Jannik Sinner is 4 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. Jannik has defeated Vit Kopriva 6-1 6-1 6-2, Alexei Popyrin 6-3 6-2 6-2 and Denis Shapovalov 5-7 6-4 6-3 6-3 to reach the 4th round where he will face Alexander Bublik.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Jannik Sinner’s projected draw includinghisplausible opponents at the U.S. Open. Sinner has a positive record (21-12) against the presumable opponents.

R1 – Vit Kopriva (89) – 6-1 6-1 6-2
R2 – Alexei Popyrin (36) – 6-3 6-2 6-2
R3 – Denis Shapovalov (29) – 5-7 6-4 6-3 6-3
R4 – Alexander Bublik (24) – H2H 4-2
1/4 – Lorenzo Musetti (10) – H2H 2-0
or Jaume Antoni Munar Clar (44) – H2H 1-0
1/2 – Alex De Minaur (8) – H2H 10-0
or Andrey Rublev (15) – H2H 7-3
Fin – Carlos Alcaraz (2) – H2H 5-10
or Taylor Fritz (4) – H2H 4-1
Latest Updated
Draw

R4 – Alexander Bublik’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-2 for Jannik Sinner

48 - 24win/loss in 2025

Rank
11
High
11
LLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 48-24 12-11 23-6 8-6 5-1 0-0
2024 25-25 10-11 5-6 6-4 4-4 0-0
2023 28-30 3-12 7-9 9-7 9-2 0-0
2022 33-27 5-8 2-6 17-8 9-5 0-0
2021 35-30 14-12 4-6 10-8 7-4 0-0
2020 15-17 3-6 4-5 8-6 0-0 0-0
2019 44-31 20-13 2-4 14-9 8-5 0-0
2018 34-32 17-16 1-5 11-5 2-4 3-2

Alexander Bublik has a 38-17 record in 2025, 8-7 on hard. During the previous 12 years, the Kazakhstani has a 141-112 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Bublik will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 10 matches winning streak.

His best result of this year was conquering the tournament the Turin Challenger where he beat Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 6-3, in Halle where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 7-6(4), in Gstaad where he defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the final 6-4 4-6 6-3, and in Kitzbuhel where he defeated Arthur Cazaux in the final 6-4 6-3.

Last year at the U.S. Open Bublik surrendered to Juncheng Shang in the 1st round 6-4 3-6 5-7 6-3 6-4.

H2H Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Bublik

This match would represent the 7th time that Jannik Sinner and Alexander Bublik clash against each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

1/4 – Lorenzo Musetti’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Jannik Sinner

45 - 22win/loss in 2025

Rank
8
High
6
LWLLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 45-22 18-11 19-4 8-6 0-1 0-0
2024 46-30 13-12 18-10 3-5 12-3 0-0
2023 32-29 10-10 16-11 0-5 6-3 0-0
2022 44-30 11-10 21-7 12-10 0-3 0-0
2021 36-31 9-8 17-12 10-10 0-1 0-0
2020 30-15 6-4 20-6 4-5 0-0 0-0
2019 32-25 1-2 27-19 4-4 0-0 0-0
2018 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0

Lorenzo Musetti has a 29-12 win-loss record in 2025, 10-7 on hard. As for the last 8 years, Musetti has a 60-53 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Musetti won 5 of his last 10 matches.

Lorenzo’s most significant result of the season was reaching the final Carlo.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Italian lost to Brandon Nakashima in the 3rd round 6-2 3-6 6-3 7-6(4).

H2H Jannik Sinner vs. Lorenzo Musetti

This would be the 3rd time that Jannik Sinner and Lorenzo Musetti fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

However, Jannik Sinner may come up against Jaume Antoni Munar Clar. Their head to head is 1-0 for Jannik Sinner.

1/2 – Alex De Minaur’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 10-0 for Jannik Sinner

56 - 24win/loss in 2025

Rank
7
High
6
LWLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 56-24 30-11 10-5 13-6 3-2 0-0
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0
2020 13-10 6-5 0-2 7-3 0-0 0-0
2019 41-20 25-10 1-4 13-3 2-3 0-0
2018 51-30 24-13 9-9 5-4 13-4 0-0

Alex De Minaur has a 40-15 win-loss record in 2025, 22-7 on hard. In the last 11 years, the Australian has a 193-93 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Australian won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant result of this season was winning the title in Washington where he beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 5-7 6-1 7-6(3).

Last year at the U.S. Open the Australian was defeated by Jack Draper in the quarter 6-3 7-5 6-2.

H2H Jannik Sinner vs. Alex De Minaur

This would be the 11th time that Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur fight against each other. The head to head is 10-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Jannik Sinner may square off with Andrey Rublev. Their H2H is 7-3 for Jannik Sinner.

Final – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 10-5 for Carlos Alcaraz

71 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 71-9 28-4 22-1 10-3 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 58-6 win-loss record in 2025, 20-4 on hard. In the last 8 years, the Spaniard has a 117-29 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Spaniard will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 10 matches winning streak.

His best result of the year was conquering the competition in Rotterdam where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2, in Carlo where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0, in Rome where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1, at the French Open where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2), in London where he overcame Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2, and in Cincinnati where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 5-0 ret..

Last year at the U.S. Open Carlos was overcome by Botic Van De Zandschulp in the 2nd round 6-1 7-5 6-4.

H2H Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This contest would be 16th time that Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz clash against each other. The head to head is 10-5 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 5-2 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Jannik Sinner may take on Taylor Fritz. Their head to head is 4-1 for Jannik Sinner.