Jurij Rodionov and Daniel Rincon will play each other in the final of the Manacor Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 7:00 pm on PISTA 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jurij Rodionov who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jurij Rodionov is the pick to win this match.
Jurij Rodionov -> 1.7
Daniel Rincon -> 2.06

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Prediction and head to head Jurij Rodionov vs. Daniel Rincon

This will be the 3^rd time that Jurij Rodionov and Daniel Rincon fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Rodionov and Rincon (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Rodionov won 6-1 1-6 6-0 in the 1^st round in the Oeiras 3 Challenger back in January 2025.

Jurij Rodionov

Ranked no. 154, the Austrian got to the final after beating Matteo Martineau 6-4 4-6 6-2, Justin Engel 6-4 7-5, Daniel Masur 6-7(1) 7-6(2) 7-6(6) and Edas Butvilas 5-7 6-2 6-1.

In the semifinal against Butvilas, The Austrian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-2 6-1). During the match, Rodionov scored 106 points vs Butvilas’s 89. Rodionov was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rodionov recorded 6 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Jurij Rodionov lost the serve 3 times and he saved 14 break points. Furthermore, Rodionov put 57% of his first serves in, winning 73% (41/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (19/42) on the 2nd serve. Rodionov broke Butvilas 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Austrian has dropped 3 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Rodionov has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (304-234). 10-7 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rodionov has a composed 73-57 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Bonn Challenger where he beat Timofey Skatov in the final 3-6 6-2 6-4.

Jurij has a composed 31-21 win-loss record in 2025, 10-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Manacor Challenger

Daniel Rincon

Ranked no. 287, Daniel reached the final after defeating Abedallah Shelbayh 6-4 3-6 7-6(1), Hamish Stewart 2-6 6-3 7-5, Miguel Tobon 3-6 6-1 6-0 and Harold Mayot 6-7(2) 7-5 4-1 ret..

In the semifinal against Mayot, Daniel had a free pass after Mayot retired on a 6-7² 7-5 4-1 . scoreline.

Rincon’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Oeiras 1 Challenger,the Tenerife 2 Challenger,the Glasgow Challenger and the Manacor Challenger.

The Spaniard has a composed 28-23 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Manacor Challenger

Daniel has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rodionov	Rincon
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	11	13
Tot Games	116	113
Pts	409-378	350-315
Total Points	787	665
Winners	172	139
%Winners	42%	40%

Both Rodionov and Rincon played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jurij Rodionov conceded 3 sets, while Daniel Rincon lost 4 sets. Rodionov has played 2 set(s) less than Rincon (11 vs 13). However, it’s interesting to notice that Rodionov played 3 games more than Rincon. The Austrian scored 172 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard made 139 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rodionov	Rincon
Aces	35	20
Avg per match	8.8	5
1st in	251/417	190/319
%1st in	60%	60%
1st pts	172/251	139/190
%1st pts	69%	73%
2nd pts	86/166	66/129
%2nd pts	52%	51%

Rodionov made 35 aces (8.8 per match). Rincon scored 20 aces (5 per match). Rodionov won 69% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Rincon won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rodionov	Rincon
Won	18	19
Converted	18/36	19/37
% Converted	50%	51%
Conceded	48	20
Saved	37	7
% Saved	77%	35%
Times Broken	11	13

Jurij broke his opponents 18 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Austrian lost his serve 11 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. Rincon broke his opponents 19 times with a 51% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 13 times and he saved 35% of the break points that he conceded.

Rodionov
	R1 Martineau	R2 Engel	1/4 Masur	1/2 Butvilas	Total
Score	6-4 4-6 6-2	6-4 7-5	6-71 7-62 7-66	5-7 6-2 6-1
Tot Set	3	2	3	3	11
Tot Games	28	22	39	27	116
pts	92-86	83-67	128-136	106-89	409-378
Total points	178	150	264	195	787
Winners	34	38	59	41	172
%Winners	37%	46%	46%	39%	42%
SERVE
Aces	6	10	13	6	35
Double Faults	4	1	3	5	13
1st in	52/90	45/69	98/160	56/98	251/417
% 1st in	58%	65%	61%	57%	60%
1st pts	34/52	38/45	59/98	41/56	172/251
% 1st pts	65%	84%	60%	73%	69%
2nd pts	21/38	11/24	35/62	19/42	86/166
% 2nd pts	55%	46%	56%	45%	52%
Breaks
Won	5	2	5	6	18
Converted	5/10	2/9	5/6	6/11	18/36
Converted %	50%	22%	83%	55%	50%
Conceded	10	4	17	17	48
Saved	7/10	4/4	12/17	14/17	37
Saved %	70%	100%	71%	82%	81%
Times Broken	3	0	5	3	11

Rincon
	R1 Shelbayh	R2 Stewart	1/4 Tobon	1/2 Mayot	Total
Score	6-4 3-6 7-61	2-6 6-3 7-5	3-6 6-1 6-0	6-72 7-5 4-1 ret.
Tot Set	3	3	3	3	12
Tot Games	32	29	22	30	113
pts	91-88	89-85	76-54	94-88	350-315
Total points	179	174	130	182	665
Winners	40	32	29	38	139
%Winners	44%	36%	38%	40%	40%
SERVE
Aces	7	2	8	3	20
Double Faults	3	4	2	1	10
1st in	59/92	45/81	34/63	52/83	190/319
% 1st in	64%	56%	54%	63%	60%
1st pts	40/59	32/45	29/34	38/52	139/190
% 1st pts	68%	71%	85%	73%	73%
2nd pts	15/33	20/36	15/29	16/31	66/129
% 2nd pts	45%	56%	52%	52%	51%
Breaks
Won	5	4	5	5	19
Converted	5/10	4/10	5/10	5/7	19/37
Converted %	50%	40%	50%	71%	51%
Conceded	6	8	3	3	20
Saved	0/6	4/8	2/3	1/3	7
Saved %	0%	50%	67%	33%	38%
Times Broken	6	4	1	2	13

Upcoming matches in the draw