Elena Rybakina is 4 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. Rybakina has defeated Julieta Pareja 6-3 6-0, Tereza Valentova 6-3 7-67 and Emma Raducanu 6-1 6-2 to reach the 4th round where she will face Marketa Vondrousova.
Draw prediction with head to head records
This is Elena Rybakina’s projected draw withherplausible opponents at the U.S. Open. Elena has a weak record (11-17) against the presumable opposition.
R4 – Marketa Vondrousova’s rankings and performance.
Head to head record 1-1
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-10 | 10-8 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 16-11 | 5-4 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-18 | 19-12 | 9-3 | 4-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-7 | 11-3 | 2-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-19 | 21-10 | 4-4 | 8-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-10 | 4-6 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 29-9 | 9-3 | 15-3 | 4-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 21-20 | 12-12 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
Marketa Vondrousova has a 17-8 record in 2025, 9-6 on hard. In the course of the last 12 years, the Czech has a 110-62 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Vondrousova won 7 of her last 10 matches.
Her most significant result of the current year was winning the title in Berlin where she beat Xinyu Wang in the final 7-6(10) 4-6 6-2.
Last year at the U.S. Open Vondrousova didn’t play in this event.
H2H Elena Rybakina vs. Marketa Vondrousova
This would be the 3rd time that Elena Rybakina and Marketa Vondrousova fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Rybakina and Vondrousova (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.
1/4 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 7-5 for Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 63-12 | 35-6 | 17-3 | 4-1 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 39-22 | 28-12 | 5-5 | 4-1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 51-25 | 34-13 | 7-6 | 3-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Aryna Sabalenka has a 53-10 record in 2025, 29-5 on hard. During the previous 10 years, Sabalenka has a 256-97 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Belarussian won 8 of her last 10 matches.
Her best achievement of the year was winning the title in Brisbane where she beat Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2, in Miami where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2, and in Madrid where she defeated Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).
Last year at the U.S. Open the Belarussian won the event after ousting Jessica Pegula 7-5 7-5.
H2H Elena Rybakina vs. Aryna Sabalenka
This match would represent the 13th
time that Elena Rybakina and Aryna Sabalenka play each other. The head to head is 7-5 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they are 4-4 on hard in major tournaments.However, Elena Rybakina may take on Cristina Bucsa. Their head to head record is 2-0 for Elena Rybakina.
1/2 – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 3-1 for Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53-23 | 35-12 | 11-5 | 3-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 25-19 | 14-10 | 4-5 | 4-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 50-22 | 21-9 | 22-10 | 7-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Jessica Pegula has a 40-16 win-loss record in 2025, 25-9 on hard. As for the last 17 years, Jessica has a 276-135 record on hard (Click here
to see full career record). Pegula won 6 of her last 10 matches.Her most significant result of this year was winning the title in Austin where she defeated Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2, in Charleston where she defeated Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5, and in Bad Homburg where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 7-5.
Last year at the U.S. Open the American lost to Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-5 7-5.
H2H Elena Rybakina vs. Jessica Pegula
This match would represent the 5th time that Elena Rybakina and Jessica Pegula play each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard in major tournaments.
However, Elena Rybakina could take on Ann Li. Their head to head record is 0-0.
Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 6-4 for Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 64-17 | 40-10 | 11-4 | 3-2 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 34-17 | 17-8 | 10-3 | 4-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 43-6 | 8-1 | 34-5 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Iga Swiatek has a 52-12 win-loss record in 2025, 31-7 on hard. In connection to the last 10 years, the Pole has a 193-49 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Iga will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 8 matches winning streak.
Her most significant result of this current year was conquering the competition at the Wimbledon where she defeated Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-0 6-0, and in Cincinnati where she beat Jasmine Paolini in the final 7-5 6-4.
Last year at the U.S. Open Swiatek was defeated by Jessica Pegula in the quarter 6-2 6-4.
H2H Elena Rybakina vs. Iga Swiatek
This would be the 11th time that Elena Rybakina and Iga Swiatek play each other. The head to head is 6-4 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 4-2 on hard in major tournaments.
Alternatively, Elena Rybakina could fight against Cori Gauff. Their H2H is 1-0 for Cori Gauff.