Aryna Sabalenka is 5 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. The Belarussian has defeated Rebeka Masarova 7-5 6-1 and Polina Kudermetova 7-64 6-2 to reach the 3rd round where she will face Leylah Annie Fernandez.
Draw prediction with head to head records
This is Aryna Sabalenka’s projected draw includingherlikely opponents at the U.S. Open. The Belarussian has a winning record (28-15) against the presumable opponents.
R3 – Leylah Annie Fernandez’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 1-0 for Leylah Annie Fernandez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-25 | 28-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-25 | 18-15 | 6-6 | 0-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-24 | 28-16 | 5-6 | 6-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-15 | 12-10 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-17 | 19-10 | 3-5 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-10 | 17-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 35-17 | 23-10 | 10-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 9-9 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Leylah Annie Fernandez has a 24-20 win-loss record in 2025, 18-11 on hard. As for the last 9 years, Annie Fernandez has a 143-87 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Canadian won 7 of her last 10 matches.
Her most significant result of this year was conquering the tournament in Washington where she overcame Anna Kalinskaya in the final 6-1 6-2.
Last year at the U.S. Open Leylah lost to Anastasia Potapova in the 1st round 2-6 6-4 7-5.
H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Leylah Annie Fernandez
This contest would be 2nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Leylah Annie Fernandez fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Annie Fernandez (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.
R4 – Elise Mertens’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 11-2 for Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36-20 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 5-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-25 | 18-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 24-16 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-20 | 20-10 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 34-13 | 17-7 | 9-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 35-27 | 23-14 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 46-21 | 25-13 | 16-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Elise Mertens has a 34-16 record in 2025, 15-9 on hard. Talking about the previous 14 years, Elise has a 278-145 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Belgian won 6 of her last 10 matches.
Her best result of this year was winning the title in Singapore where she beat Ann Li in the final 6-1 6-4, and in Hertogenbosch where she overcame Elena Gabriela Ruse in the final 6-3 7-6(4).
Last year at the U.S. Open Elise capitulated to Aryna Sabalenka in the 4th round 6-2 6-4.
H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elise Mertens
This contest would be 14th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Elise Mertens square off. The head to head is 11-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 5-1 on hard in major tournaments.
Anyhow, Aryna Sabalenka may take on Cristina Bucsa. Their H2H is 0-0.
1/4 – Jasmine Paolini’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 5-2 for Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 46-21 | 27-12 | 13-3 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 48-29 | 12-8 | 32-14 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 28-33 | 9-9 | 18-18 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
Jasmine Paolini has a 35-14 record in 2025, 19-8 on hard. In the previous 13 years, Paolini has a 146-105 record on hard (Click here
to see full career record). Paolini won 7 of her last 10 matches.Her most significant achievement of this season was conquering the tournament in Rome where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-4 6-2.
Last year at the U.S. Open Jasmine was defeated by Karolina Muchova in the 4th round 6-3 6-3.
H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jasmine Paolini
This would be the 8th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Jasmine Paolini square off. The head to head is 5-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.
Nonetheless, Aryna Sabalenka may square off with Elena Rybakina. Their head to head record is 7-5 for Aryna Sabalenka
.1/2 – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 7-2 for Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53-23 | 35-12 | 11-5 | 3-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 25-19 | 14-10 | 4-5 | 4-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 50-22 | 21-9 | 22-10 | 7-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Jessica Pegula has a 39-16 record in 2025, 24-9 on hard. Talking about the previous 17 years, Pegula has a 275-135 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Pegula won 6 of her last 10 matches.
Her best achievement of the current year was conquering the tournament in Austin where she overcame Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2, in Charleston where she defeated Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5, and in Bad Homburg where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 7-5.
Last year at the U.S. Open Pegula lost to Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-5 7-5.
H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula
This match would represent the 10th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula play each other. The head to head is 7-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 4-2 on hard in major tournaments.
Anyhow, Aryna Sabalenka could square off with Mirra Andreeva. Their head to head record is 4-2 for Aryna Sabalenka.
Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 8-5 for Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 64-17 | 40-10 | 11-4 | 3-2 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 34-17 | 17-8 | 10-3 | 4-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 43-6 | 8-1 | 34-5 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Iga Swiatek has a 51-12 win-loss record in 2025, 30-7 on hard. In the previous 10 years, Iga has a 192-49 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Iga will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 7 matches winning streak.
Her best result of this current season was winning the tournament at the Wimbledon where she beat Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-0 6-0, and in Cincinnati where she beat Jasmine Paolini in the final 7-5 6-4.
Last year at the U.S. Open Iga lost to Jessica Pegula in the quarter 6-2 6-4.
H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Iga Swiatek
This contest would be 14th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek clash against each other. The head to head is 8-5 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they are 3-3 on hard in major tournaments.
Alternatively, Aryna Sabalenka could come up against Cori Gauff. Their head to head record is 6-5 for Cori Gauff.