Carlos Alcaraz and Arthur Rinderknech will clash against each other in the 4^th round of the U.S. Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:30 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.035
Arthur Rinderknech -> 11.5

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Arthur Rinderknech

This will be the 4^th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Arthur Rinderknech play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Alcaraz won 7-5 6-4 in the quarter in London back in June 2025.

Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech – London 20-June-2025

Carlos Alcaraz

Ranked no. 2, Carlos got to the 4^th round after defeating Reilly Opelka 6-4 7-5 6-4, Mattia Bellucci 6-1 6-0 6-3 and Luciano Darderi 6-2 6-4 6-0.

In the 3^rd round, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Darderi (6-2 6-4 6-0). During the match, Alcaraz scored 91 points vs Darderi’s 56. Carlos was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alcaraz bagged 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was very effective on serve to win 79% (37/47) of his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Carlos broke Darderi 7 times after converting 39% of his break points (7/18).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 60% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 81% of his matches (344-82). 19-4 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has an aggregate116-29 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2 and in Carlo where he defeated Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0 and in Rome where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2) and in London where he defeated Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2 and in Cincinnati where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 5-0 ret..

Alcaraz has an overall 57-6 win-loss record in 2025, 19-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Arthur Rinderknech

Ranked no. 82, Rinderknech reached the 4^th round after beating Roberto Carballes Baena 7-6(2) 7-5 4-6 6-2, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-4 3-6 2-6 6-2 6-3 and Benjamin Bonzi 4-6 6-3 6-3 6-2.

In the 3^rd round against Bonzi, Arthur recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-3 6-2). During the match Rinderknech scored 116 points vs Bonzi’s 97. Rinderknech was very aggressive to blast 57 winners.

Talking about serving, Rinderknech managed to score 15 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Arthur Rinderknech was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (57/73) of his 1st serve and 56% (22/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Arthur broke Bonzi 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Arthur has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Rinderknech’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Kitzbuhel.

Arthur has a composed 22-28 win-loss record in 2025, 6-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alcaraz	Rinderknech
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	9	13
Tot Games	78	123
Pts	287-190	388-355
Total Points	477	743
Winners	117	171
%Winners	41%	44%

Both Alcaraz and Rinderknech played 3 matches. At the moment, Arthur Rinderknech lost 4 sets while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Alcaraz has played 4 set(s) less than Rinderknech (9 vs 13). Therefore, Alcaraz played 45 games less than Rinderknech. Alcaraz scored 117 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Arthur fired 171 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alcaraz	Rinderknech
Aces	20	37
Avg per match	6.7	12.3
1st in	140/212	222/366
%1st in	66%	61%
1st pts	117/140	171/222
%1st pts	84%	77%
2nd pts	45/72	80/144
%2nd pts	63%	56%

Alcaraz bagged 20 aces (6.7 per match). Rinderknech scored 37 aces (12.3 per match). Alcaraz won 84% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Rinderknech won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alcaraz	Rinderknech
Won	17	14
Converted	17/46	14/32
% Converted	37%	44%
Conceded	6	23
Saved	5	16
% Saved	83%	70%
Times Broken	1	7

Carlos broke his opponents 17 times with a 37% conversion rate. The Spaniard lost his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Arthur broke his opponents 14 times with a 44% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
	R1 Opelka	R2 Bellucci	R3 Darderi	Total
Score	6-4 7-5 6-4	6-1 6-0 6-3	6-2 6-4 6-0
Tot Set	3	3	3	9
Tot Games	32	22	24	78
pts	107-82	89-52	91-56	287-190
Total points	189	141	147	477
Winners	50	30	37	117
%Winners	47%	34%	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	4	7	9	20
Double Faults	6	2	1	9
1st in	58/84	35/58	47/70	140/212
% 1st in	69%	60%	67%	66%
1st pts	50/58	30/35	37/47	117/140
% 1st pts	86%	86%	79%	84%
2nd pts	17/26	15/23	13/23	45/72
% 2nd pts	65%	65%	57%	63%
Breaks
Won	3	7	7	17
Converted	3/11	7/17	7/18	17/46
Converted %	27%	41%	39%	37%
Conceded	3	0	3	6
Saved	3/3	0/0	2/3	5
Saved %	100%	–	67%	56%
Times Broken	0	0	1	1

Rinderknech
	R1 Carballes Baena	R2 Davidovich Fokina	R3 Bonzi	Total
Score	7-62 7-5 4-6 6-2	6-4 3-6 2-6 6-2 6-3	4-6 6-3 6-3 6-2
Tot Set	4	5	4	13
Tot Games	43	44	36	123
pts	142-126	130-132	116-97	388-355
Total points	268	262	213	743
Winners	57	57	57	171
%Winners	40%	44%	49%	44%
SERVE
Aces	14	8	15	37
Double Faults	6	9	3	18
1st in	68/122	81/132	73/112	222/366
% 1st in	56%	61%	65%	61%
1st pts	57/68	57/81	57/73	171/222
% 1st pts	84%	70%	78%	77%
2nd pts	32/54	26/51	22/39	80/144
% 2nd pts	59%	51%	56%	56%
Breaks
Won	3	6	5	14
Converted	3/13	6/13	5/6	14/32
Converted %	23%	46%	83%	44%
Conceded	6	12	5	23
Saved	5/6	7/12	4/5	16
Saved %	83%	58%	80%	74%
Times Broken	1	5	1	7

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-2 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Ugo BlanchetBlanchet (7-5 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-2 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Jerome KymKym (7-6³ 6-7⁹ 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-4 6-3 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Raphael CollignonCollignon (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Benjamin BonziBonzi (4-6 6-3 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Ben SheltonShelton (3-6 6-3 4-6 6-4 ret.) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-4 6-7⁴ 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-2 2-0 ret.) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jannik SinnerSinner – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Tommy PaulPaul (1-5) – H2H and prediction
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Zizou BergsBergs (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-2) – H2H and prediction
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (7-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas MachacMachac – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-3) – H2H and prediction