[UPDATED R4]. Prediction, H2H of Alexander Bublik’s draw vs Sinner, Musetti, De Minaur, Alcaraz to win the U.S. Open

U.S. Open draw preview with H2H - Alexander Bublik may need to beat Jannik Sinner, Lorenzo Musetti, Alex De Minaur, Carlos Alcaraz to conquer the tournament in the U.S. Open.

Alexander Bublik Stats info

Alexander Bublik is 4 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. Bublik has defeated Marin Cilic 6-4 6-1 6-4, Tristan Schoolkate 6-3 6-3 6-3 and Tommy Paul 7-65 6-74 6-3 6-75 6-1 to reach the 4th round where he will face Jannik Sinner.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Alexander Bublik’s projected draw alongsidehisplausible opponents at the U.S. Open. Bublik has a weak record (5-8) against the plausible opposition.

R1 – Marin Cilic (62) – 6-4 6-1 6-4
R2 – Tristan Schoolkate (96) – 6-3 6-3 6-3
R3 – Tommy Paul (14) – 7-65 6-74 6-3 6-75 6-1
R4 – Jannik Sinner (1) – H2H 2-4
1/4 – Lorenzo Musetti (10) – H2H 2-1
or Jaume Antoni Munar Clar (44) – H2H 0-1
1/2 – Alex De Minaur (8) – H2H 1-3
or Andrey Rublev (15) – H2H 4-5
Fin – Carlos Alcaraz (2) – H2H 0-0
or Taylor Fritz (4) – H2H 3-3
Bublik
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R4 – Jannik Sinner’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-2 for Jannik Sinner

58 - 6win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 58-6 24-3 11-2 15-0 8-1 0-0
2024 73-8 40-5 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0
2020 20-14 2-6 7-3 11-5 0-0 0-0
2019 62-24 12-6 17-8 31-7 2-3 0-0
2018 31-22 13-8 17-12 1-1 0-0 0-1

Jannik Sinner has a 34-4 win-loss record in 2025, 15-1 on hard. Regarding the last 8 years, Jannik has a 153-47 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Sinner won 9 of his last 10 matches.

His best achievement of the season was winning the title at the Australian Open where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3, and at the Wimbledon where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the final 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4.

Last year at the U.S. Open Sinner won the tournament after defeating Taylor Fritz 6-3 6-4 7-5.

H2H Alexander Bublik vs. Jannik Sinner

This contest would be 7th time that Alexander Bublik and Jannik Sinner clash against each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

1/4 – Lorenzo Musetti’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Alexander Bublik

45 - 22win/loss in 2025

Rank
8
High
6
LWLLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 45-22 18-11 19-4 8-6 0-1 0-0
2024 46-30 13-12 18-10 3-5 12-3 0-0
2023 32-29 10-10 16-11 0-5 6-3 0-0
2022 44-30 11-10 21-7 12-10 0-3 0-0
2021 36-31 9-8 17-12 10-10 0-1 0-0
2020 30-15 6-4 20-6 4-5 0-0 0-0
2019 32-25 1-2 27-19 4-4 0-0 0-0
2018 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0

Lorenzo Musetti has a 29-12 record in 2025, 10-7 on hard. In connection to the last 8 years, Musetti has a 60-53 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Italian won 5 of his last 10 matches.

Lorenzo’s most significant result of the current season was getting to the final Carlo.

Last year at the U.S. Open Lorenzo was overcome by Brandon Nakashima in the 3rd round 6-2 3-6 6-3 7-6(4).

H2H Alexander Bublik vs. Lorenzo Musetti

This match would represent the 4th time that Alexander Bublik and Lorenzo Musetti play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Bublik (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Alexander Bublik may fight against Jaume Antoni Munar Clar. Their H2H record is 1-0 for Jaume Antoni Munar Clar.

1/2 – Alex De Minaur’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-1 for Alex De Minaur

56 - 24win/loss in 2025

Rank
7
High
6
LWLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 56-24 30-11 10-5 13-6 3-2 0-0
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0
2020 13-10 6-5 0-2 7-3 0-0 0-0
2019 41-20 25-10 1-4 13-3 2-3 0-0
2018 51-30 24-13 9-9 5-4 13-4 0-0

Alex De Minaur has a 40-15 win-loss record in 2025, 22-7 on hard. In the last 11 years, Alex has a 193-93 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). De Minaur won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant result of this current season was conquering the competition in Washington where he beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 5-7 6-1 7-6(3).

Last year at the U.S. Open Alex surrendered to Jack Draper in the quarter 6-3 7-5 6-2.

H2H Alexander Bublik vs. Alex De Minaur

This contest would be 5th time that Alexander Bublik and Alex De Minaur face off. The head to head is 3-1 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Alexander Bublik could fight against Andrey Rublev. Their head to head record is 5-4 for Andrey Rublev.

Final – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

71 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 71-9 28-4 22-1 10-3 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 58-6 record in 2025, 20-4 on hard. Talking about the previous 8 years, the Spaniard has a 117-29 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Spaniard will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 10 matches winning streak.

His best result of the year was winning the competition in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2, in Carlo where he beat Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0, in Rome where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1, at the French Open where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2), in London where he beat Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2, and in Cincinnati where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 5-0 ret..

Last year at the U.S. Open the Spaniard was overcome by Botic Van De Zandschulp in the 2nd round 6-1 7-5 6-4.

H2H Alexander Bublik vs. Carlos Alcaraz

There is no head to head record between Alexander Bublik and Carlos Alcaraz since this would be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Yet, Alexander Bublik may come up against Taylor Fritz. Their H2H is 3-3.