Elise Mertens and Cristina Bucsa will face off in the 3^rd round of the U.S. Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:00 pm on Stadium 17. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elise Mertens who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elise Mertens is the pick to win this match.
Elise Mertens -> 1.31
Cristina Bucsa -> 3.45

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Cristina Bucsa

This will be the 3^rd time that Elise Mertens and Cristina Bucsa clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Mertens and Bucsa (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Mertens won 6-2 6-3 in the 2^nd round in Doha back in February 2025.

Highlights Elise Mertens vs Cristina Bucsa – Doha 11-February-2025

Elise Mertens

Ranked no. 21, the Belgian reached the 3^rd round after defeating Alyssa Ahn 6-1 6-0 and Lulu Sun 6-2 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Mertens had a good straight sets win against Sun (6-2 6-3). During the match, Mertens scored 64 points vs Sun’s 49. The Belgian was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Mertens blasted 7 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Elise Mertens lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 64% of her first serves in, winning 71% (25/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Elise broke Sun 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Elise hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 62% of the points she played.

Mertens has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (356-220). 15-9 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Mertens has an aggregate 202-121 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Singapore where she overcame Ann Li in the final 6-1 6-4 and in Hertogenbosch where she beat Elena Gabriela Ruse in the final 6-3 7-6(4).

Elise has a composed 34-16 win-loss record in 2025, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Cristina Bucsa

Ranked no. 95, Cristina got to the 3^rd round after defeating Claire Liu 6-2 6-1 and Alexandra Eala 6-4 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Bucsa had a good straight sets win against Eala (6-4 6-3). During the match Bucsa scored 65 points vs Eala’s 58. Cristina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Bucsa blasted 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Cristina Bucsa lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Bucsa put 72% of her first serves in, winning 65% (30/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 28% (5/18) on the 2nd serve. Cristina broke Eala 6 times after converting 75% of her break points (6/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Cristina hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Bucsa has a composed 25-25 win-loss record in 2025, 15-14 on hard (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2022. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Mertens	Bucsa
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	4
Tot Games	30	34
Pts	119-74	131-105
Total Points	193	236
Winners	40	51
%Winners	34%	39%

Both Mertens and Bucsa played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Mertens and Bucsa have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Mertens played 4 games less than Bucsa. Mertens scored 40 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Bucsa fired 51 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Mertens	Bucsa
Aces	12	5
Avg per match	6	2.5
1st in	51/86	74/112
%1st in	59%	66%
1st pts	40/51	51/74
%1st pts	78%	69%
2nd pts	20/35	16/38
%2nd pts	57%	42%

Mertens blasted 12 aces (6 per match). Bucsa fired 5 aces (2.5 per match). Mertens won 78% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Bucsa won 69% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Mertens	Bucsa
Won	11	11
Converted	11/19	11/27
% Converted	58%	41%
Conceded	5	11
Saved	4	8
% Saved	80%	73%
Times Broken	1	3

Elise broke her opponents 11 times with a 58% conversion rate. Mertens lost her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. Cristina broke her opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. Bucsa conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.

Mertens
	R1 Ahn	R2 Sun	Total
Score	6-1 6-0	6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	13	17	30
pts	55-25	64-49	119-74
Total points	80	113	193
Winners	15	25	40
%Winners	27%	39%	34%
SERVE
Aces	5	7	12
Double Faults	0	3	3
1st in	16/31	35/55	51/86
% 1st in	52%	64%	59%
1st pts	15/16	25/35	40/51
% 1st pts	94%	71%	78%
2nd pts	10/15	10/20	20/35
% 2nd pts	67%	50%	57%
Breaks
Won	6	5	11
Converted	6/10	5/9	11/19
Converted %	60%	56%	58%
Conceded	0	5	5
Saved	0/0	4/5	4
Saved %	–	80%	40%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Bucsa
	R1 Liu	R2 Eala	Total
Score	6-2 6-1	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	15	19	34
pts	66-47	65-58	131-105
Total points	113	123	236
Winners	21	30	51
%Winners	32%	46%	39%
SERVE
Aces	2	3	5
Double Faults	3	4	7
1st in	28/48	46/64	74/112
% 1st in	58%	72%	66%
1st pts	21/28	30/46	51/74
% 1st pts	75%	65%	69%
2nd pts	11/20	5/18	16/38
% 2nd pts	55%	28%	42%
Breaks
Won	5	6	11
Converted	5/19	6/8	11/27
Converted %	26%	75%	41%
Conceded	2	9	11
Saved	2/2	6/9	8
Saved %	100%	67%	84%
Times Broken	0	3	3

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Marcel GranollersGranollers – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (6-2 3-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Jason JungJung (7-6⁶ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Antoine HoangHoang – Ruben BemelmansBemelmans (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Go SoedaSoeda – Marius CopilCopil (7-6⁵ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Lukas RosolRosol – Mikael YmerYmer (6-3 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dennis NovakNovak – Paul JubbJubb (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Soon-Woo KwonKwon (6-2 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Jiri VeselyVesely (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Renata ZarazuaZarazua – Diane ParryParry (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-5) – H2H and prediction
• Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Donna VekicVekic – Cori GauffGauff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jaqueline CristianCristian – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasia ZakharovaZakharova – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elise MertensMertens – Cristina BucsaBucsa (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (3-3) – H2H and prediction
• Priscilla HonHon – Ann LiLi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Emma NavarroNavarro – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor TownsendTownsend – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Maria SakkariSakkari (4-0) – H2H and prediction
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-1) – H2H and prediction