Alejandro Moro Canas and Gilles Arnaud Bailly will square off in the semifinal of the Porto 2 Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Moro Canas who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alejandro Moro Canas is the pick to win this match.
Alejandro Moro Canas -> 1.86
Gilles Arnaud Bailly -> 1.86

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Prediction and head to head Alejandro Moro Canas vs. Gilles Arnaud Bailly

There is no head to head record between Alejandro Moro Canas and Gilles Arnaud Bailly since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Ranked no. 300, Moro Canas got to the semifinal after defeating Olle Wallin 6-3 6-4, Genaro Alberto Olivieri 7-5 2-6 6-1 and Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo 7-6(6) 6-4

.

In the quarter, Moro Canas had a good straight sets win against Sanchez-Izquierdo (7-6⁶ 6-4). During the match, Moro Canas scored 82 points vs Sanchez-Izquierdo’s 74. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Moro Canas made 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alejandro Moro Canas lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Moro Canas put 64% of his first serves in, winning 61% (30/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. Moro Canas broke Sanchez-Izquierdo 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alejandro has conceded 1 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.

Moro Canas has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (197-139). 14-14 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Moro Canas has a compiled94-80 match record in the last 8 years on clay.

Alejandro’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Tenerife 1 Challenger.

The Spaniard has an overall 27-26 win-loss record in 2025, 14-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Porto 2 Challenger

Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Ranked no. 341 (career-high), Arnaud Bailly got to the semifinal after beating Maxim Mrva 6-1 6-2, Pedro Araujo 6-0 6-1 and Nicolas Alvarez Varona 6-2 3-6 6-4.

In the quarter, Gilles defeated Alvarez Varona (6-2 3-6 6-4). During the match Arnaud Bailly scored 85 points vs Alvarez Varona’s 72. Gilles was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.

About the serving games, Arnaud Bailly blasted 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Gilles Arnaud Bailly was extremely effective on serve to win 82% (36/44) of his 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Arnaud Bailly broke Alvarez Varona 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Arnaud Bailly has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 60% of the points he played.

The Belgian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Monastir,M15 Antalya,M15 Oegstgeest,M25 Uriage and M25 Koksijde.

Arnaud Bailly has an aggregate 51-18 win-loss record in 2025, 32-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Moro Canas	Arnaud Bailly
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	7
Tot Games	69	55
Pts	248-212	204-136
Total Points	460	340
Winners	93	64
%Winners	38%	31%

Both Moro Canas and Arnaud Bailly played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alejandro Moro Canas surrendered 1 set, while Gilles Arnaud Bailly surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Moro Canas and Arnaud Bailly have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Moro Canas played 14 games more than Arnaud Bailly. Moro Canas scored 93 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Arnaud Bailly scored 64 winners (31%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Moro Canas	Arnaud Bailly
Aces	3	6
Avg per match	1	2
1st in	137/204	90/158
%1st in	67%	57%
1st pts	93/137	64/90
%1st pts	68%	71%
2nd pts	42/67	41/68
%2nd pts	63%	60%

Moro Canas recorded 3 aces (1 per match). Arnaud Bailly blasted 6 aces (2 per match). Moro Canas won 68% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Arnaud Bailly won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Moro Canas	Arnaud Bailly
Won	10	18
Converted	10/29	18/32
% Converted	34%	56%
Conceded	9	14
Saved	4	9
% Saved	44%	64%
Times Broken	5	5

Alejandro broke his opponents 10 times with a 34% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. Gilles broke his opponents 18 times with a 56% conversion rate. Arnaud Bailly conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.

Moro Canas
	R1 Wallin	R2 Alberto Olivieri	1/4 Sanchez-Izquierdo	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	7-5 2-6 6-1	7-66 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	19	27	23	69
pts	73-57	93-81	82-74	248-212
Total points	130	174	156	460
Winners	28	35	30	93
%Winners	38%	38%	37%	38%
SERVE
Aces	0	1	2	3
Double Faults	0	1	3	4
1st in	39/61	49/66	49/77	137/204
% 1st in	64%	74%	64%	67%
1st pts	28/39	35/49	30/49	93/137
% 1st pts	72%	71%	61%	68%
2nd pts	16/22	12/17	14/28	42/67
% 2nd pts	73%	71%	50%	63%
Breaks
Won	2	4	4	10
Converted	2/6	4/15	4/8	10/29
Converted %	33%	27%	50%	34%
Conceded	0	3	6	9
Saved	0/0	1/3	3/6	4
Saved %	–	33%	50%	28%
Times Broken	0	2	3	5

Arnaud Bailly
	R1 Mrva	R2 Araujo	1/4 Alvarez Varona	Total
Score	6-1 6-2	6-0 6-1	6-2 3-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	15	13	27	55
pts	61-35	58-29	85-72	204-136
Total points	96	87	157	340
Winners	15	13	36	64
%Winners	25%	22%	42%	31%
SERVE
Aces	0	1	5	6
Double Faults	1	0	1	2
1st in	26/44	20/39	44/75	90/158
% 1st in	59%	51%	59%	57%
1st pts	15/26	13/20	36/44	64/90
% 1st pts	58%	65%	82%	71%
2nd pts	11/18	14/19	16/31	41/68
% 2nd pts	61%	74%	52%	60%
Breaks
Won	7	7	4	18
Converted	7/14	7/9	4/9	18/32
Converted %	50%	78%	44%	56%
Conceded	4	5	5	14
Saved	2/4	4/5	3/5	9
Saved %	50%	80%	60%	63%
Times Broken	2	1	2	5

Tennis Scores in Porto 2 Challenger

• Guy Den OudenDen Ouden – Daniel MichalskiMichalski (4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Gilles Arnaud BaillyArnaud Bailly – Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona (6-2 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – David Jorda SanchisJorda Sanchis (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas – Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo (7-6⁶ 6-4) – See score progression
• Ivan Sabanov/Matej SabanovSabanov/Matej Sabanov – Scott Duncan/Tom HandsDuncan/Tom Hands (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Francisco Rocha/Henrique RochaRocha/Henrique Rocha – Alexander Merino/Christoph NegrituMerino/Christoph Negritu (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas – Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo (7-6(6) 6-4) – See score progression
• Gilles Arnaud BaillyArnaud Bailly – Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona (6-2 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – David Jorda SanchisJorda Sanchis (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Guy Den OudenDen Ouden – Daniel MichalskiMichalski (4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas – (0-0) – H2H and prediction