Hiroki Moriya and Yaojie Zeng will play each other in the qualifications of the Shanghai Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 3:30 pm on COURT 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hiroki Moriya who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Hiroki Moriya is the pick to win this match.
Hiroki Moriya -> 1.28
Yaojie Zeng -> 3.4

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Prediction and head to head Hiroki Moriya vs. Yaojie Zeng

There is no head to head record between Hiroki Moriya and Yaojie Zeng since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Hiroki Moriya

Ranked no. 372, Moriya got to the qualifications after beating Shixun Zhu 6-4 5-0 ret..

In the qualifications against Zhu, Moriya had a free pass after Zhu retired on a 6-4 5-0 . scoreline.

Moriya has a unfavourable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won only 49% of his matches (270-280). 23-20 on hard in 2025. . In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Moriya has a composed 220-198 record in the last years on hard.

The Japanese’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Wichita.

Moriya has an aggregate 23-20 win-loss record in 2025, 23-20 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Shanghai Challenger

Yaojie Zeng

Ranked no. 887, Zeng reached the qualifications after defeating Ryuki Matsuda 7-6(1) 3-6 6-3.

In the qualifications, Yaojie defeated Matsuda (7-6¹ 3-6 6-3). During the match Zeng scored 96 points vs Matsuda’s 89. Yaojie was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Zeng made 12 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Yaojie Zeng was quite effective on serve to win 81% (38/47) of his 1st serve and 68% (25/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Yaojie broke Matsuda once after converting 14% of his break points (1/7).

Zeng’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in M15 Luan and M15 Maanshan.

Yaojie has an aggregate 24-15 win-loss record in 2025, 18-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Moriya	Zeng
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	15	31
Pts	64-41	96-89
Total Points	105	185
Winners	21	38
%Winners	33%	40%

Both Moriya and Zeng played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Yaojie Zeng conceded 1 set while Hiroki Moriya hasn’t conceded a set so far. Talking about their workload, Moriya and Zeng have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Moriya played 16 games less than Zeng. Hiroki scored 21 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Yaojie blasted 38 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Moriya	Zeng
Aces	6	12
Avg per match	6	12
1st in	24/35	47/84
%1st in	69%	56%
1st pts	21/24	38/47
%1st pts	88%	81%
2nd pts	7/11	25/37
%2nd pts	64%	68%

Moriya managed to score 6 aces . Zeng made 12 aces . Moriya won 88% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Zeng won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Moriya	Zeng
Won	4	1
Converted	4/9	1/7
% Converted	44%	14%
Conceded	0	2
Saved	0	1
% Saved	0%	50%
Times Broken	0	1

The Japanese broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Japanese pretty solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Chinese broke his opponent once with a 14% conversion rate. Yaojie conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Moriya
	Q1 Zhu	Total
Score	6-4 5-0 ret.
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	15	15
pts	64-41	64-41
Total points	105	105
Winners	21	21
%Winners	33%	33%
SERVE
Aces	6	6
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	24/35	24/35
% 1st in	69%	69%
1st pts	21/24	21/24
% 1st pts	88%	88%
2nd pts	7/11	7/11
% 2nd pts	64%	64%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/9	4/9
Converted %	44%	44%
Conceded	0	0
Saved	0/0	0
Saved %	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0

Zeng
	Q1 Matsuda	Total
Score	7-61 3-6 6-3
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	31	31
pts	96-89	96-89
Total points	185	185
Winners	38	38
%Winners	40%	40%
SERVE
Aces	12	12
Double Faults	5	5
1st in	47/84	47/84
% 1st in	56%	56%
1st pts	38/47	38/47
% 1st pts	81%	81%
2nd pts	25/37	25/37
% 2nd pts	68%	68%
Breaks
Won	1	1
Converted	1/7	1/7
Converted %	14%	14%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	1/2	1
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	1	1

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