Andrey Rublev and Felix Auger-Aliassime will face off in the 4^th round of the U.S. Open for the 9^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:30 am on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.74
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 2.09

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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime

This will be the 9^th time that Andrey Rublev and Felix Auger-Aliassime face off. The head to head is 7-1 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Rublev won 6-1 6-4 in the semifinal in Hamburg back in May 2025.

Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime – Hamburg 23-May-2025

Andrey Rublev

Ranked no. 15, Rublev got to the 4^th round after beating Dino Prizmic 6-4 6-4 6-4, Tristan Boyer 6-3 6-3 5-7 7-6(4) and Chak Lam Coleman Wong 2-6 6-4 6-3 4-6 6-3.

In the 3^rd round, Rublev had a tough win against Lam Coleman Wong to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (2-6 6-4 6-3 4-6 6-3). During the match, Rublev scored 145 points vs Lam Coleman Wong’s 136. Rublev was exceptionally aggressive to blast 57 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rublev recorded 15 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Overall, Andrey Rublev was quite effective on serve to win 81% (57/70) of his 1st serve and 52% (36/69) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Rublev broke Lam Coleman Wong 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 3 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Rublev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (437-241). 16-9 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Rublev has an aggregate 189-97 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Doha where he beat Jack Draper in the final 7-5 5-7 6-1.

Rublev has an aggregate 32-19 win-loss record in 2025, 16-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ranked no. 27, the Canadian got to the 4^th round after defeating Billy Harris 6-4 7-6(8) 6-4, Roman Safiullin 6-1 7-6(4) 7-6(5) and Alexander Zverev 4-6 7-6(7) 6-4 6-4.

In the 3^rd round against Zverev, Felix recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-6⁷ 6-4 6-4). During the match Auger-Aliassime scored 141 points vs Zverev’s 121. Felix was extremely aggressive to blast 59 winners.

Talking about serving, Auger-Aliassime scored 10 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Overall, Felix Auger-Aliassime was very efficient on serve to win 78% (59/76) of his 1st serve and 66% (35/53) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Felix broke Zverev 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Auger-Aliassime has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Adelaide where he beat Sebastian Korda in the final 6-3 3-6 6-1 and in Montpellier where he defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic in the final 6-2 6-7(7) 7-6(2).

Auger-Aliassime has a compiled 32-19 win-loss record in 2025, 19-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See his history

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rublev	Auger-Aliassime
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	12	10
Tot Games	119	109
Pts	376-335	386-328
Total Points	711	714
Winners	155	169
%Winners	41%	44%

Both Rublev and Auger-Aliassime played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev conceded 3 sets, while Felix Auger-Aliassime dropped 1 set. Rublev has played 2 sets more than Auger-Aliassime (12 vs 10). Therefore, Rublev played 10 games more than Auger-Aliassime. Rublev scored 155 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian made 169 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rublev	Auger-Aliassime
Aces	45	34
Avg per match	15	11.3
1st in	187/358	220/342
%1st in	52%	64%
1st pts	155/187	169/220
%1st pts	83%	77%
2nd pts	91/171	72/122
%2nd pts	53%	59%

Rublev fired 45 aces (15 per match). Auger-Aliassime managed to score 34 aces (11.3 per match). Rublev won 83% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Auger-Aliassime won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rublev	Auger-Aliassime
Won	12	11
Converted	12/25	11/27
% Converted	48%	41%
Conceded	16	26
Saved	10	20
% Saved	63%	77%
Times Broken	6	6

Rublev broke his opponents 12 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Russian lost his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Auger-Aliassime broke his opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. Auger-Aliassime conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.

Rublev
	R1 Prizmic	R2 Boyer	R3 Lam Coleman Wong	Total
Score	6-4 6-4 6-4	6-3 6-3 5-7 7-64	2-6 6-4 6-3 4-6 6-3
Tot Set	3	4	5	12
Tot Games	30	43	46	119
pts	92-73	139-126	145-136	376-335
Total points	165	265	281	711
Winners	36	62	57	155
%Winners	39%	45%	39%	41%
SERVE
Aces	9	21	15	45
Double Faults	3	5	8	16
1st in	41/87	76/132	70/139	187/358
% 1st in	47%	58%	50%	52%
1st pts	36/41	62/76	57/70	155/187
% 1st pts	88%	82%	81%	83%
2nd pts	28/46	27/56	36/69	91/171
% 2nd pts	61%	48%	52%	53%
Breaks
Won	3	5	4	12
Converted	3/3	5/11	4/11	12/25
Converted %	100%	45%	36%	48%
Conceded	3	7	6	16
Saved	3/3	4/7	3/6	10
Saved %	100%	57%	50%	69%
Times Broken	0	3	3	6

Auger-Aliassime
	R1 Harris	R2 Safiullin	R3 Zverev	Total
Score	6-4 7-68 6-4	6-1 7-64 7-65	4-6 7-67 6-4 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	4	10
Tot Games	33	33	43	109
pts	115-102	130-105	141-121	386-328
Total points	217	235	262	714
Winners	53	57	59	169
%Winners	46%	44%	42%	44%
SERVE
Aces	10	14	10	34
Double Faults	5	5	8	18
1st in	72/107	72/106	76/129	220/342
% 1st in	67%	68%	59%	64%
1st pts	53/72	57/72	59/76	169/220
% 1st pts	74%	79%	78%	77%
2nd pts	17/35	20/34	35/53	72/122
% 2nd pts	49%	59%	66%	59%
Breaks
Won	5	3	3	11
Converted	5/8	3/13	3/6	11/27
Converted %	63%	23%	50%	41%
Conceded	10	7	9	26
Saved	7/10	6/7	7/9	20
Saved %	70%	86%	78%	78%
Times Broken	3	1	2	6

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-3 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (7-6³ 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (7-6⁴ 6-4 2-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Taylor FritzFritz – Tomas MachacMachac (6-4 6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (10-0) – H2H and prediction
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Andrey RublevRublev (1-7) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Alexander BublikBublik (4-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (1-4) – H2H and prediction