Elena Rybakina and Emma Raducanu will square off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.45
Emma Raducanu -> 2.75

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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Emma Raducanu

This will be the 2nd time that Elena Rybakina and Emma Raducanu play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Rybakina won 6-0 6-1 in the 1st round in Sydney back in 2022.

Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Emma Raducanu – Sydney 11-January-2022

Elena Rybakina

Elena Rybakina

43 - 16win/loss

Hard
27-10
I Hard
2-0
Clay
9-3
Grass
5-3
Rank
5
High
3
WWWWWWWWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 59-19 37-13 9-3 8-0 5-3 0-0
2024 43-11 23-5 12-2 2-2 6-2 0-0
2023 47-15 31-11 11-2 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 40-21 18-12 9-5 5-2 8-2 0-0
2021 33-23 18-14 6-4 2-2 7-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 10, Elena got to the 3rd round after defeating Julieta Pareja 6-3 6-0 and Tereza Valentova 6-3 7-6(7).

In the 2nd round, The Kazakhstani had a good straight sets win against Valentova (6-3 7-67). During the match, Rybakina scored 76 points vs Valentova’s 68. Elena was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rybakina recorded 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 53% of her first serves in, winning 71% (29/41) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (16/36) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Valentova 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rybakina hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 58% of the points she played.

Rybakina has an extraordinary record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (368-157). 27-10 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has an aggregate 176-80 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Strasbourg where she overcame Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-7(2) 6-1.

Elena has a compiled 43-16 win-loss record in 2025, 27-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Rybakina's Record

Emma Raducanu

Emma Raducanu

26 - 17win/loss

Hard
15-9
I Hard
0-1
Clay
6-4
Grass
5-3
Rank
29
High
10
LLLWLWLWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 28-22 17-14 6-4 0-1 5-3 0-0
2024 23-13 9-8 4-2 3-0 7-3 0-0
2023 5-5 5-4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 17-19 10-11 6-5 0-1 1-2 0-0
2021 25-9 18-4 0-0 2-2 5-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 36, the Brit got to the 3rd round after defeating Ena Shibahara 6-1 6-2 and Janice Tjen 6-2 6-1.

In the 2nd round, Raducanu had a good straight sets win against Tjen (6-2 6-1). During the match Raducanu scored 55 points vs Tjen’s 33. Raducanu was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Raducanu bagged 8 aces and she was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Emma Raducanu was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (28/37) of her 1st serve and 60% (6/10) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Raducanu broke Tjen 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Emma hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 64% of the points she played.

The Brit’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Washington.

The Brit has an overall 26-17 win-loss record in 2025, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, she won this tournament once in 2021. See her history.

U.S. Open
Raducanu's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Rybakina
E.Raducanu
2h:41
2h:41
Time on court​
2h:02
2h:02
1h:39
1h:39
Last match​
1h:00
1h:00
2
2
Match played
2
2
37
37
Games Played​
30
30
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
137
137
Total points​
112
112
68.5
68.5
Avg point​
56
56
50
50
Winners
55
55
25
25
Avg Winners​
27.5
27.5
36%
36%
Ratio winners
49%
49%
-- Serve --
11
11
Aces
10
10
5.5
5.5
Avg Aces
5
5
4
4
Double Faults
0
0
2
2
Avg Double Faults
0
0
50/62
50/62
1st won total​
55/70
55/70
!
81%
81%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
27/53
27/53
2nd won total​
14/22
14/22
51%
51%
2nd won %
!
64%
64%
-- Break Points --
8/16
8/16
BP won
8/13
8/13
4/8
4/8
Avg BP won
4/6.5
4/6.5
50%
50%
Won
!
62%
62%
9
9
Conceded
4
4
4.5
4.5
Avg Conceded
2
2
3
3
Broken
0
0
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
!
0
0
6
6
Saved
4
4
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rybakina Raducanu
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 37 30
Pts 137-101 112-63
Total Points 238 175
Winners 50 55
%Winners 36% 49%

Both Rybakina and Raducanu played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rybakina and Raducanu have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Rybakina played 7 games more than Raducanu. The Kazakhstani scored 50 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Emma blasted 55 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rybakina Raducanu
Aces 11 10
Avg per match 5.5 5
1st in 62/115 70/92
%1st in 54% 76%
1st pts 50/62 55/70
%1st pts 81% 79%
2nd pts 27/53 14/22
%2nd pts 51% 64%

Rybakina scored 11 aces (5.5 per match). Raducanu made 10 aces (5 per match). Rybakina won 81% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Raducanu won 79% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 64% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rybakina Raducanu
Won 8 8
Converted 8/16 8/13
% Converted 50% 62%
Conceded 9 4
Saved 6 4
% Saved 67% 100%
Times Broken 3 0

Elena broke her opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Rybakina conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Raducanu broke her opponents 8 times with a 62% conversion rate. The Brit was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.

Rybakina
R1
Pareja		 R2
Valentova		 Total
Score 6-3 6-0 6-3 7-67
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 15 22 37
pts 61-33 76-68 137-101
Total points 94 144 238
Winners 21 29 50
%Winners 34% 38% 36%
SERVE
Aces 7 4 11
Double Faults 2 2 4
1st in 21/38 41/77 62/115
% 1st in 55% 53% 54%
1st pts 21/21 29/41 50/62
% 1st pts 100% 71% 81%
2nd pts 11/17 16/36 27/53
% 2nd pts 65% 44% 51%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/9 4/7 8/16
Converted % 44% 57% 50%
Conceded 0 9 9
Saved 0/0 6/9 6
Saved % – 67% 34%
Times Broken 0 3 3
Raducanu
R1
Shibahara		 R2
Tjen		 Total
Score 6-1 6-2 6-2 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 15 15 30
pts 57-30 55-33 112-63
Total points 87 88 175
Winners 27 28 55
%Winners 47% 51% 49%
SERVE
Aces 2 8 10
Double Faults 0 0 0
1st in 33/45 37/47 70/92
% 1st in 73% 79% 76%
1st pts 27/33 28/37 55/70
% 1st pts 82% 76% 79%
2nd pts 8/12 6/10 14/22
% 2nd pts 67% 60% 64%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/7 4/6 8/13
Converted % 57% 67% 62%
Conceded 1 3 4
Saved 1/1 3/3 4
Saved % 100% 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0 0

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Rybakina
More Stats
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Raducanu

Click for FULL STATS