Kaya Arinc and Mert Naci Turker will square off in the 1st round of the Istanbul Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 4:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mert Naci Turker who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mert Naci Turker is the pick to win this match.
Mert Naci Turker -> 1.34
Kaya Arinc -> 3.04

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Prediction and head to head Kaya Arinc vs. Mert Naci Turker

This will be the 2nd time that Kaya Arinc and Mert Naci Turker face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Naci Turker (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Naci Turker won 6-1 6-2

in the qualifications in M15 Antalya back in 2019.

Kaya Arinc

Kaya Arinc

12 - 15win/loss

Clay
12-15
Rank
High
LLWLWWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-16 0-1 12-15 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 19-17 0-0 19-17 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 27-23 0-0 27-23 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 11-16 5-6 6-10 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 3-8 0-0 3-8 0-0 0-0 0-0

Currently unranked, the American will start his run in the Istanbul Challenger after he played his last match in M15 Tehran where he lost 6-4 1-6 10-7 to Asylkozhaev in the qualifications on the 5th of May.

Kaya has a composed 12-15 win-loss record in 2025, 0-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

This will be the first match of the year on hard.

Talking about his overall career, Arinc has an overall 78-113 record. He has a negative 7-12 record on hard.

Previously in the Istanbul Challenger

Arinc has never competed in this tournament before.

Istanbul Challenger
Arinc's Record

Mert Naci Turker

Mert Naci Turker

18 - 17win/loss

Hard
6-7
I Hard
1-0
Clay
11-10
Rank
870
High
792
LWLLWLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-18 7-8 11-10 1-0 0-0 0-0
2024 35-20 3-3 32-17 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 17-15 0-0 17-15 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 26-18 2-2 24-16 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 9-15 1-1 8-14 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 853, the Turk will start his run in the Istanbul Challenger after he played his last match in M25 Monastir where he lost 6-3 6-4 to Echargui in the 1st round on the 6th of August.

Mert has a composed 18-17 win-loss record in 2025, 6-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

The Turk’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in M15 Antalya and M15 Kayseri.

In terms of his career, Naci Turker has an overall 157-157 record. He has a negative 23-29 record on hard.

Istanbul Challenger
Naci Turker's Record

Upcoming matches in the draw