Daniel Rincon and Miguel Tobon will play each other in the quarter of the Manacor Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 9:00 pm on PISTA 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Rincon who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniel Rincon is the pick to win this match.
Daniel Rincon -> 1.28
Miguel Tobon -> 3.4

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Prediction and head to head Daniel Rincon vs. Miguel Tobon

There is no head to head record between Daniel Rincon and Miguel Tobon since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Daniel Rincon

Ranked no. 287, the Spaniard reached the quarter after defeating Abedallah Shelbayh 6-4 3-6 7-6(1) and Hamish Stewart 2-6 6-3 7-5.

In the 2^nd round against Stewart, Rincon recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 7-5). During the match, Rincon scored 89 points vs Stewart’s 85. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rincon fired 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Daniel Rincon was very effective on serve to win 71% (32/45) of his 1st serve and 56% (20/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 4 times. Daniel broke Stewart 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has lost 2 set in this competition to win 51% of the points he played.

Rincon has a winning win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 57% of his matches (174-133). 5-2 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rincon has an overall43-36 match record in the last 6 years on hard.

Rincon’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Oeiras 1 Challenger,the Tenerife 2 Challenger and the Glasgow Challenger.

Rincon has an overall 26-23 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Manacor Challenger

Rincon has never competed in this tournament before.

Miguel Tobon

Ranked no. 682, Tobon got to the quarter after beating Calvin Hemery 6-3 4-1 ret. and Eliakim Coulibaly 7-6(2) 7-6(4).

In the 2^nd round, Tobon had a good straight sets win against Coulibaly (7-6²

7-6⁴). During the match Tobon scored 98 points vs Coulibaly’s 93. Miguel was exceptionally aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Talking about serving, Tobon recorded 7 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Miguel Tobon lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Tobon put 72% of his first serves in, winning 75% (50/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (9/26) on the 2nd serve. Tobon broke Coulibaly 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).

The Colombian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in M15 Bucaramanga.

Miguel has a composed 18-15 win-loss record in 2025, 4-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rincon	Tobon
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	6	5
Tot Games	61	40
Pts	180-173	156-128
Total Points	353	284
Winners	72	71
%Winners	40%	46%

Both Rincon and Tobon played 2 matches. At the moment, Daniel Rincon conceded 2 sets while Miguel Tobon hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Rincon has played 1 set more than Tobon (6 vs 5). Therefore, Rincon played 21 games more than Tobon. Daniel scored 72 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Tobon scored 71 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rincon	Tobon
Aces	9	11
Avg per match	4.5	5.5
1st in	104/173	92/132
%1st in	60%	70%
1st pts	72/104	71/92
%1st pts	69%	77%
2nd pts	35/69	19/40
%2nd pts	51%	48%

Rincon recorded 9 aces (4.5 per match). Tobon struck 11 aces (5.5 per match). Rincon won 69% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Tobon won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rincon	Tobon
Won	9	6
Converted	9/20	6/20
% Converted	45%	30%
Conceded	14	10
Saved	4	7
% Saved	29%	70%
Times Broken	10	3

Daniel broke his opponents 9 times with a 45% conversion rate. Rincon lost his serve 10 times and he saved 29% of the break points that he conceded. Tobon broke his opponents 6 times with a 30% conversion rate. Tobon conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Rincon
	R1 Shelbayh	R2 Stewart	Total
Score	6-4 3-6 7-61	2-6 6-3 7-5
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	32	29	61
pts	91-88	89-85	180-173
Total points	179	174	353
Winners	40	32	72
%Winners	44%	36%	40%
SERVE
Aces	7	2	9
Double Faults	3	4	7
1st in	59/92	45/81	104/173
% 1st in	64%	56%	60%
1st pts	40/59	32/45	72/104
% 1st pts	68%	71%	69%
2nd pts	15/33	20/36	35/69
% 2nd pts	45%	56%	51%
Breaks
Won	5	4	9
Converted	5/10	4/10	9/20
Converted %	50%	40%	45%
Conceded	6	8	14
Saved	0/6	4/8	4
Saved %	0%	50%	25%
Times Broken	6	4	10

Tobon
	R1 Hemery	R2 Coulibaly	Total
Score	6-3 4-1 ret.	7-62 7-64
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	14	26	40
pts	58-35	98-93	156-128
Total points	93	191	284
Winners	21	50	71
%Winners	36%	51%	46%
SERVE
Aces	4	7	11
Double Faults	2	7	9
1st in	25/39	67/93	92/132
% 1st in	64%	72%	70%
1st pts	21/25	50/67	71/92
% 1st pts	84%	75%	77%
2nd pts	10/14	9/26	19/40
% 2nd pts	71%	35%	48%
Breaks
Won	3	3	6
Converted	3/7	3/13	6/20
Converted %	43%	23%	30%
Conceded	1	9	10
Saved	1/1	6/9	7
Saved %	100%	67%	84%
Times Broken	0	3	3

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniel MasurMasur – Jurij RodionovRodionov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Harold MayotMayot – Stuart ParkerParker (0-0) – H2H and prediction