Aryna Sabalenka and Leylah Annie Fernandez will square off in the 3^rd round of the U.S. Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.174
Leylah Annie Fernandez -> 5

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Leylah Annie Fernandez

This will be the 2^nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Leylah Annie Fernandez clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Annie (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Annie won 7-6(3) 4-6 6-4 in the semifinal in at the U.S. Open back in 2021.

Highlights Leylah Annie Fernandez vs Aryna Sabalenka – U.S. Open 09-September-2021

Aryna Sabalenka

Currently world no. 1 the Belarussian reached the 3^rd round after beating Rebeka Masarova 7-5 6-1 and Polina Kudermetova 7-6(4) 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Kudermetova (7-6⁴ 6-2). During the match, Sabalenka scored 80 points vs Kudermetova’s 68. Aryna was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sabalenka struck 5 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve once and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 60% of her first serves in, winning 78% (35/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (14/30) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Kudermetova 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Aryna hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 56% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a remarkable match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of her matches (426-178). 28-5 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a composed 255-97 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Brisbane where she beat Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2 and in Miami where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Madrid where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Aryna has an aggregate 52-10 win-loss record in 2025, 28-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Leylah Annie Fernandez

Ranked no. 30, the Canadian reached the 3^rd round after beating Rebecca Marino 6-2 6-1 and Elsa Jacquemot 2-6 6-3 6-2.

In the 2^nd round against Jacquemot, Leylah recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 6-2). During the match Annie scored 96 points vs Jacquemot’s 88. Annie was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about serving, Annie scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Leylah Annie Fernandez lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Annie put 66% of her first serves in, winning 63% (37/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the 2nd serve. Annie broke Jacquemot 4 times after converting 31% of her break points (4/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Annie has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Washington where she overcame Anna Kalinskaya in the final 6-1 6-2.

Leylah has an overall 24-20 win-loss record in 2025, 18-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2021. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sabalenka	Annie
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	5
Tot Games	40	40
Pts	146-115	156-127
Total Points	261	283
Winners	58	61
%Winners	40%	39%

Both Sabalenka and Annie played 2 matches. At the moment, Leylah Annie Fernandez conceded 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set(s) less than Annie (4 vs 5). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (40). Aryna scored 58 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Leylah managed to score 61 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sabalenka	Annie
Aces	7	2
Avg per match	3.5	1
1st in	75/132	93/147
%1st in	57%	63%
1st pts	58/75	61/93
%1st pts	77%	66%
2nd pts	31/57	29/54
%2nd pts	54%	54%

Sabalenka fired 7 aces (3.5 per match). Annie bagged 2 aces (1 per match). Sabalenka won 77% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Annie won 66% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sabalenka	Annie
Won	7	9
Converted	7/10	9/18
% Converted	70%	50%
Conceded	15	11
Saved	13	7
% Saved	87%	64%
Times Broken	2	4

The Belarussian broke her opponents 7 times with a 70% conversion rate. The Belarussian dropped her serve twice and she saved 87% of the break points that she conceded. Annie broke her opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Annie conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
	R1 Masarova	R2 Kudermetova	Total
Score	7-5 6-1	7-64 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	19	21	40
pts	66-47	80-68	146-115
Total points	113	148	261
Winners	23	35	58
%Winners	35%	44%	40%
SERVE
Aces	2	5	7
Double Faults	2	5	7
1st in	30/57	45/75	75/132
% 1st in	53%	60%	57%
1st pts	23/30	35/45	58/75
% 1st pts	77%	78%	77%
2nd pts	17/27	14/30	31/57
% 2nd pts	63%	47%	54%
Breaks
Won	4	3	7
Converted	4/5	3/5	7/10
Converted %	80%	60%	70%
Conceded	6	9	15
Saved	5/6	8/9	13
Saved %	83%	89%	86%
Times Broken	1	1	2

Annie
	R1 Marino	R2 Jacquemot	Total
Score	6-2 6-1	2-6 6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	15	25	40
pts	60-39	96-88	156-127
Total points	99	184	283
Winners	24	37	61
%Winners	40%	39%	39%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	2
Double Faults	3	3	6
1st in	34/57	59/90	93/147
% 1st in	60%	66%	63%
1st pts	24/34	37/59	61/93
% 1st pts	71%	63%	66%
2nd pts	12/23	17/31	29/54
% 2nd pts	52%	55%	54%
Breaks
Won	5	4	9
Converted	5/5	4/13	9/18
Converted %	100%	31%	50%
Conceded	5	6	11
Saved	4/5	3/6	7
Saved %	80%	50%	65%
Times Broken	1	3	4

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Dennis NovakNovak – Paul JubbJubb (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Soon-Woo KwonKwon (6-2 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Jiri VeselyVesely (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Marcel GranollersGranollers – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (6-2 3-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Jason JungJung (7-6⁶ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Antoine HoangHoang – Ruben BemelmansBemelmans (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Go SoedaSoeda – Marius CopilCopil (7-6⁵ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Lukas RosolRosol – Mikael YmerYmer (6-3 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Renata ZarazuaZarazua – Diane ParryParry (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-5) – H2H and prediction
• Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Donna VekicVekic – Cori GauffGauff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jaqueline CristianCristian – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasia ZakharovaZakharova – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elise MertensMertens – Cristina BucsaBucsa (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (3-3) – H2H and prediction
• Priscilla HonHon – Ann LiLi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Emma NavarroNavarro – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor TownsendTownsend – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Maria SakkariSakkari (4-0) – H2H and prediction
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-1) – H2H and prediction