1st in 60% 61%
1st pts 90/124 134/196
%1st pts 73% 68%
2nd pts 41/84 57/123
%2nd pts 49% 46%

Pegula managed to score 10 aces (2.5 per match). Krejcikova bagged 15 aces (3.8 per match). Pegula won 73% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Krejcikova won 68% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Pegula Krejcikova
Won 24 20
Converted 24/44 20/43
% Converted 55% 47%
Conceded 18 34
Saved 11 20
% Saved 61% 59%
Times Broken 7 14

Jessica broke her opponents 24 times with a 55% conversion rate. Jessica lost her serve 7 times and she saved 61% of the break points that she conceded. Barbora broke her opponents 20 times with a 47% conversion rate. Barbora conceded her serve 14 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded.

Pegula
R1
Sherif
R2
Blinkova
R3
Azarenka
R4
Li
Total
Score 6-0 6-4 6-1 6-3 6-1 7-5 6-1 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 16 16 19 15 66
pts 65-41 58-41 81-59 56-29 260-170
Total points 106 99 140 85 430
Winners 27 21 25 17 90
%Winners 42% 36% 31% 30% 35%
SERVE
Aces 1 2 5 2 10
Double Faults 3 0 1 1 5
1st in 34/56 33/52 37/64 20/36 124/208
% 1st in 61% 63% 58% 56% 60%
1st pts 27/34 21/33 25/37 17/20 90/124
% 1st pts 79% 64% 68% 85% 73%
2nd pts 7/22 10/19 15/27 9/16 41/84
% 2nd pts 32% 53% 56% 56% 49%
Breaks
Won 6 6 6 6 24
Converted 6/9 6/11 6/15 6/9 24/44
Converted % 67% 55% 40% 67% 55%
Conceded 7 4 6 1 18
Saved 5/7 2/4 4/6 0/1 11
Saved % 71% 50% 67% 0% 47%
Times Broken 2 2 2 1 7
Krejcikova
R1
Mboko
R2
Uchijima
R3
Navarro
R4
Townsend
Total
Score 6-3 6-2 6-4 6-2 4-6 6-4 6-4 1-6 7-613 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 3 3 10
Tot Games 17 18 30 29 94
pts 69-49 59-38 105-99 111-121 344-307
Total points 118 97 204 232 651
Winners 22 21 41 50 134
%Winners 32% 36% 39% 45% 39%
SERVE
Aces 4 5 5 1 15
Double Faults 4 1 9 6 20
1st in 27/48 29/48 61/100 79/123 196/319
% 1st in 56% 60% 61% 64% 61%
1st pts 22/27 21/29 41/61 50/79 134/196
% 1st pts 81% 72% 67% 63% 68%
2nd pts 13/21 13/19 15/39 16/44 57/123
% 2nd pts 62% 68% 38% 36% 46%
Breaks
Won 4 5 7 4 20
Converted 4/11 5/9 7/15 4/8 20/43
Converted % 36% 56% 47% 50% 47%
Conceded 2 6 16 10 34
Saved 2/2 4/6 10/16 4/10 20
Saved % 100% 67% 63% 40% 68%
Times Broken 0 2 6 6 14

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw