Luca Potenza and Arda Azkara will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Istanbul Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 10:00 am on COURT 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Potenza who should win in 3 sets.
Luca Potenza -> 1.7
Arda Azkara -> 2.06
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Prediction and head to head Luca Potenza vs. Arda Azkara
There is no head to head record between Luca Potenza and Arda Azkara since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Luca Potenza
42 - 23win/loss
362
357
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 58-31 | 53-25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-17 | 14-7 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-28 | 6-9 | 13-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-26 | 10-9 | 13-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-25 | 27-13 | 6-7 | 6-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 479, Luca got to the qualifications after defeating Manas Manoj Dhamne 7-6(3) 6-4.
In the qualifications, Potenza had a good straight sets win against Manoj Dhamne (7-63 6-4). During the match, Potenza scored 85 points vs Manoj Dhamne’s 76. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Potenza fired 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Luca Potenza lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Potenza put 61% of his first serves in, winning 66% (29/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (18/28) on the 2nd serve. Luca broke Manoj Dhamne 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Potenza has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (205-142). 39-19 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Potenza has a composed141-72 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Potenza’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Monastir.
The Italian has a compiled 42-23 win-loss record in 2025, 39-19 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Istanbul Challenger
Potenza has never competed in this tournament before.
Arda Azkara
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28-11 | 24-8 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 12-10 | 12-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 12-6 | 4-3 | 2-1 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 569, Azkara got to the qualifications after defeating Bora Sengul 6-1 6-3.
In the qualifications, The Turk had a good straight sets win against Sengul (6-1 6-3). During the match Azkara scored 59 points vs Sengul’s 39. Arda was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about serving, Azkara struck 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Arda Azkara was pretty effective on serve to win 80% (20/25) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Turk broke Sengul 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Azkara’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Kayseri.
Arda has a compiled 25-7 win-loss record in 2025, 24-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Potenza | Azkara |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 16 |
| Pts | 85-76 | 59-39 |
| Total Points | 161 | 98 |
| Winners | 29 | 20 |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% |
Both Potenza and Azkara played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Potenza and Azkara have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Potenza played 7 games more than Azkara. The Italian scored 29 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Turk scored 20 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Potenza | Azkara |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 7 |
| 1st in | 44/72 | 25/45 |
| %1st in | 61% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 29/44 | 20/25 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 18/28 | 11/20 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 55% |
Potenza fired 6 aces . Azkara made 7 aces . Potenza won 66% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Azkara won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Potenza | Azkara |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/10 | 5/7 |
| % Converted | 30% | 71% |
| Conceded | 6 | 3 |
| Saved | 4 | 2 |
| % Saved | 67% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
The Italian broke his opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. Luca conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Arda broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Arda conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Potenza | |||
| Q1 Manoj | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 85-76 | 85-76 | |
| Total points | 161 | 161 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 44/72 | 44/72 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 29/44 | 29/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/28 | 18/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/10 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Azkara | |||
| Q1 Sengul | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 59-39 | 59-39 | |
| Total points | 98 | 98 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 25/45 | 25/45 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 20/25 | 20/25 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 11/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
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