[UPDATED R3]. Prediction, H2H of Naomi Osaka’s draw vs Kasatkina, Gauff, Muchova, Swiatek, Sabalenka to win the U.S. Open

U.S. Open draw preview with H2H - Naomi Osaka may need to overcome Daria Kasatkina, Cori Gauff, Karolina Muchova, Iga Swiatek, Aryna Sabalenka to conquer the title in the U.S. Open.

Naomi Osaka Stats info

Naomi Osaka is 5 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. Osaka has defeated Greetje Minnen 6-3 6-4 and Hailey Baptiste 6-3 6-1 to reach the 3rd round where she will face Daria Kasatkina.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Naomi Osaka’s projected draw alongsideherlikely opponents at the U.S. Open. Naomi has a good record (8-7) against the projected opponents.

R1 – Greetje Minnen (106) – 6-3 6-4
R2 – Hailey Baptiste (47) – 6-3 6-1
R3 – Daria Kasatkina (18) – H2H 2-0
R4 – Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 2-3
or Magdalena Frech (33) – H2H 0-0
1/4 – Karolina Muchova (13) – H2H 2-2
or Marta Kostyuk (28) – H2H 2-0
1/2 – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 1-2
or Amanda Anisimova (9) – H2H 0-2
Fin – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 1-0
or Jessica Pegula (4) – H2H 1-1
Osaka
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R3 – Daria Kasatkina’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Naomi Osaka

19 - 22win/loss in 2025

Rank
37
High
8
LLLWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-22 12-13 5-5 0-0 2-4 0-0
2024 40-23 24-16 8-4 0-1 8-2 0-0
2023 39-25 19-15 12-6 2-1 6-3 0-0
2022 41-22 24-14 12-5 1-1 4-2 0-0
2021 38-19 19-10 5-5 7-1 7-3 0-0
2020 18-14 7-8 5-3 6-3 0-0 0-0
2019 13-21 8-13 4-4 1-2 0-2 0-0
2018 42-24 15-13 12-7 8-1 7-3 0-0

Daria Kasatkina has a 19-19 win-loss record in 2025, 12-10 on hard. Regarding the last 13 years, Kasatkina has a 184-132 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Darya won 5 of her last 10 matches.

Last year at the U.S. Open Darya capitulated to Peyton Stearns in the 2nd round 6-1 7-6(3).

H2H Naomi Osaka vs. Daria Kasatkina

This would be the 3rd time that Naomi Osaka and Daria Kasatkina square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Osaka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

R4 – Cori Gauff’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-2 for Cori Gauff

48 - 16win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
2
LWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 48-16 29-9 18-3 1-2 0-2 0-0
2024 54-18 31-10 14-5 4-1 5-2 0-0
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 12-8 7-5 2-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-15 9-6 7-5 7-3 6-1 0-0
2018 9-4 4-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Cori Gauff has a 37-12 record in 2025, 19-7 on hard. In the course of the previous 9 years, Gauff has a 149-65 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The American won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of this current season was winning the title in Australia where she overcame Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4, and at the French Open where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-7(5) 6-2 6-4.

Last year at the U.S. Open Gauff lost to Emma Navarro in the 4th round 6-3 4-6 6-3.

H2H Naomi Osaka vs. Cori Gauff

This contest would be 6th time that Naomi Osaka and Cori Gauff play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Gauff (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on hard in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Naomi Osaka could play Magdalena Frech. Their H2H is 0-0.

1/4 – Karolina Muchova’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 2-2

26 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
19
High
8
LWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-17 23-13 0-1 2-1 1-2 0-0
2024 21-7 15-4 4-2 0-0 2-1 0-0
2023 38-13 28-9 10-3 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 11-12 3-2 3-3 5-5 0-2 0-0
2021 19-9 10-4 5-3 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 7-8 6-6 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 38-14 25-9 6-2 3-1 4-2 0-0
2018 29-11 5-2 7-4 10-1 3-3 4-1

Karolina Muchova has a 18-12 record in 2025, 15-8 on hard. In connection to the previous 10 years, Karolina has a 127-53 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Karolina won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Karolina’s most significant achievement of this season was reaching the semifinal Australia, Linz and Dubai.

Last year at the U.S. Open Muchova capitulated to Jessica Pegula in the semifinal 1-6 6-4 6-2.

H2H Naomi Osaka vs. Karolina Muchova

This would be the 5th time that Naomi Osaka and Karolina Muchova fight against each other. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 2-1 for Osaka on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Naomi Osaka could play Marta Kostyuk. Their head to head record is 2-0 for Naomi Osaka.

1/2 – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Iga Swiatek

64 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 51-12 record in 2025, 30-7 on hard. Talking about the last 10 years, Iga has a 192-49 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Iga will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 7 matches winning streak.

Her most significant achievement of the current season was winning the title at the Wimbledon where she overcame Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-0 6-0, and in Cincinnati where she defeated Jasmine Paolini in the final 7-5 6-4.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Pole was overcome by Jessica Pegula in the quarter 6-2 6-4.

H2H Naomi Osaka vs. Iga Swiatek

This contest would be 4th time that Naomi Osaka and Iga Swiatek square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Naomi Osaka could take on Amanda Anisimova. Their H2H record is 2-0 for Amanda Anisimova.

Final – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Naomi Osaka

63 - 12win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 63-12 35-6 17-3 4-1 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 53-10 record in 2025, 29-5 on hard. As for the previous 10 years, Aryna has a 256-97 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Belarussian won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of this season was winning the title in Brisbane where she defeated Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2, in Miami where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2, and in Madrid where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Last year at the U.S. Open Aryna conquered the title after beating Jessica Pegula 7-5 7-5.

H2H Naomi Osaka vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This match would represent the 2nd time that Naomi Osaka and Aryna Sabalenka play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Osaka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Naomi Osaka could compete against Jessica Pegula. Their H2H is 1-1.