Ekaterina Alexandrova and Laura Siegemund will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 6:00 pm on Court 5. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ekaterina Alexandrova who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ekaterina Alexandrova is the pick to win this match.
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 1.38
Laura Siegemund -> 3.04

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Prediction and head to head Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Laura Siegemund

This will be the 4th time that Ekaterina Alexandrova and Laura Siegemund play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), but Siegemund has a winning record of 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Siegemund won 6-2 3-6 7-6(9) in the 1st round in at the Australian Open back in 2024.

Highlights Laura Siegemund vs Ekaterina Alexandrova – Australian Open 15-January-2024

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ekaterina Alexandrova

38 - 18win/loss

Hard
13-10
I Hard
4-0
Clay
13-5
Grass
8-3
Rank
10
High
10
LLWLWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 47-25 22-16 13-5 4-1 8-3 0-0
2024 26-25 17-13 1-7 3-2 5-3 0-0
2023 33-21 17-13 6-5 0-1 10-2 0-0
2022 35-18 12-10 13-5 4-2 6-1 0-0
2021 26-23 10-9 6-5 7-7 3-2 0-0

Ranked no. 12 (career-high), the Russian reached the 3rd round after beating Anastasija Sevastova 6-4 6-1 and Xinyu Wang 6-2 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Alexandrova had a good straight sets win against Wang (6-2 6-2). During the match, Alexandrova scored 60 points vs Wang’s 40. Alexandrova was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alexandrova blasted 6 aces and she was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 75% of her first serves in, winning 70% (23/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (5/11) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Wang 6 times after converting 43% of her break points (6/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ekaterina hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 60% of the points she played.

Alexandrova has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (330-214). 12-10 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Alexandrova has a composed 119-96 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Linz where she defeated Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.

The Russian has an overall 37-18 win-loss record in 2025, 12-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Alexandrova's Record

Laura Siegemund

Laura Siegemund

20 - 19win/loss

Hard
12-11
I Hard
0-0
Clay
2-5
Grass
6-3
Rank
46
High
27
LWWWLLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-22 15-14 2-5 0-0 6-3 0-0
2024 28-22 16-11 11-7 0-2 1-2 0-0
2023 30-17 23-13 3-2 0-0 4-2 0-0
2022 21-15 3-5 15-7 3-3 0-0 0-0
2021 14-14 7-7 5-5 0-0 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 52, the German got to the 3rd round after defeating Diana Shnaider 7-6(3) 2-6 6-3 and Anastasia Zakharova 6-4 6-2.

In the 2nd round, The German had a good straight sets win against Zakharova (6-4 6-2). During the match Siegemund scored 72 points vs Zakharova’s 59. Laura was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.

About the serving games, Siegemund scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 5 double faults. Laura Siegemund lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Siegemund put 64% of her first serves in, winning 77% (30/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. Siegemund broke Zakharova 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Laura has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

The German has a compiled 20-18 win-loss record in 2025, 12-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2016. See her history

.
U.S. Open
Siegemund's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Alexandrova
L.Siegemund
2h:11
2h:11
Time on court​
!
4h:20
4h:20
1h:03
1h:03
Last match​
1h:48
1h:48
2
2
Match played
2
2
33
33
Games Played​
48
48
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
126
126
Total points​
167
167
63
63
Avg point​
83.5
83.5
48
48
Winners
72
72
24
24
Avg Winners​
36
36
38%
38%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
5
5
3.5
3.5
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
1
1
Double Faults
12
12
0.5
0.5
Avg Double Faults
!
6
6
48/69
48/69
1st won total​
72/101
72/101
70%
70%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
13/26
13/26
2nd won total​
21/54
21/54
50%
50%
2nd won %
!
39%
39%
-- Break Points --
11/22
11/22
BP won
9/20
9/20
5.5/11
5.5/11
Avg BP won
4.5/10
4.5/10
50%
50%
Won
45%
45%
6
6
Conceded
15
15
3
3
Avg Conceded
7.5
7.5
4
4
Broken
7
7
2
2
Avg Broken
3.5
3.5
2
2
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alexandrova Siegemund
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 33 48
Pts 126-85 167-150
Total Points 211 317
Winners 48 72
%Winners 38% 43%

Both Alexandrova and Siegemund played 2 matches. At the moment, Laura Siegemund surrendered 1 set while Ekaterina Alexandrova hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Alexandrova has played 1 set(s) less than Siegemund (4 vs 5). Therefore, Alexandrova played 15 games less than Siegemund. The Russian scored 48 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Siegemund bagged 72 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alexandrova Siegemund
Aces 7 5
Avg per match 3.5 2.5
1st in 69/95 101/155
%1st in 73% 65%
1st pts 48/69 72/101
%1st pts 70% 71%
2nd pts 13/26 21/54
%2nd pts 50% 39%

Alexandrova struck 7 aces (3.5 per match). Siegemund scored 5 aces (2.5 per match). Alexandrova won 70% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Siegemund won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 39% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alexandrova Siegemund
Won 11 9
Converted 11/22 9/20
% Converted 50% 45%
Conceded 6 15
Saved 2 8
% Saved 33% 53%
Times Broken 4 7

Ekaterina broke her opponents 11 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. Laura broke her opponents 9 times with a 45% conversion rate. Siegemund conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 53% of the break points that she conceded.

Alexandrova
R1
Sevastova
R2
Wang
Total
Score 6-4 6-1 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 17 16 33
pts 66-45 60-40 126-85
Total points 111 100 211
Winners 25 23 48
%Winners 38% 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 1 6 7
Double Faults 1 0 1
1st in 36/51 33/44 69/95
% 1st in 71% 75% 73%
1st pts 25/36 23/33 48/69
% 1st pts 69% 70% 70%
2nd pts 8/15 5/11 13/26
% 2nd pts 53% 45% 50%
Breaks
Won 5 6 11
Converted 5/8 6/14 11/22
Converted % 63% 43% 50%
Conceded 4 2 6
Saved 2/4 0/2 2
Saved % 50% 0% 25%
Times Broken 2 2 4
Siegemund
R1
Shnaider
R2
Zakharova
Total
Score 7-63 2-6 6-3 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 30 18 48
pts 95-91 72-59 167-150
Total points 186 131 317
Winners 42 30 72
%Winners 44% 42% 43%
SERVE
Aces 4 1 5
Double Faults 7 5 12
1st in 62/94 39/61 101/155
% 1st in 66% 64% 65%
1st pts 42/62 30/39 72/101
% 1st pts 68% 77% 71%
2nd pts 11/32 10/22 21/54
% 2nd pts 34% 45% 39%
Breaks
Won 5 4 9
Converted 5/12 4/8 9/20
Converted % 42% 50% 45%
Conceded 13 2 15
Saved 7/13 1/2 8
Saved % 54% 50% 52%
Times Broken 6 1 7

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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