Aryna Sabalenka is 4 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. Sabalenka has defeated Rebeka Masarova 7-5 6-1, Polina Kudermetova 7-64 6-2 and Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-3 7-62 to reach the 4th round where she will face Cristina Bucsa.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Aryna Sabalenka’s projected draw withherplausible opposition at the U.S. Open. Sabalenka has a good record (19-15) with the plausible opponents.

R1 – Rebeka Masarova (108) – 7-5 6-1
R2 – Polina Kudermetova (67) – 7-64 6-2
R3 – Leylah Annie Fernandez (30) – 6-3 7-62
R4 – Cristina Bucsa (95) – H2H 0-0
1/4 – Elena Rybakina (10) – H2H 7-5
or Marketa Vondrousova (60) – H2H 5-4
1/2 – Jessica Pegula (4) – H2H 7-2
or Ann Li (58) – H2H 2-0
Fin – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 5-8
or Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 5-6
Latest Updated
Draw

R4 – Cristina Bucsa’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

34 - 31win/loss in 2025

Rank
54
High
54
LWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-31 24-20 2-6 2-1 6-4 0-0
2024 24-29 14-18 8-7 0-0 2-4 0-0
2023 35-30 17-15 7-8 8-3 3-4 0-0
2022 49-31 17-8 15-12 10-6 5-4 2-1
2021 31-27 9-7 9-11 6-6 5-2 2-1
2020 14-13 4-3 8-5 2-5 0-0 0-0
2019 49-21 19-6 8-5 18-6 1-1 3-3
2018 38-19 7-3 21-8 3-3 0-0 7-5

Cristina Bucsa has a 26-25 win-loss record in 2025, 16-14 on hard. In the course of the last 10 years, Bucsa has a 116-78 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Spaniard won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Last year at the U.S. Open Cristina surrendered to Sara Errani in the 1st round 3-6 6-0 6-4.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Cristina Bucsa

There is no head to head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Cristina Bucsa since this would be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

1/4 – Elena Rybakina’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 7-5 for Aryna Sabalenka

59 - 19win/loss in 2025

Rank
5
High
3
WWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 59-19 37-13 9-3 8-0 5-3 0-0
2024 43-11 23-5 12-2 2-2 6-2 0-0
2023 47-15 31-11 11-2 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 40-21 18-12 9-5 5-2 8-2 0-0
2021 33-23 18-14 6-4 2-2 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 18-5 7-3 4-2 0-0 0-0
2019 57-21 19-9 15-6 16-4 7-2 0-0
2018 32-22 11-8 7-9 13-4 0-0 1-1

Elena Rybakina has a 44-16 win-loss record in 2025, 28-10 on hard. Talking about the previous 11 years, Elena has a 178-81 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Kazakhstani won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of this season was winning the competition in Strasbourg where she defeated Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-7(2) 6-1.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Kazakhstani was overcome by Jessika Ponchet in the 2nd round w/o.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina

This match would represent the 13th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina square off. The head to head is 7-5 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they are 4-4 on hard in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Aryna Sabalenka could square off with Marketa Vondrousova. Their H2H record is 5-4 for Aryna Sabalenka.

1/2 – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 7-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

53 - 23win/loss in 2025

Rank
6
High
3
LWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 35-12 11-5 3-4 4-2 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2020 17-9 16-7 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 25-19 14-10 4-5 4-1 3-3 0-0
2018 50-22 21-9 22-10 7-2 0-1 0-0

Jessica Pegula has a 40-16 win-loss record in 2025, 25-9 on hard. During the last 17 years, Jessica has a 276-135 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The American won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Her best achievement of the current year was winning the competition in Austin where she overcame Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2, in Charleston where she beat Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5, and in Bad Homburg where she overcame Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 7-5.

Last year at the U.S. Open the American was overcome by Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-5 7-5.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula

This contest would be 10th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula play each other. The head to head is 7-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 4-2 on hard in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Aryna Sabalenka may compete against Ann Li. Their H2H record is 2-0 for Aryna Sabalenka.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 8-5 for Iga Swiatek

64 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 52-12 win-loss record in 2025, 31-7 on hard. Regarding the previous 10 years, the Pole has a 193-49 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Iga will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 8 matches winning streak.

Her most significant result of the year was conquering the tournament at the Wimbledon where she defeated Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-0 6-0, and in Cincinnati where she overcame Jasmine Paolini in the final 7-5 6-4.

Last year at the U.S. Open Iga capitulated to Jessica Pegula in the quarter 6-2 6-4.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Iga Swiatek

This match would represent the 14th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek clash against each other. The head to head is 8-5 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they are 3-3 on hard in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Aryna Sabalenka could fight against Cori Gauff. Their head to head is 6-5 for Cori Gauff.