Alex De Minaur and Daniel Altmaier will clash against each other in the 3^rd round of the U.S. Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:00 pm on Stadium 17. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.106
Daniel Altmaier -> 6.7

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Daniel Altmaier

This will be the 2^nd time that Alex De Minaur and Daniel Altmaier square off. The head to head is 1-0 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, De Minaur won 6-1 6-4 in the quarter in Rotterdam back in February 2025.

Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Daniel Altmaier – Rotterdam 07-February-2025

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 8, the Australian got to the 3^rd round after defeating Christopher O Connell 6-3 6-4 6-4 and Shintaro Mochizuki 6-2 6-4 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Mochizuki (6-2 6-4 6-2). During the match, De Minaur scored 101 points vs Mochizuki’s 75. De Minaur was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about the service games, De Minaur struck 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alex De Minaur lost the serve twice and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 63% of his first serves in, winning 69% (40/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (17/34) on the 2nd serve. Alex broke Mochizuki 7 times after converting 78% of his break points (7/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

De Minaur hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.

De Minaur has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (398-220). 21-7 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, De Minaur has an overall 192-93 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Washington where he beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 5-7 6-1 7-6(3).

De Minaur has a composed 39-15 win-loss record in 2025, 21-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Daniel Altmaier

Ranked no. 56, Altmaier reached the 3^rd round after beating Hamad Medjedovic 7-5 6-7(3) 7-6(7) 6-7(5) 6-4 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-6(5) 1-6 4-6 6-3 7-5.

In the 2^nd round, Daniel had a tough win against Tsitsipas to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (7-6⁵ 1-6 4-6 6-3 7-5).During the match Altmaier scored less points (9) than Tsitsipas. In fact, the world no. 8 won 164 points vs Tsitsipas’s. That means that Altmaier was more focused during the important points. The German was quite aggressive to blast 82 winners.

About the serving games, Altmaier fired 15 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Daniel Altmaier lost the serve 5 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Altmaier put 65% of his first serves in, winning 73% (82/113) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (25/61) on the 2nd serve. Daniel broke Tsitsipas 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The German has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points he played.

Altmaier’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Turin Challenger.

The German has a composed 28-28 win-loss record in 2025, 9-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	De Minaur	Altmaier
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	6	10
Tot Games	55	112
Pts	196-151	354-361
Total Points	347	715
Winners	76	177
%Winners	39%	50%

Both De Minaur and Altmaier played 2 matches. At the moment, Daniel Altmaier surrendered 4 sets while Alex De Minaur hasn’t dropped a set so far. De Minaur has played 4 set(s) less than Altmaier (6 vs 10). Therefore, De Minaur played 57 games less than Altmaier. The Australian scored 76 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Altmaier bagged 177 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve	De Minaur	Altmaier
Aces	16	39
Avg per match	8	19.5
1st in	97/170	231/355
%1st in	57%	65%
1st pts	76/97	177/231
%1st pts	78%	77%
2nd pts	42/73	55/124
%2nd pts	58%	44%

De Minaur scored 16 aces (8 per match). Altmaier recorded 39 aces (19.5 per match). De Minaur won 78% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Altmaier won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	De Minaur	Altmaier
Won	10	9
Converted	10/20	9/26
% Converted	50%	35%
Conceded	14	17
Saved	12	9
% Saved	86%	53%
Times Broken	2	8

The Australian broke his opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. Alex dropped his serve twice and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Altmaier broke his opponents 9 times with a 35% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
	R1 O Connell	R2 Mochizuki	Total
Score	6-3 6-4 6-4	6-2 6-4 6-2
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	29	26	55
pts	95-76	101-75	196-151
Total points	171	176	347
Winners	36	40	76
%Winners	38%	40%	39%
SERVE
Aces	10	6	16
Double Faults	1	4	5
1st in	39/78	58/92	97/170
% 1st in	50%	63%	57%
1st pts	36/39	40/58	76/97
% 1st pts	92%	69%	78%
2nd pts	25/39	17/34	42/73
% 2nd pts	64%	50%	58%
Breaks
Won	3	7	10
Converted	3/11	7/9	10/20
Converted %	27%	78%	50%
Conceded	0	14	14
Saved	0/0	12/14	12
Saved %	–	86%	43%
Times Broken	0	2	2

Altmaier
	R1 Medjedovic	R2 Tsitsipas	Total
Score	7-5 6-73 7-67 6-75 6-4	7-65 1-6 4-6 6-3 7-5
Tot Set	5	5	10
Tot Games	61	51	112
pts	190-188	164-173	354-361
Total points	378	337	715
Winners	95	82	177
%Winners	50%	50%	50%
SERVE
Aces	24	15	39
Double Faults	3	8	11
1st in	118/181	113/174	231/355
% 1st in	65%	65%	65%
1st pts	95/118	82/113	177/231
% 1st pts	81%	73%	77%
2nd pts	30/63	25/61	55/124
% 2nd pts	48%	41%	44%
Breaks
Won	5	4	9
Converted	5/17	4/9	9/26
Converted %	29%	44%	35%
Conceded	4	13	17
Saved	1/4	8/13	9
Saved %	25%	62%	44%
Times Broken	3	5	8

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Taylor FritzFritz – Jerome KymKym (7-6(3) 6-7(9) 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-4 6-7⁴ 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Benjamin BonziBonzi (4-6 6-3 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Raphael CollignonCollignon (6-4 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-2 6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Tomas MachacMachac – Ugo BlanchetBlanchet (7-5 6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-4 6-3 7-6⁷) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jannik SinnerSinner – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Tommy PaulPaul (1-5) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Zizou BergsBergs (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-2) – H2H and prediction
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (7-0) – H2H and prediction
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-3) – H2H and prediction