Taylor Fritz and Tomas Machac will square off in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Taylor Fritz who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Taylor Fritz is the pick to win this match.
Taylor Fritz -> 1.35
Tomas Machac -> 3.2

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Prediction and head to head Taylor Fritz vs. Tomas Machac

This will be the 3rd time that Taylor Fritz and Tomas Machac square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Fritz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Fritz won 6-7(4) 6-5 ret. in the semifinal in Perth sydney back in January 2025.

Highlights Taylor Fritz vs Tomas Machac – Perth sydney 04-January-2025

Taylor Fritz

Taylor Fritz

41 - 15win/loss

Hard
24-8
I Hard
1-1
Clay
3-4
Grass
13-2
Rank
6
High
4
LLWLWLWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 31-12 3-4 6-5 13-2 0-0
2024 54-23 23-10 15-7 6-4 10-2 0-0
2023 54-24 35-11 11-6 5-3 3-4 0-0
2022 46-21 24-8 5-3 9-7 8-3 0-0
2021 34-22 20-13 4-5 8-3 2-1 0-0

Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Taylor got to the 4th round after beating Emilio Nava 7-5 6-2 6-3, Lloyd Harris 4-6 7-6(3) 6-2 6-4 and Jerome Kym 7-6(3) 6-7(9) 6-4 6-4.

In the 3rd round, Taylor defeated Kym (7-63 6-79 6-4 6-4). During the match, Fritz scored 136 points vs Kym’s 120. Taylor was pretty aggressive to blast 66 winners.

Regarding the service games, Fritz submerged his opponent with 20 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Taylor Fritz was pretty effective on serve to win 84% (66/79) of his 1st serve and 63% (30/48) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Fritz broke Kym 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has conceded 2 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Fritz has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (403-234). 24-8 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Fritz has an overall 233-117 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Australia where he defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(4) and in Stuttgart where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(0) and in Eastbourne where he beat Jenson Brooksby in the final 7-5 6-1.

The American has an aggregate 41-15 win-loss record in 2025, 24-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Fritz's Record

Tomas Machac

Tomas Machac

22 - 14win/loss

Hard
14-6
I Hard
3-1
Clay
2-5
Grass
3-2
Rank
32
High
20
LLLWLLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-19 15-9 2-5 3-3 3-2 0-0
2024 37-24 22-11 9-5 5-6 1-2 0-0
2023 52-27 15-10 16-11 18-5 3-1 0-0
2022 47-19 24-6 5-2 18-10 0-0 0-1
2021 28-19 5-4 5-4 12-6 2-3 4-2

Ranked no. 22, Tomas reached the 4th round after defeating Luca Nardi 6-3 6-1 6-1, Joao Fonseca 7-6(4) 6-2 6-3 and Ugo Blanchet 7-5 6-3 6-1.

In the 3rd round, Tomas had a good straight sets win against Blanchet (7-5 6-3 6-1). During the match Machac scored 98 points vs Blanchet’s 64. Tomas was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about serving, Machac recorded 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Tomas Machac was very effective on serve to win 78% (35/45) of his 1st serve and 56% (18/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Machac broke Blanchet 7 times after converting 78% of his break points (7/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Czech hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in Acapulco where he defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.

Tomas has a compiled 22-14 win-loss record in 2025, 14-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2024. See his history.

U.S. Open
Machac's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

T.Fritz
T.Machac
!
8h:23
8h:23
Time on court​
5h:10
5h:10
!
2h:58
2h:58
Last match​
1h:52
1h:52
3
3
Match played
3
3
116
116
Games Played​
81
81
11
11
Set played​​
9
9
393
393
Total points​
273
273
131
131
Avg point​
91
91
169
169
Winners
110
110
56.3
56.3
Avg Winners​
36.7
36.7
43%
43%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
48
48
Aces
19
19
!
16
16
Avg Aces
6.3
6.3
9
9
Double Faults
4
4
3
3
Avg Double Faults
1.3
1.3
169/214
169/214
1st won total​
110/140
110/140
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
81/136
81/136
2nd won total​
57/88
57/88
60%
60%
2nd won %
!
65%
65%
-- Break Points --
12/30
12/30
BP won
17/29
17/29
4/10
4/10
Avg BP won
5.7/9.7
5.7/9.7
40%
40%
Won
!
59%
59%
14
14
Conceded
11
11
4.7
4.7
Avg Conceded
3.7
3.7
4
4
Broken
2
2
1.3
1.3
Avg Broken
!
0.7
0.7
10
10
Saved
9
9

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Fritz Machac
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 11 9
Tot Games 116 81
Pts 393-333 273-191
Total Points 726 464
Winners 169 110
%Winners 43% 40%

Both Fritz and Machac played 3 matches. At the moment, Taylor Fritz dropped 2 sets while Tomas Machac hasn’t lost a set so far. Fritz has played 2 sets more than Machac (11 vs 9). Therefore, Fritz played 35 games more than Machac. Taylor scored 169 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Machac bagged 110 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Fritz Machac
Aces 48 19
Avg per match 16 6.3
1st in 214/350 140/228
%1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 169/214 110/140
%1st pts 79% 79%
2nd pts 81/136 57/88
%2nd pts 60% 65%

Fritz bagged 48 aces (16 per match). Machac recorded 19 aces (6.3 per match). Fritz won 79% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Machac won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Fritz Machac
Won 12 17
Converted 12/30 17/29
% Converted 40% 59%
Conceded 14 11
Saved 10 9
% Saved 71% 82%
Times Broken 4 2

Fritz broke his opponents 12 times with a 40% conversion rate. Fritz conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Tomas broke his opponents 17 times with a 59% conversion rate. Machac conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.

Fritz
R1
Nava
R2
Lloyd
R3
Kym
Total
Score 7-5 6-2 6-3 4-6 7-63 6-2 6-4 7-63 6-79 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 3 4 4 11
Tot Games 29 41 46 116
pts 105-83 152-130 136-120 393-333
Total points 188 282 256 726
Winners 39 64 66 169
%Winners 37% 42% 49% 43%
SERVE
Aces 11 17 20 48
Double Faults 5 3 1 9
1st in 50/88 85/135 79/127 214/350
% 1st in 57% 63% 62% 61%
1st pts 39/50 64/85 66/79 169/214
% 1st pts 78% 75% 84% 79%
2nd pts 26/38 25/50 30/48 81/136
% 2nd pts 68% 50% 63% 60%
Breaks
Won 4 5 3 12
Converted 4/10 5/14 3/6 12/30
Converted % 40% 36% 50% 40%
Conceded 4 8 2 14
Saved 4/4 5/8 1/2 10
Saved % 100% 63% 50% 71%
Times Broken 0 3 1 4
Machac
R1
Nardi
R2
Fonseca
R3
Blanchet
Total
Score 6-3 6-1 6-1 7-64 6-2 6-3 7-5 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 3 3 3 9
Tot Games 23 30 28 81
pts 81-49 94-78 98-64 273-191
Total points 130 172 162 464
Winners 31 44 35 110
%Winners 38% 47% 36% 40%
SERVE
Aces 10 3 6 19
Double Faults 0 2 2 4
1st in 40/58 55/93 45/77 140/228
% 1st in 69% 59% 58% 61%
1st pts 31/40 44/55 35/45 110/140
% 1st pts 78% 80% 78% 79%
2nd pts 14/18 25/38 18/32 57/88
% 2nd pts 78% 66% 56% 65%
Breaks
Won 7 3 7 17
Converted 7/14 3/6 7/9 17/29
Converted % 50% 50% 78% 59%
Conceded 2 4 5 11
Saved 2/2 4/4 3/5 9
Saved % 100% 100% 60% 87%
Times Broken 0 0 2 2

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw