H2H, prediction of Jessica Pegula vs Victoria Azarenka at the U.S. Open with odds, preview, pick | 29th August 2025

PREVIEW. New York. Pegula and Azarenka will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Friday the 29th of August

By
Mark Hall
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Victoria Azarenka

Jessica Pegula and Victoria Azarenka will square off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:30 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.33
Victoria Azarenka -> 3.32

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Victoria Azarenka

This will be the 7th time that Jessica Pegula and Victoria Azarenka play each other. The head to head is 3-3 for Pegula and Azarenka (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Pegula won 6-4 3-6 7-6(7) in the quarter in Charleston back in 2024.

Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Victoria Azarenka – Charleston 05-April-2024

Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula
Jessica Pegula

39 - 16win/loss

Hard
24-9
I Hard
0-0
Clay
11-5
Grass
4-2
Rank
6
High
3
LWLWLWWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 35-12 11-5 3-4 4-2 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 4, Pegula got to the 3rd round after defeating Mayar Sherif 6-0 6-4 and Anna Blinkova 6-1 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Jessica had a good straight sets win against Blinkova (6-1 6-3). During the match, Pegula scored 58 points vs Blinkova’s 41. Jessica was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Regarding the service games, Pegula managed to score 2 aces and she was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 63% of her first serves in, winning 64% (21/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Blinkova 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Pegula hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 60% of the points she played.

Pegula has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (343-173). 24-9 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pegula has a compiled 228-99 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Austin where she defeated Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Charleston where she beat Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Bad Homburg where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 7-5.

The American has an overall 39-16 win-loss record in 2025, 24-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Pegula
U.S. Open
Pegula's Record

Victoria Azarenka

Victoria Azarenka
Victoria Azarenka

11 - 11win/loss

Hard
6-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
2-3
Grass
3-2
Rank
133
High
1
LWWLLWWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 11-12 6-7 2-3 0-0 3-2 0-0
2024 30-15 20-10 7-4 0-0 3-1 0-0
2023 23-19 17-13 2-3 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 24-13 18-9 6-3 0-1 0-0 0-0
2021 28-9 18-6 4-1 0-0 6-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 132, the Belarussian got to the 3rd round after defeating Hina Inoue 7-6(0) 6-4 and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-3 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Azarenka had a good straight sets win against Pavlyuchenkova (6-3 6-3). During the match Azarenka scored 69 points vs Pavlyuchenkova’s 53. Azarenka was quite aggressive to blast 20 winners.

About the serving games, Azarenka fired 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Victoria Azarenka lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Azarenka put 58% of her first serves in, winning 69% (20/29) of the points behind her 1st serve and 62% (13/21) on the 2nd serve. Azarenka broke Pavlyuchenkova 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belarussian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Victoria has an overall 11-11 win-loss record in 2025, 6-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2012, 2013 and 2020. See her history.

Azarenka
U.S. Open
Azarenka's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Pegula
V.Azarenka
2h:19
2h:19
Time on court​
!
3h:30
3h:30
1h:04
1h:04
Last match​
1h:26
1h:26
2
2
Match played
2
2
32
32
Games Played​
41
41
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
123
123
Total points​
154
154
61.5
61.5
Avg point​
77
77
48
48
Winners
59
59
24
24
Avg Winners​
29.5
29.5
39%
39%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
3
3
1.5
1.5
Avg Aces
1.5
1.5
3
3
Double Faults
11
11
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
!
5.5
5.5
48/67
48/67
1st won total​
59/87
59/87
!
72%
72%
1st won %
68%
68%
17/41
17/41
2nd won total​
28/56
28/56
41%
41%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
12/20
12/20
BP won
9/18
9/18
6/10
6/10
Avg BP won
4.5/9
4.5/9
!
60%
60%
Won
50%
50%
11
11
Conceded
12
12
5.5
5.5
Avg Conceded
6
6
4
4
Broken
5
5
2
2
Avg Broken
2.5
2.5
7
7
Saved
7
7
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Pegula Azarenka
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 32 41
Pts 123-82 154-131
Total Points 205 285
Winners 48 59
%Winners 39% 38%

Both Pegula and Azarenka played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Pegula and Azarenka have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Pegula played 9 games less than Azarenka. The American scored 48 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Belarussian struck 59 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Pegula Azarenka
Aces 3 3
Avg per match 1.5 1.5
1st in 67/108 87/143
%1st in 62% 61%
1st pts 48/67 59/87
%1st pts 72% 68%
2nd pts 17/41 28/56
%2nd pts 41% 50%

Pegula made 3 aces (1.5 per match). Azarenka recorded 3 aces (1.5 per match). Pegula won 72% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Azarenka won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Pegula Azarenka
Won 12 9
Converted 12/20 9/18
% Converted 60% 50%
Conceded 11 12
Saved 7 7
% Saved 64% 58%
Times Broken 4 5

The American broke her opponents 12 times with a 60% conversion rate. The American dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded. Azarenka broke her opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Victoria conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded.

Pegula
R1
Sherif		 R2
Blinkova		 Total
Score 6-0 6-4 6-1 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 16 16 32
pts 65-41 58-41 123-82
Total points 106 99 205
Winners 27 21 48
%Winners 42% 36% 39%
SERVE
Aces 1 2 3
Double Faults 3 0 3
1st in 34/56 33/52 67/108
% 1st in 61% 63% 62%
1st pts 27/34 21/33 48/67
% 1st pts 79% 64% 72%
2nd pts 7/22 10/19 17/41
% 2nd pts 32% 53% 41%
Breaks
Won 6 6 12
Converted 6/9 6/11 12/20
Converted % 67% 55% 60%
Conceded 7 4 11
Saved 5/7 2/4 7
Saved % 71% 50% 61%
Times Broken 2 2 4
Azarenka
R1
Inoue		 R2
Pavlyuchenkova		 Total
Score 7-60 6-4 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 23 18 41
pts 85-78 69-53 154-131
Total points 163 122 285
Winners 39 20 59
%Winners 46% 29% 38%
SERVE
Aces 1 2 3
Double Faults 8 3 11
1st in 58/93 29/50 87/143
% 1st in 62% 58% 61%
1st pts 39/58 20/29 59/87
% 1st pts 67% 69% 68%
2nd pts 15/35 13/21 28/56
% 2nd pts 43% 62% 50%
Breaks
Won 4 5 9
Converted 4/5 5/13 9/18
Converted % 80% 38% 50%
Conceded 8 4 12
Saved 5/8 2/4 7
Saved % 63% 50% 57%
Times Broken 3 2 5

Head 2 Head

Jessica Pegula
  • 0Slam
  • 10Main
  • 0ITF
  • 0Minor
Victoria Azarenka
  • 2Slam
  • 21Main
  • 1ITF
  • 0Minor

Jessica
Pegula

4:3

Victoria
Azarenka

Rank

6

High

3

3Hard2

1Clay0

0Grass1

Rank

133

High

1

Win Loss
Pegula
LWLWLWWWWL
Azarenka
LWWLLWWWLW
2025 2024 2023
53 - 23
11 - 12
35-12
Hard
6-7
3-4
I Hard
0-0
11-5
Clay
2-3
4-2
Grass
3-2

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

Pegula Jessica Pegula
More Stats
Click here
Azarenka Victoria Azarenka