Elise Mertens is 5 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. The Belgian has defeated Alyssa Ahn 6-1 6-0

and Lulu Sun 6-2 6-3 to reach the 3rd round where she will face Cristina Bucsa.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Elise Mertens’s projected draw alongsideherpresumable opposition at the U.S. Open. The Belgian has a unfavourable record (11-17) against the plausible opposition.

R1 – Alyssa Ahn (714) – 6-1 6-0
R2 – Lulu Sun (164) – 6-2 6-3
R3 – Cristina Bucsa (95) – H2H 1-1
R4 – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 2-11
or Leylah Annie Fernandez (30) – H2H 2-1
1/4 – Jasmine Paolini (8) – H2H 4-2
or Elena Rybakina (10) – H2H 1-6
1/2 – Jessica Pegula (4) – H2H 4-1
or Mirra Andreeva (5) – H2H 0-0
Fin – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 0-2
or Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 1-4
Latest Updated
Draw

R3 – Cristina Bucsa’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 1-1

34 - 31win/loss in 2025

Rank
54
High
54
LWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-31 24-20 2-6 2-1 6-4 0-0
2024 24-29 14-18 8-7 0-0 2-4 0-0
2023 35-30 17-15 7-8 8-3 3-4 0-0
2022 49-31 17-8 15-12 10-6 5-4 2-1
2021 31-27 9-7 9-11 6-6 5-2 2-1
2020 14-13 4-3 8-5 2-5 0-0 0-0
2019 49-21 19-6 8-5 18-6 1-1 3-3
2018 38-19 7-3 21-8 3-3 0-0 7-5

Cristina Bucsa has a 25-25 win-loss record in 2025, 15-14 on hard. Regarding the previous 10 years, Bucsa has a 115-78 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Cristina won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Last year at the U.S. Open Cristina was defeated by Sara Errani in the 1st round 3-6 6-0 6-4.

H2H Elise Mertens vs. Cristina Bucsa

This would be the 3rd time that Elise Mertens and Cristina Bucsa fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Mertens and Bucsa (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

R4 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 11-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

63 - 12win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 63-12 35-6 17-3 4-1 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 52-10 win-loss record in 2025, 28-5 on hard. In the last 10 years, Sabalenka has a 255-97 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Aryna won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of the current year was winning the tournament in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2, in Miami where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2, and in Madrid where she overcame Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Last year at the U.S. Open the Belarussian won the event after besting Jessica Pegula 7-5 7-5.

H2H Elise Mertens vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This contest would be 14th time that Elise Mertens and Aryna Sabalenka clash against each other. The head to head is 11-2

for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 5-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Elise Mertens may play Leylah Annie Fernandez. Their H2H record is 2-1 for Elise Mertens.

1/4 – Jasmine Paolini’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-2 for Elise Mertens

46 - 21win/loss in 2025

Rank
8
High
4
LLLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 46-21 27-12 13-3 3-3 3-3 0-0
2024 42-21 19-10 12-5 3-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
2020 7-15 1-8 4-5 2-2 0-0 0-0
2019 48-29 12-8 32-14 4-6 0-1 0-0
2018 28-33 9-9 18-18 1-3 0-3 0-0

Jasmine Paolini has a 35-14 win-loss record in 2025, 19-8 on hard. In the previous 13 years, Jasmine has a 146-105 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Italian won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of the season was conquering the competition in Rome where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-4 6-2.

Last year at the U.S. Open Jasmine was defeated by Karolina Muchova in the 4th round 6-3 6-3.

H2H Elise Mertens vs. Jasmine Paolini

This match would represent the 7th time that Elise Mertens and Jasmine Paolini face off. The head to head is 4-2 for Mertens (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Elise Mertens could compete against Elena Rybakina. Their head to head record is 6-1 for Elena Rybakina.

1/2 – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-1 for Elise Mertens

53 - 23win/loss in 2025

Rank
6
High
3
LWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 35-12 11-5 3-4 4-2 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2020 17-9 16-7 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 25-19 14-10 4-5 4-1 3-3 0-0
2018 50-22 21-9 22-10 7-2 0-1 0-0

Jessica Pegula has a 39-16 win-loss record in 2025, 24-9 on hard. In the last 17 years, Pegula has a 275-135 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Jessica won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of the year was winning the tournament in Austin where she defeated Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2, in Charleston where she beat Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5, and in Bad Homburg where she defeated Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 7-5.

Last year at the U.S. Open Pegula capitulated to Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-5 7-5.

H2H Elise Mertens vs. Jessica Pegula

This would be the 6th time that Elise Mertens and Jessica Pegula square off. The head to head is 4-1 for Mertens (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Elise Mertens could fight against Mirra Andreeva. Their H2H record is 0-0.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Iga Swiatek

64 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 51-12 record in 2025, 30-7 on hard. Talking about the previous 10 years, the Pole has a 192-49 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Pole will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 7 matches winning streak.

Her best result of the current year was conquering the competition at the Wimbledon where she overcame Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-0 6-0, and in Cincinnati where she overcame Jasmine Paolini in the final 7-5 6-4.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Pole capitulated to Jessica Pegula in the quarter 6-2 6-4.

H2H Elise Mertens vs. Iga Swiatek

This would be the 3rd time that Elise Mertens and Iga Swiatek square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Elise Mertens may take on Cori Gauff. Their H2H is 4-1 for Cori Gauff.