Tomas Machac and Ugo Blanchet will play each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:00 pm on Stadium 17. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tomas Machac who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tomas Machac is the pick to win this match.
Tomas Machac -> 1.33
Ugo Blanchet -> 3.32

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Prediction and head to head Tomas Machac vs. Ugo Blanchet

There is no head to head record between Tomas Machac and Ugo Blanchet since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Tomas Machac

Tomas Machac

21 - 14win/loss

Hard
13-6
I Hard
3-1
Clay
2-5
Grass
3-2
Rank
32
High
20
LLLWLLWWWL
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Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-19 15-9 2-5 3-3 3-2 0-0
2024 37-24 22-11 9-5 5-6 1-2 0-0
2023 52-27 15-10 16-11 18-5 3-1 0-0
2022 47-19 24-6 5-2 18-10 0-0 0-1
2021 28-19 5-4 5-4 12-6 2-3 4-2
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Ranked no. 22, Machac got to the 3rd round after defeating Luca Nardi 6-3 6-1 6-1 and Joao Fonseca 7-6(4) 6-2 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Machac had a good straight sets win against Fonseca (7-64 6-2 6-3). During the match, Machac scored 94 points vs Fonseca’s 78. The Czech was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Regarding the service games, Machac bagged 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Tomas Machac was quite efficient on serve to win 80% (44/55) of his 1st serve and 66% (25/38) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Machac broke Fonseca 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Czech hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

Machac has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 66% of his matches (278-145). 13-6 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Machac has a compiled85-39 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Acapulco where he defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.

Tomas has an aggregate 21-14 win-loss record in 2025, 13-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Machac's Record

Ugo Blanchet

Ugo Blanchet

26 - 20win/loss

Hard
11-6
I Hard
6-1
Clay
7-10
Grass
2-3
Rank
142
High
139
LLLLWWLLWW
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Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 30-28 13-10 7-10 8-5 2-3 0-0
2024 21-28 4-10 14-12 3-5 0-1 0-0
2023 42-28 15-7 23-16 4-5 0-0 0-0
2022 47-24 15-4 27-13 5-7 0-0 0-0
2021 49-21 35-12 6-6 8-3 0-0 0-0
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Ranked no. 184, the French player reached the 3rd round after beating Borna Gojo 7-6(2) 3-6 6-3, Dmitry Popko 6-3 6-4, Jaime Faria 7-5 6-4, Fabian Marozsan 6-4 3-6 7-6(7) 6-2 and Jakub Mensik 6-7(2) 7-6(5) 3-6 6-4 7-6(7).

In the 2nd round, Blanchet had a tough win against Mensik to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-72 7-65 3-6 6-4 7-67).During the match Blanchet scored less points (4) than Mensik. In fact, the world no. 22 won 182 points vs Mensik’s. That means that Blanchet was more focused during the important points. Ugo was quite aggressive to blast 77 winners.

Talking about serving, Blanchet fired 13 aces and he was not very solid on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Ugo Blanchet lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Blanchet put 53% of his first serves in, winning 79% (77/97) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (43/87) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Mensik 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ugo started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Koblenz Challenger where he overcame Luca Nardi in the final 6-3 3-6 7-6(5).

Blanchet has a compiled 26-20 win-loss record in 2025, 11-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.

U.S. Open
Blanchet's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

T.Machac
U.Blanchet
3h:18
3h:18
Time on court​
!
12h:18
12h:18
1h:58
1h:58
Last match​
!
4h:23
4h:23
2
2
Match played
!
5
5
53
53
Games Played​
170
170
6
6
Set played​​
16
16
175
175
Total points​
568
568
87.5
87.5
Avg point​
113.6
113.6
75
75
Winners
225
225
37.5
37.5
Avg Winners​
45
45
43%
43%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
13
13
Aces
37
37
6.5
6.5
Avg Aces
7.4
7.4
2
2
Double Faults
30
30
1
1
Avg Double Faults
!
6
6
75/95
75/95
1st won total​
225/296
225/296
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
39/56
39/56
2nd won total​
139/261
139/261
!
70%
70%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
10/20
10/20
BP won
17/38
17/38
5/10
5/10
Avg BP won
3.4/7.6
3.4/7.6
50%
50%
Won
45%
45%
6
6
Conceded
31
31
3
3
Avg Conceded
6.2
6.2
0
0
Broken
11
11
!
0
0
Avg Broken
2.2
2.2
6
6
Saved
20
20
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Machac Blanchet
Match played 2 5
Tot Set 6 16
Tot Games 53 170
Pts 175-127 568-541
Total Points 302 1109
Winners 75 225
%Winners 43% 40%

Machac played 2 matches while Blanchet competed in 5 matches. Blanchet started his run from the qualifications while Machac had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Ugo Blanchet dropped 4 sets while Tomas Machac hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Machac has played 10 set(s) less than Blanchet (6 vs 16). Therefore, Machac played 117 games less than Blanchet. Machac scored 75 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Ugo made 225 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Machac Blanchet
Aces 13 37
Avg per match 6.5 7.4
1st in 95/151 296/557
%1st in 63% 53%
1st pts 75/95 225/296
%1st pts 79% 76%
2nd pts 39/56 139/261
%2nd pts 70% 53%

Machac scored 13 aces (6.5 per match). Blanchet struck 37 aces (7.4 per match). Machac won 79% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Blanchet won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Machac Blanchet
Won 10 17
Converted 10/20 17/38
% Converted 50% 45%
Conceded 6 31
Saved 6 20
% Saved 100% 65%
Times Broken 0 11

Machac broke his opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. Machac extremely effective on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 6 break points. The French player broke his opponents 17 times with a 45% conversion rate. Ugo conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.

Machac
R1
Nardi		 R2
Fonseca		 Total
Score 6-3 6-1 6-1 7-64 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 23 30 53
pts 81-49 94-78 175-127
Total points 130 172 302
Winners 31 44 75
%Winners 38% 47% 43%
SERVE
Aces 10 3 13
Double Faults 0 2 2
1st in 40/58 55/93 95/151
% 1st in 69% 59% 63%
1st pts 31/40 44/55 75/95
% 1st pts 78% 80% 79%
2nd pts 14/18 25/38 39/56
% 2nd pts 78% 66% 70%
Breaks
Won 7 3 10
Converted 7/14 3/6 10/20
Converted % 50% 50% 50%
Conceded 2 4 6
Saved 2/2 4/4 6
Saved % 100% 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0 0
Blanchet
Q1
Gojo		 Q2
Popko		 Q3
Faria		 R1
Marozsan		 R2
Mensik		 Total
Score 7-62 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-4 7-5 6-4 6-4 3-6 7-67 6-2 6-72 7-65 3-6 6-4 7-67
Tot Set 3 2 2 4 5 16
Tot Games 31 19 22 40 58 170
pts 98-96 73-61 84-73 131-125 182-186 568-541
Total points 194 134 157 256 368 1109
Winners 49 23 22 54 77 225
%Winners 50% 32% 26% 41% 42% 40%
SERVE
Aces 7 2 5 10 13 37
Double Faults 1 6 6 7 10 30
1st in 68/107 29/75 28/61 74/130 97/184 296/557
% 1st in 64% 39% 46% 57% 53% 53%
1st pts 49/68 23/29 22/28 54/74 77/97 225/296
% 1st pts 72% 79% 79% 73% 79% 76%
2nd pts 23/39 24/46 19/33 30/56 43/87 139/261
% 2nd pts 59% 52% 58% 54% 49% 53%
Breaks
Won 1 3 4 5 4 17
Converted 1/1 3/5 4/16 5/9 4/7 17/38
Converted % 100% 60% 25% 56% 57% 45%
Conceded 5 6 5 6 9 31
Saved 4/5 5/6 3/5 3/6 5/9 20
Saved % 80% 83% 60% 50% 56% 165%
Times Broken 1 1 2 3 4 11

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Machac
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Blanchet

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