Ekaterina Alexandrova and Laura Siegemund will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 6:00 pm on Court 5. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ekaterina Alexandrova who should win in 2 sets.
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 1.38
Laura Siegemund -> 3.04
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Prediction and head to head Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Laura Siegemund
This will be the 4th time that Ekaterina Alexandrova and Laura Siegemund play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), but Siegemund has a winning record of 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Siegemund won 6-2 3-6 7-6(9) in the 1st round in at the Australian Open back in 2024.
Highlights Laura Siegemund vs Ekaterina Alexandrova – Australian Open 15-January-2024
Ekaterina Alexandrova
38 - 18win/loss
10
10
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 47-25 | 22-16 | 13-5 | 4-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-25 | 17-13 | 1-7 | 3-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-21 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-18 | 12-10 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-23 | 10-9 | 6-5 | 7-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12 (career-high), the Russian reached the 3rd round after beating Anastasija Sevastova 6-4 6-1 and Xinyu Wang 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Alexandrova had a good straight sets win against Wang (6-2 6-2). During the match, Alexandrova scored 60 points vs Wang’s 40. Alexandrova was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alexandrova blasted 6 aces and she was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 75% of her first serves in, winning 70% (23/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (5/11) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Wang 6 times after converting 43% of her break points (6/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ekaterina hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 60% of the points she played.
Alexandrova has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (330-214). 12-10 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Alexandrova has a composed 119-96 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Linz where she defeated Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.
The Russian has an overall 37-18 win-loss record in 2025, 12-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Laura Siegemund
20 - 19win/loss
46
27
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-22 | 15-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-22 | 16-11 | 11-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-17 | 23-13 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-15 | 3-5 | 15-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-14 | 7-7 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 52, the German got to the 3rd round after defeating Diana Shnaider 7-6(3) 2-6 6-3 and Anastasia Zakharova 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The German had a good straight sets win against Zakharova (6-4 6-2). During the match Siegemund scored 72 points vs Zakharova’s 59. Laura was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Siegemund scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 5 double faults. Laura Siegemund lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Siegemund put 64% of her first serves in, winning 77% (30/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. Siegemund broke Zakharova 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Laura has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
The German has a compiled 20-18 win-loss record in 2025, 12-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2016. See her history
.H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alexandrova | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 33 | 48 |
| Pts | 126-85 | 167-150 |
| Total Points | 211 | 317 |
| Winners | 48 | 72 |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% |
Both Alexandrova and Siegemund played 2 matches. At the moment, Laura Siegemund surrendered 1 set while Ekaterina Alexandrova hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Alexandrova has played 1 set(s) less than Siegemund (4 vs 5). Therefore, Alexandrova played 15 games less than Siegemund. The Russian scored 48 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Siegemund bagged 72 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alexandrova | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 69/95 | 101/155 |
| %1st in | 73% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 48/69 | 72/101 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 13/26 | 21/54 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 39% |
Alexandrova struck 7 aces (3.5 per match). Siegemund scored 5 aces (2.5 per match). Alexandrova won 70% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Siegemund won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 39% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alexandrova | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 9 |
| Converted | 11/22 | 9/20 |
| % Converted | 50% | 45% |
| Conceded | 6 | 15 |
| Saved | 2 | 8 |
| % Saved | 33% | 53% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 7 |
Ekaterina broke her opponents 11 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. Laura broke her opponents 9 times with a 45% conversion rate. Siegemund conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 53% of the break points that she conceded.
| Alexandrova | ||||
| R1 Sevastova | R2 Wang | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 16 | 33 | |
| pts | 66-45 | 60-40 | 126-85 | |
| Total points | 111 | 100 | 211 | |
| Winners | 25 | 23 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 36/51 | 33/44 | 69/95 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 75% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 25/36 | 23/33 | 48/69 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/15 | 5/11 | 13/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 45% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 6/14 | 11/22 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 43% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 0/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 0% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Siegemund | ||||
| R1 Shnaider | R2 Zakharova | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 2-6 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 18 | 48 | |
| pts | 95-91 | 72-59 | 167-150 | |
| Total points | 186 | 131 | 317 | |
| Winners | 42 | 30 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 42% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 62/94 | 39/61 | 101/155 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 64% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 42/62 | 30/39 | 72/101 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 77% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/32 | 10/22 | 21/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 34% | 45% | 39% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 4/8 | 9/20 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 50% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 2 | 15 | |
| Saved | 7/13 | 1/2 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 54% | 50% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
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- Ann LiLi – Priscilla HonHon (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Cristina BucsaBucsa – Elise MertensMertens (3-6 7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-3 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
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- Dennis NovakNovak – Paul JubbJubb (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Soon-Woo KwonKwon (6-2 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Jiri VeselyVesely (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Diane ParryParry – Marta KostyukKostyuk (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Jaqueline CristianCristian (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Maria SakkariSakkari (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Cristina BucsaBucsa (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Ann LiLi (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Taylor TownsendTownsend (1-0) – H2H and prediction