Alex De Minaur and Leandro Riedi will square off in the 4^th round of the U.S. Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.055
Leandro Riedi -> 9.5

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Leandro Riedi

There is no head to head record between Alex De Minaur and Leandro Riedi since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 8, the Australian got to the 4^th round after beating Christopher O Connell 6-3 6-4 6-4, Shintaro Mochizuki 6-2 6-4 6-2 and Daniel Altmaier 6-7(7) 6-3 6-4 2-0 ret..

In the 3^rd round against Altmaier, the Australian had a free pass after Altmaier retired on a 6-7⁷ 6-3 6-4 2-0 . scoreline.

De Minaur has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (399-220). 22-7 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, De Minaur has an aggregate 193-93 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Washington where he overcame Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 5-7 6-1 7-6(3).

The Australian has an aggregate 40-15 win-loss record in 2025, 22-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Leandro Riedi

Ranked no. 435, Riedi got to the 4^th round after defeating Luka Pavlovic 6-2 7-6(3), Otto Virtanen 7-6(8) 6-4, Garrett Johns 7-6(5) 6-4, Pedro Martinez Portero 6-4 6-2 6-3, Francisco Cerundolo 3-6 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-2 and Kamil Majchrzak 5-3 ret..

In the 3^rd round against Majchrzak, Leandro had a free pass after Majchrzak retired on a 5-3 . scoreline.

Riedi has a composed 18-7 win-loss record in 2025, 11-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023 and 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	De Minaur	Riedi
Match played	3	6
Tot Set	11	16
Tot Games	89	149
Pts	318-250	544-472
Total Points	568	1016
Winners	122	214
%Winners	38%	39%

De Minaur played 3 matches while Riedi competed in 6 matches. Riedi started his run from the qualifications while De Minaur had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur lost 1 set, while Leandro Riedi lost 2 sets. De Minaur has played 5 set(s) less than Riedi (11 vs 16). Therefore, De Minaur played 60 games less than Riedi. De Minaur scored 122 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Swiss struck 214 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	De Minaur	Riedi
Aces	27	57
Avg per match	9	9.5
1st in	157/281	286/483
%1st in	56%	59%
1st pts	122/157	214/286
%1st pts	78%	75%
2nd pts	76/124	103/197
%2nd pts	61%	52%

De Minaur fired 27 aces (9 per match). Riedi made 57 aces (9.5 per match). De Minaur won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Riedi won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	De Minaur	Riedi
Won	13	23
Converted	13/27	23/62
% Converted	48%	37%
Conceded	20	39
Saved	18	28
% Saved	90%	72%
Times Broken	2	11

The Australian broke his opponents 13 times with a 48% conversion rate. De Minaur lost his serve twice and he saved 90% of the break points that he conceded. Riedi broke his opponents 23 times with a 37% conversion rate. The Swiss conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
	R1 O Connell	R2 Mochizuki	R3 Altmaier	Total
Score	6-3 6-4 6-4	6-2 6-4 6-2	6-77 6-3 6-4 2-0 ret.
Tot Set	3	3	4	10
Tot Games	29	26	34	89
pts	95-76	101-75	122-99	318-250
Total points	171	176	221	568
Winners	36	40	46	122
%Winners	38%	40%	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	10	6	11	27
Double Faults	1	4	5	10
1st in	39/78	58/92	60/111	157/281
% 1st in	50%	63%	54%	56%
1st pts	36/39	40/58	46/60	122/157
% 1st pts	92%	69%	77%	78%
2nd pts	25/39	17/34	34/51	76/124
% 2nd pts	64%	50%	67%	61%
Breaks
Won	3	7	3	13
Converted	3/11	7/9	3/7	13/27
Converted %	27%	78%	43%	48%
Conceded	0	14	6	20
Saved	0/0	12/14	6/6	18
Saved %	–	86%	100%	62%
Times Broken	0	2	0	2

Riedi
	Q1 Pavlovic	Q2 Virtanen	Q3 Johns	R1 Martinez Portero	R2 Cerundolo	R3 Majchrzak	Total
Score	6-2 7-63	7-68 6-4	7-65 6-4	6-4 6-2 6-3	3-6 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-2	5-3 ret.
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	5	1	15
Tot Games	21	23	23	27	47	8	149
pts	88-72	83-72	79-73	105-79	162-155	27-21	544-472
Total points	160	155	152	184	317	48	1016
Winners	30	39	42	44	50	9	214
%Winners	34%	47%	53%	42%	31%	33%	39%
SERVE
Aces	10	6	10	15	15	1	57
Double Faults	7	4	1	4	7	1	24
1st in	40/75	53/82	53/79	55/83	71/139	14/25	286/483
% 1st in	53%	65%	67%	66%	51%	56%	59%
1st pts	30/40	39/53	42/53	44/55	50/71	9/14	214/286
% 1st pts	75%	74%	79%	80%	70%	64%	75%
2nd pts	19/35	12/29	15/26	15/28	38/68	4/11	103/197
% 2nd pts	54%	41%	58%	54%	56%	36%	52%
Breaks
Won	4	3	1	5	7	3	23
Converted	4/13	3/5	1/5	5/15	7/21	3/3	23/62
Converted %	31%	60%	20%	33%	33%	100%	37%
Conceded	7	8	5	8	7	4	39
Saved	5/7	6/8	5/5	8/8	2/7	2/4	28
Saved %	71%	75%	100%	100%	29%	50%	142%
Times Broken	2	2	0	0	5	2	11

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-3 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Taylor FritzFritz – Tomas MachacMachac (6-4 6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (7-6⁴ 6-4 2-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (7-6³ 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

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• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Andrey RublevRublev (1-7) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Alexander BublikBublik (4-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (1-4) – H2H and prediction