Tommy Paul is 5 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. The American has defeated Elmer Moller 6-3 6-3 6-1 and Nuno Borges 7-66 6-3 5-7 5-7 7-5 to reach the 3rd round where he will face Alexander Bublik.
Draw prediction with head to head records
This is Tommy Paul’s projected draw withhisplausible opposition at the U.S. Open. Paul has a neutral record (11-11) against the projected opponents.
R3 – Alexander Bublik’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 5-1 for Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 48-24 | 12-11 | 23-6 | 8-6 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-25 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-17 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 44-31 | 20-13 | 2-4 | 14-9 | 8-5 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 34-32 | 17-16 | 1-5 | 11-5 | 2-4 | 3-2 |
Alexander Bublik has a 37-17 record in 2025, 7-7 on hard. As for the previous 12 years, the Kazakhstani has a 140-112 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Alexander will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 10 matches winning streak.
His most significant achievement of this year was conquering the title the Turin Challenger where he overcame Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 6-3, in Halle where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 7-6(4), in Gstaad where he overcame Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the final 6-4 4-6 6-3, and in Kitzbuhel where he defeated Arthur Cazaux in the final 6-4 6-3.
Last year at the U.S. Open Bublik lost to Juncheng Shang in the 1st round 6-4 3-6 5-7 6-3 6-4.
H2H Tommy Paul vs. Alexander Bublik
This contest would be 7th time that Tommy Paul and Alexander Bublik clash against each other. The head to head is 5-1 for Paul (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.
R4 – Jannik Sinner’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 4-1 for Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53-6 | 24-3 | 11-2 | 10-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 2-6 | 7-3 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 62-24 | 12-6 | 17-8 | 31-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 31-22 | 13-8 | 17-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Jannik Sinner has a 33-4 record in 2025, 14-1 on hard. In connection to the previous 8 years, Sinner has a 152-47 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Sinner won 9 of his last 10 matches.
His best result of the season was winning the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3, and at the Wimbledon where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4.
Last year at the U.S. Open Jannik conquered the competition after defeating Taylor Fritz 6-3 6-4 7-5.
H2H Tommy Paul vs. Jannik Sinner
This would be the 6th time that Tommy Paul and Jannik Sinner square off. The head to head is 4-1 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.
Yet, Tommy Paul may compete against Denis Shapovalov. Their H2H record is 2-2.
1/4 – Lorenzo Musetti’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 1-0 for Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 44-21 | 18-11 | 19-4 | 7-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 30-15 | 6-4 | 20-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 32-25 | 1-2 | 27-19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Lorenzo Musetti has a 28-12 record in 2025, 9-7 on hard. During the last 8 years, Musetti has a 59-53 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Musetti won 5 of his last 10 matches.
The Italian’s best achievement of the year was reaching the final Carlo.
Last year at the U.S. Open Musetti lost to Brandon Nakashima in the 3rd round 6-2 3-6 6-3 7-6(4).
H2H Tommy Paul vs. Lorenzo Musetti
This match would represent the 2nd time that Tommy Paul and Lorenzo Musetti square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Paul (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.
Alternatively, Tommy Paul may square off with Flavio Cobolli. Their head to head is 1-0 for Flavio Cobolli.
1/2 – Alexander Zverev’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 2-1 for Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 55-23 | 24-9 | 18-7 | 7-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 69-21 | 29-10 | 23-6 | 11-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 59-15 | 28-6 | 14-4 | 13-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-11 | 12-7 | 3-1 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 44-25 | 20-9 | 16-8 | 6-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 60-19 | 25-9 | 21-4 | 12-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Alexander Zverev has a 45-16 record in 2025, 21-6 on hard. In the course of the last 13 years, Alexander has a 223-103 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Alexander won 8 of his last 10 matches.
His most significant result of this year was winning the tournament in Munich where he overcame Ben Shelton in the final 6-2 6-4.
Last year at the U.S. Open Alexander capitulated to Taylor Fritz in the quarter 7-6(2) 3-6 6-4 7-6(3).
H2H Tommy Paul vs. Alexander Zverev
This would be the 4th time that Tommy Paul and Alexander Zverev face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Paul (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.
Nonetheless, Tommy Paul could play Alex De Minaur. Their head to head record is 5-1 for Alex De Minaur.
Final – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 5-2 for Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 68-8 | 28-4 | 22-1 | 7-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 18-10 | 3-2 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Carlos Alcaraz has a 57-6 win-loss record in 2025, 19-4 on hard. Regarding the previous 8 years, Alcaraz has a 116-29 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Carlos will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 9 matches winning streak.
His best result of the season was winning the competition in Rotterdam where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2, in Carlo where he defeated Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0, in Rome where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1, at the French Open where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2), in London where he beat Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2, and in Cincinnati where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 5-0 ret..
Last year at the U.S. Open Alcaraz capitulated to Botic Van De Zandschulp in the 2nd round 6-1 7-5 6-4.
H2H Tommy Paul vs. Carlos Alcaraz
This match would represent the 8th time that Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz face off. The head to head is 5-2 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they are 2-2 on hard in major tournaments.
Alternatively, Tommy Paul could come up against Taylor Fritz. Their head to head is 4-4.
