Alexander Zverev and Felix Auger-Aliassime will play each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.35
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 3.2

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime

This will be the 9th time that Alexander Zverev and Felix Auger-Aliassime square off. The head to head is 6-2 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Zverev won 6-2 6-4 in the 2nd round in Miami back in 2024.

Highlights Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime – Miami 23-March-2024

Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev

45 - 17win/loss

Hard
21-7
I Hard
0-0
Clay
18-7
Grass
6-3
Rank
3
High
2
WWLLWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 57-25 24-9 18-7 9-6 6-3 0-0
2024 69-21 29-10 23-6 11-3 6-2 0-0
2023 55-27 22-13 20-7 8-5 5-2 0-0
2022 29-10 9-4 17-5 3-1 0-0 0-0
2021 59-15 28-6 14-4 13-3 4-2 0-0

Ranked no. 3, Alexander got to the 3rd round after defeating Alejandro Tabilo 6-2 7-6(4) 6-4 and Jacob Fearnley 6-4 6-4 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The German had a good straight sets win against Fearnley (6-4 6-4 6-4). During the match, Zverev scored 105 points vs Fearnley’s 93. Alexander was pretty aggressive to blast 48 winners.

Regarding the service games, Zverev made 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alexander Zverev lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Zverev put 69% of his first serves in, winning 69% (48/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (15/32) on the 2nd serve. Zverev broke Fearnley 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alexander hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.

Zverev has a great record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (490-190). 21-6 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Zverev has an overall 200-81 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Munich where he defeated Ben Shelton in the final 6-2 6-4.

Zverev has a composed 45-16 win-loss record in 2025, 21-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Zverev's Record

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Felix Auger-Aliassime

32 - 19win/loss

Hard
19-8
I Hard
4-1
Clay
3-6
Grass
6-4
Rank
5
High
5
LWWLLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 50-25 24-10 3-6 17-5 6-4 0-0
2024 32-25 6-10 17-8 9-5 0-2 0-0
2023 23-19 13-13 1-3 9-2 0-1 0-0
2022 60-27 14-9 11-7 31-7 4-4 0-0
2021 38-24 19-10 4-6 5-5 10-3 0-0

Ranked no. 27, the Canadian got to the 3rd round after beating Billy Harris 6-4 7-6(8) 6-4 and Roman Safiullin 6-1 7-6(4) 7-6(5).

In the 2nd round, Felix had a good straight sets win against Safiullin (6-1 7-64 7-65). During the match Auger-Aliassime scored 130 points vs Safiullin’s 105. Auger-Aliassime was very aggressive to blast 57 winners.

About the serving games, Auger-Aliassime bagged 14 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Felix Auger-Aliassime was exceptionally effective on serve to win 79% (57/72) of his 1st serve and 59% (20/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Auger-Aliassime broke Safiullin 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Canadian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Adelaide where he overcame Sebastian Korda in the final 6-3 3-6 6-1 and in Montpellier where he beat Aleksandar Kovacevic in the final 6-2 6-7(7) 7-6(2).

The Canadian has an overall 31-19 win-loss record in 2025, 18-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See his history.

U.S. Open
Auger-Aliassime's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Zverev
F.Auger-Aliassime
4h:36
4h:36
Time on court​
5h:50
5h:50
!
2h:28
2h:28
Last match​
!
2h:55
2h:55
2
2
Match played
2
2
61
61
Games Played​
66
66
6
6
Set played​​
6
6
206
206
Total points​
245
245
103
103
Avg point​
122.5
122.5
101
101
Winners
110
110
50.5
50.5
Avg Winners​
55
55
49%
49%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
18
18
Aces
24
24
9
9
Avg Aces
!
12
12
7
7
Double Faults
10
10
3.5
3.5
Avg Double Faults
5
5
101/136
101/136
1st won total​
110/144
110/144
!
74%
74%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
35/66
35/66
2nd won total​
37/69
37/69
53%
53%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
8/19
8/19
BP won
8/21
8/21
4/9.5
4/9.5
Avg BP won
4/10.5
4/10.5
42%
42%
Won
38%
38%
11
11
Conceded
17
17
5.5
5.5
Avg Conceded
8.5
8.5
2
2
Broken
4
4
1
1
Avg Broken
2
2
9
9
Saved
13
13

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Zverev Auger-Aliassime
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 6 6
Tot Games 61 66
Pts 206-178 245-207
Total Points 384 452
Winners 101 110
%Winners 49% 45%

Both Zverev and Auger-Aliassime played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Zverev and Auger-Aliassime have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Zverev played 5 games less than Auger-Aliassime. The German scored 101 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Felix bagged 110 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Zverev Auger-Aliassime
Aces 18 24
Avg per match 9 12
1st in 136/202 144/213
%1st in 67% 68%
1st pts 101/136 110/144
%1st pts 74% 76%
2nd pts 35/66 37/69
%2nd pts 53% 54%

Zverev recorded 18 aces (9 per match). Auger-Aliassime managed to score 24 aces (12 per match). Zverev won 74% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Auger-Aliassime won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Zverev Auger-Aliassime
Won 8 8
Converted 8/19 8/21
% Converted 42% 38%
Conceded 11 17
Saved 9 13
% Saved 82% 76%
Times Broken 2 4

Alexander broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. The German dropped his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. The Canadian broke his opponents 8 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.

Zverev
R1
Tabilo
R2
Fearnley
Total
Score 6-2 7-64 6-4 6-4 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 31 30 61
pts 101-85 105-93 206-178
Total points 186 198 384
Winners 53 48 101
%Winners 52% 46% 49%
SERVE
Aces 9 9 18
Double Faults 3 4 7
1st in 66/100 70/102 136/202
% 1st in 66% 69% 67%
1st pts 53/66 48/70 101/136
% 1st pts 80% 69% 74%
2nd pts 20/34 15/32 35/66
% 2nd pts 59% 47% 53%
Breaks
Won 3 5 8
Converted 3/5 5/14 8/19
Converted % 60% 36% 42%
Conceded 6 5 11
Saved 6/6 3/5 9
Saved % 100% 60% 80%
Times Broken 0 2 2
Auger-Aliassime
R1
Harris
R2
Safiullin
Total
Score 6-4 7-68 6-4 6-1 7-64 7-65
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 33 33 66
pts 115-102 130-105 245-207
Total points 217 235 452
Winners 53 57 110
%Winners 46% 44% 45%
SERVE
Aces 10 14 24
Double Faults 5 5 10
1st in 72/107 72/106 144/213
% 1st in 67% 68% 68%
1st pts 53/72 57/72 110/144
% 1st pts 74% 79% 76%
2nd pts 17/35 20/34 37/69
% 2nd pts 49% 59% 54%
Breaks
Won 5 3 8
Converted 5/8 3/13 8/21
Converted % 63% 23% 38%
Conceded 10 7 17
Saved 7/10 6/7 13
Saved % 70% 86% 78%
Times Broken 3 1 4

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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