Iga Swiatek and Anna Kalinskaya will fight against each other in the 3^rd round of the U.S. Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.115
Anna Kalinskaya -> 6.4

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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Anna Kalinskaya

This will be the 3^rd time that Iga Swiatek and Anna Kalinskaya play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Swiatek and Kalinskaya (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Swiatek won 6-3 6-4 in the quarter in Cincinnati back in August 2025.

Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Anna Kalinskaya – Cincinnati 15-August-2025

Iga Swiatek

Ranked no. 2, the Pole got to the 3^rd round after defeating Emiliana Arango 6-1 6-2 and Suzan Lamens 6-1 4-6 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, The Pole defeated Lamens (6-1 4-6 6-4). During the match, Swiatek scored 93 points vs Lamens’s 78. The Pole was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about the service games, Swiatek managed to score 7 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve 4 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 65% of her first serves in, winning 67% (37/55) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (13/29) on the 2nd serve. Swiatek broke Lamens 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Swiatek has lost 1 set in this event to win 57% of the points she played.

Swiatek has a good record in the last 10 years having won 82% of her matches (400-88). 30-7 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has an aggregate 192-49 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title at the Wimbledon where she overcame Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-0 6-0 and in Cincinnati where she overcame Jasmine Paolini in the final 7-5 6-4.

Swiatek has an overall 51-12 win-loss record in 2025, 30-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Anna Kalinskaya

Ranked no. 29, Anna got to the 3^rd round after beating Clervie Ngounoue 6-0 5-7 6-4 and Yulia Putintseva 6-1 7-5.

In the 2^nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Putintseva (6-1 7-5). During the match Kalinskaya scored 67 points vs Putintseva’s 51. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.

About the serving games, Kalinskaya bagged 3 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Anna Kalinskaya lost the serve once. Furthermore, Kalinskaya put 58% of her first serves in, winning 83% (24/29) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (9/21) on the 2nd serve. Kalinskaya broke Putintseva 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kalinskaya has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

The Russian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Washington.

The Russian has an aggregate 21-16 win-loss record in 2025, 12-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3^rd

round in 2024. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Swiatek	Kalinskaya
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	5
Tot Games	42	47
Pts	147-110	162-133
Total Points	257	295
Winners	60	70
%Winners	41%	43%

Both Swiatek and Kalinskaya played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Iga Swiatek conceded 1 set, while Anna Kalinskaya surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Swiatek and Kalinskaya have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Swiatek played 5 games less than Kalinskaya. The Pole scored 60 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Anna struck 70 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Swiatek	Kalinskaya
Aces	8	7
Avg per match	4	3.5
1st in	81/126	95/149
%1st in	64%	64%
1st pts	60/81	70/95
%1st pts	74%	74%
2nd pts	22/45	24/54
%2nd pts	49%	44%

Swiatek fired 8 aces (4 per match). Kalinskaya blasted 7 aces (3.5 per match). Swiatek won 74% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Kalinskaya won 74% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 44% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Swiatek	Kalinskaya
Won	10	11
Converted	10/18	11/19
% Converted	56%	58%
Conceded	9	11
Saved	5	7
% Saved	56%	64%
Times Broken	4	4

Iga broke her opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. Iga surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded. Anna broke her opponents 11 times with a 58% conversion rate. Anna conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
	R1 Arango	R2 Lamens	Total
Score	6-1 6-2	6-1 4-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	15	27	42
pts	54-32	93-78	147-110
Total points	86	171	257
Winners	23	37	60
%Winners	43%	40%	41%
SERVE
Aces	1	7	8
Double Faults	3	4	7
1st in	26/42	55/84	81/126
% 1st in	62%	65%	64%
1st pts	23/26	37/55	60/81
% 1st pts	88%	67%	74%
2nd pts	9/16	13/29	22/45
% 2nd pts	56%	45%	49%
Breaks
Won	4	6	10
Converted	4/6	6/12	10/18
Converted %	67%	50%	56%
Conceded	0	9	9
Saved	0/0	5/9	5
Saved %	–	56%	28%
Times Broken	0	4	4

Kalinskaya
	R1 Ngounoue	R2 Putintseva	Total
Score	6-0 5-7 6-4	6-1 7-5
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	28	19	47
pts	95-82	67-51	162-133
Total points	177	118	295
Winners	46	24	70
%Winners	48%	36%	43%
SERVE
Aces	4	3	7
Double Faults	6	8	14
1st in	66/99	29/50	95/149
% 1st in	67%	58%	64%
1st pts	46/66	24/29	70/95
% 1st pts	70%	83%	74%
2nd pts	15/33	9/21	24/54
% 2nd pts	45%	43%	44%
Breaks
Won	6	5	11
Converted	6/8	5/11	11/19
Converted %	75%	45%	58%
Conceded	10	1	11
Saved	7/10	0/1	7
Saved %	70%	0%	35%
Times Broken	3	1	4

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (7-6⁴ 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (6-1 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ann LiLi – Priscilla HonHon (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Cristina BucsaBucsa – Elise MertensMertens (3-6 7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-3 7-6²) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Emma NavarroNavarro (4-6 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Taylor TownsendTownsend – Mirra AndreevaAndreeva (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Go SoedaSoeda – Marius CopilCopil (7-6⁵ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Lukas RosolRosol – Mikael YmerYmer (6-3 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dennis NovakNovak – Paul JubbJubb (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Soon-Woo KwonKwon (6-2 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Jiri VeselyVesely (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Marcel GranollersGranollers – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (6-2 3-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Jason JungJung (7-6⁶ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Antoine HoangHoang – Ruben BemelmansBemelmans (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Diane ParryParry – Marta KostyukKostyuk (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Magdalena FrechFrech – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Jaqueline CristianCristian (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Maria SakkariSakkari (4-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Cristina BucsaBucsa (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Ann LiLi (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Taylor TownsendTownsend (1-0) – H2H and prediction