Alex De Minaur is 4 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. De Minaur has defeated Christopher O Connell 6-3 6-4 6-4, Shintaro Mochizuki 6-2 6-4 6-2 and Daniel Altmaier 6-77 6-3 6-4 2-0 ret. to reach the 4th round where he will face Leandro Riedi.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Alex De Minaur’s projected draw withhislikely opposition at the U.S. Open. Alex has a losing record (4-18) against the presumable opposition.

R1 – Christopher O Connell (81) – 6-3 6-4 6-4
R2 – Shintaro Mochizuki (112) – 6-2 6-4 6-2
R3 – Daniel Altmaier (56) – 6-77 6-3 6-4 2-0 ret.
R4 – Leandro Riedi (435) – H2H 0-0
1/4 – Andrey Rublev (15) – H2H 4-4
or Felix Auger-Aliassime (27) – H2H 2-3
1/2 – Jannik Sinner (1) – H2H 0-10
or Lorenzo Musetti (10) – H2H 1-3
Fin – Carlos Alcaraz (2) – H2H 0-4
or Taylor Fritz (4) – H2H 6-5
Latest Updated
Draw

R4 – Leandro Riedi’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

18 - 8win/loss in 2025

Rank
179
High
117
LWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 18-8 11-5 2-1 0-0 5-2 0-0
2024 32-15 2-4 6-4 17-4 7-3 0-0
2023 19-22 14-9 3-4 1-7 1-2 0-0
2022 49-17 18-6 5-5 21-6 0-0 5-0
2021 17-16 0-0 6-9 10-6 0-0 1-1
2020 9-8 0-1 3-2 5-4 0-0 1-1
2019 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Leandro Riedi has a 18-7 record in 2025, 11-4 on hard. As for the previous 4 years, Riedi has a 45-23 record on hard. The Swiss will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 6 matches winning streak.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Swiss reached the qualifications in 2024 in Us Open before retiring against Jerome Kym when he was 6-3 1-0 ret..

H2H Alex De Minaur vs. Leandro Riedi

There is no head to head record between Alex De Minaur and Leandro Riedi since this would be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

1/4 – Andrey Rublev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 4-4

34 - 25win/loss in 2025

Rank
16
High
5
LWWLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-25 16-13 8-6 6-4 4-2 0-0
2024 43-26 26-11 11-6 6-7 0-2 0-0
2023 56-26 23-12 19-5 6-7 8-2 0-0
2022 51-20 19-7 14-6 18-6 0-1 0-0
2021 53-23 25-10 9-5 12-6 7-2 0-0
2020 41-10 17-4 10-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 54-27 28-14 8-5 16-5 2-3 0-0
2018 21-24 10-12 2-3 9-9 0-0 0-0

Andrey Rublev has a 32-19 win-loss record in 2025, 16-9 on hard. Regarding the previous 13 years, Rublev has a 207-106 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Rublev won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant result of this current season was conquering the competition in Doha where he beat Jack Draper in the final 7-5 5-7 6-1.

Last year at the U.S. Open Andrey lost to Grigor Dimitrov in the 4th round 6-3 7-6(3) 1-6 3-6 6-3.

H2H Alex De Minaur vs. Andrey Rublev

This would be the 9th time that Alex De Minaur and Andrey Rublev square off. The head to head is 4-4

(see full H2H stats), 2-1 for Rublev on hard in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Alex De Minaur could come up against Felix Auger-Aliassime. Their head to head is 3-2 for Felix Auger-Aliassime.

1/2 – Jannik Sinner’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 10-0 for Jannik Sinner

58 - 6win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 58-6 24-3 11-2 15-0 8-1 0-0
2024 73-8 40-5 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0
2020 20-14 2-6 7-3 11-5 0-0 0-0
2019 62-24 12-6 17-8 31-7 2-3 0-0
2018 31-22 13-8 17-12 1-1 0-0 0-1

Jannik Sinner has a 34-4 record in 2025, 15-1 on hard. As for the last 8 years, Sinner has a 153-47 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Sinner won 9 of his last 10 matches.

His best result of this current year was winning the tournament at the Australian Open where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3, and at the Wimbledon where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the final 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Italian won the competition after besting Taylor Fritz 6-3 6-4 7-5.

H2H Alex De Minaur vs. Jannik Sinner

This contest would be 11th time that Alex De Minaur and Jannik Sinner face off. The head to head is 10-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Alex De Minaur may play Lorenzo Musetti. Their H2H is 3-1 for Lorenzo Musetti.

Final – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

71 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 71-9 28-4 22-1 10-3 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 58-6 win-loss record in 2025, 20-4 on hard. Talking about the last 8 years, Alcaraz has a 117-29 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Alcaraz will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 10 matches winning streak.

His best result of the current year was winning the tournament in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2, in Carlo where he beat Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0, in Rome where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1, at the French Open where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2), in London where he overcame Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2, and in Cincinnati where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 5-0 ret..

Last year at the U.S. Open Carlos lost to Botic Van De Zandschulp in the 2nd round 6-1 7-5 6-4.

H2H Alex De Minaur vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This match would represent the 5th time that Alex De Minaur and Carlos Alcaraz square off. The head to head is 4-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Alex De Minaur may take on Taylor Fritz. Their H2H is 6-5 for Alex De Minaur.