Denis Shapovalov is 5 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. Shapovalov has defeated Marton Fucsovics 6-4 6-4 6-0 and Valentin Royer 7-66 3-6 7-64 6-3 to reach the 3rd round where he will face Jannik Sinner.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Denis Shapovalov’s projected draw withhisprojected opponents at the U.S. Open. Denis has a unfavourable record (6-12) against the likely opposition.

R1 – Marton Fucsovics (63) – 6-4 6-4 6-0
R2 – Valentin Royer (98) – 7-66 3-6 7-64 6-3
R3 – Jannik Sinner (1) – H2H 1-0
R4 – Tommy Paul (14) – H2H 2-2
or Alexander Bublik (24) – H2H 0-3
1/4 – Lorenzo Musetti (10) – H2H 0-2
or Flavio Cobolli (26) – H2H 0-1
1/2 – Alexander Zverev (3) – H2H 3-6
or Alex De Minaur (8) – H2H 1-5
Fin – Carlos Alcaraz (2) – H2H 0-2
or Taylor Fritz (4) – H2H 6-5
Latest Updated
Draw

R3 – Jannik Sinner’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Denis Shapovalov

58 - 6win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 58-6 24-3 11-2 15-0 8-1 0-0
2024 73-8 40-5 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0
2020 20-14 2-6 7-3 11-5 0-0 0-0
2019 62-24 12-6 17-8 31-7 2-3 0-0
2018 31-22 13-8 17-12 1-1 0-0 0-1

Jannik Sinner has a 33-4 record in 2025, 14-1 on hard. Talking about the last 8 years, Jannik has a 152-47 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Italian won 9 of his last 10 matches.

His best result of the current season was winning the tournament at the Australian Open where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3, and at the Wimbledon where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the final 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4.

Last year at the U.S. Open Sinner won the title after beating Taylor Fritz 6-3 6-4 7-5.

H2H Denis Shapovalov vs. Jannik Sinner

This contest would be 2nd time that Denis Shapovalov and Jannik Sinner face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Shapovalov (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

R4 – Tommy Paul’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 2-2

29 - 13win/loss in 2025

Rank
20
High
8
LWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 29-13 13-6 12-4 3-1 1-2 0-0
2024 45-20 17-12 10-4 8-2 10-2 0-0
2023 46-29 29-13 5-6 3-5 9-5 0-0
2022 39-27 21-12 2-6 9-5 7-4 0-0
2021 33-23 12-12 9-7 12-4 0-0 0-0
2020 21-14 12-6 5-4 4-4 0-0 0-0
2019 45-16 22-7 12-4 5-1 6-4 0-0
2018 40-20 28-15 0-0 12-5 0-0 0-0

Tommy Paul has a 29-12 win-loss record in 2025, 13-5 on hard. In the course of the last 11 years, Tommy has a 205-118 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Paul won 6 of his last 10 matches.

The American’s most significant achievement of the season was reaching the semifinal Adelaide, Dallas, Houston and Rome.

Last year at the U.S. Open Tommy capitulated to Jannik Sinner in the 4th round 7-6(3) 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Denis Shapovalov vs. Tommy Paul

This contest would be 5th time that Denis Shapovalov and Tommy Paul clash against each other. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 for Shapovalov on hard in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Denis Shapovalov could square off with Alexander Bublik. Their head to head is 3-0 for Alexander Bublik.

1/4 – Lorenzo Musetti’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Lorenzo Musetti

45 - 22win/loss in 2025

Rank
8
High
6
LWLLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 45-22 18-11 19-4 8-6 0-1 0-0
2024 46-30 13-12 18-10 3-5 12-3 0-0
2023 32-29 10-10 16-11 0-5 6-3 0-0
2022 44-30 11-10 21-7 12-10 0-3 0-0
2021 36-31 9-8 17-12 10-10 0-1 0-0
2020 30-15 6-4 20-6 4-5 0-0 0-0
2019 32-25 1-2 27-19 4-4 0-0 0-0
2018 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0

Lorenzo Musetti has a 28-12 record in 2025, 9-7 on hard. In the last 8 years, the Italian has a 59-53 record on hard (Click here

to see full career record). Lorenzo won 5 of his last 10 matches.

The Italian’s most significant result of the year was reaching the final Carlo.

Last year at the U.S. Open Lorenzo capitulated to Brandon Nakashima in the 3rd round 6-2 3-6 6-3 7-6(4).

H2H Denis Shapovalov vs. Lorenzo Musetti

This match would represent the 3rd time that Denis Shapovalov and Lorenzo Musetti play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Denis Shapovalov may face Flavio Cobolli. Their H2H record is 1-0 for Flavio Cobolli.

1/2 – Alexander Zverev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 6-3 for Alexander Zverev

57 - 25win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
2
WWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 57-25 24-9 18-7 9-6 6-3 0-0
2024 69-21 29-10 23-6 11-3 6-2 0-0
2023 55-27 22-13 20-7 8-5 5-2 0-0
2022 29-10 9-4 17-5 3-1 0-0 0-0
2021 59-15 28-6 14-4 13-3 4-2 0-0
2020 28-11 12-7 3-1 13-3 0-0 0-0
2019 44-25 20-9 16-8 6-5 2-3 0-0
2018 60-19 25-9 21-4 12-4 2-2 0-0

Alexander Zverev has a 45-16 win-loss record in 2025, 21-6 on hard. Talking about the last 13 years, the German has a 223-103 record on hard (Click here

to see full career record). The German won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant achievement of this current year was winning the competition in Munich where he defeated Ben Shelton in the final 6-2 6-4.

Last year at the U.S. Open the German lost to Taylor Fritz in the quarter 7-6(2) 3-6 6-4 7-6(3).

H2H Denis Shapovalov vs. Alexander Zverev

This match would represent the 10th time that Denis Shapovalov and Alexander Zverev play each other. The head to head is 6-3 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), but they are 2-2 on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Denis Shapovalov may face Alex De Minaur. Their H2H record is 5-1 for Alex De Minaur.

Final – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

71 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 71-9 28-4 22-1 10-3 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 57-6 record in 2025, 19-4 on hard. Regarding the last 8 years, Alcaraz has a 116-29 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Carlos will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 9 matches winning streak.

His most significant result of the current season was winning the tournament in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2, in Carlo where he beat Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0, in Rome where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1, at the French Open where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2), in London where he overcame Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2, and in Cincinnati where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 5-0 ret..

Last year at the U.S. Open Alcaraz was defeated by Botic Van De Zandschulp in the 2nd round 6-1 7-5 6-4.

H2H Denis Shapovalov vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This contest would be 3rd time that Denis Shapovalov and Carlos Alcaraz fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Denis Shapovalov may face Taylor Fritz. Their H2H record is 6-5 for Denis Shapovalov.