Ben Shelton and Adrian Mannarino will fight against each other in the 3^rd round of the U.S. Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ben Shelton who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ben Shelton is the pick to win this match.
Ben Shelton -> 1.23
Adrian Mannarino -> 4.2

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Prediction and head to head Ben Shelton vs. Adrian Mannarino

This will be the 4^th time that Ben Shelton and Adrian Mannarino play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Mannarino (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Shelton won 6-2 6-3 in the 2^nd round in Toronto back in July 2025.

Highlights Ben Shelton vs Adrian Mannarino – Toronto 30-July-2025

Ben Shelton

Ranked no. 6 (career-high), Ben got to the 3^rd round after defeating Ignacio Buse 6-3 6-2 6-4 and Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-4 6-2 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Carreno-Busta (6-4 6-2 6-4). During the match, Shelton scored 94 points vs Carreno-Busta’s 69. Shelton was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about the service games, Shelton recorded 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Ben Shelton was pretty effective on serve to win 73% (38/52) of his 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The American broke Carreno-Busta 6 times after converting 86% of his break points (6/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Shelton hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.

Shelton has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 65% of his matches (165-87). 23-7 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Shelton has an overall89-45 match record in the last 5 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Toronto where he overcame Karen Khachanov in the final 6-7(5) 6-4 7-6(3).

Ben has an overall 37-17 win-loss record in 2025, 23-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Adrian Mannarino

Ranked no. 77, the French player reached the 3^rd round after defeating Tallon Griekspoor 7-5 6-4 6-0 and Jordan Thompson 6-4 6-7(5) 6-3 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Adrian defeated Thompson (6-4 6-7⁵ 6-3 6-3). During the match Mannarino scored 138 points vs Thompson’s 123. Mannarino was exceptionally aggressive to blast 53 winners.

Talking about serving, Mannarino managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Adrian Mannarino was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 76% (53/70) of his 1st serve and 61% (35/57) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Mannarino broke Thompson 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Mannarino’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Newport Challenger.

The French player has an overall 30-30 win-loss record in 2025, 11-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2013, 2014, 2017, 2020 and 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Shelton	Mannarino
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	6	7
Tot Games	55	69
Pts	194-148	248-198
Total Points	342	446
Winners	81	95
%Winners	42%	38%

Both Shelton and Mannarino played 2 matches. At the moment, Adrian Mannarino conceded 1 set while Ben Shelton hasn’t conceded a set so far. Shelton has played 1 set(s) less than Mannarino (6 vs 7). Therefore, Shelton played 14 games less than Mannarino. The American scored 81 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Adrian scored 95 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Shelton	Mannarino
Aces	13	20
Avg per match	6.5	10
1st in	107/166	117/213
%1st in	64%	55%
1st pts	81/107	95/117
%1st pts	76%	81%
2nd pts	34/59	55/96
%2nd pts	58%	57%

Shelton fired 13 aces (6.5 per match). Mannarino struck 20 aces (10 per match). Shelton won 76% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Mannarino won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Shelton	Mannarino
Won	10	11
Converted	10/20	11/28
% Converted	50%	39%
Conceded	9	18
Saved	7	16
% Saved	78%	89%
Times Broken	2	2

Shelton broke his opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. Shelton lost his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Adrian broke his opponents 11 times with a 39% conversion rate. Adrian conceded his serve twice and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded.

Shelton
	R1 Buse	R2 Carreno-Busta	Total
Score	6-3 6-2 6-4	6-4 6-2 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	27	28	55
pts	100-79	94-69	194-148
Total points	179	163	342
Winners	43	38	81
%Winners	43%	40%	42%
SERVE
Aces	5	8	13
Double Faults	3	2	5
1st in	55/88	52/78	107/166
% 1st in	63%	67%	64%
1st pts	43/55	38/52	81/107
% 1st pts	78%	73%	76%
2nd pts	19/33	15/26	34/59
% 2nd pts	58%	58%	58%
Breaks
Won	4	6	10
Converted	4/13	6/7	10/20
Converted %	31%	86%	50%
Conceded	5	4	9
Saved	5/5	2/4	7
Saved %	100%	50%	75%
Times Broken	0	2	2

Mannarino
	R1 Griekspoor	R2 Thompson	Total
Score	7-5 6-4 6-0	6-4 6-75 6-3 6-3
Tot Set	3	4	7
Tot Games	28	41	69
pts	110-75	138-123	248-198
Total points	185	261	446
Winners	42	53	95
%Winners	38%	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	14	6	20
Double Faults	3	3	6
1st in	47/86	70/127	117/213
% 1st in	55%	55%	55%
1st pts	42/47	53/70	95/117
% 1st pts	89%	76%	81%
2nd pts	20/39	35/57	55/96
% 2nd pts	51%	61%	57%
Breaks
Won	6	5	11
Converted	6/16	5/12	11/28
Converted %	38%	42%	39%
Conceded	9	9	18
Saved	8/9	8/9	16
Saved %	89%	89%	89%
Times Broken	1	1	2

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Leandro RiediRiedi – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (3-6 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Tristan BoyerBoyer (6-3 6-3 5-7 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Valentin RoyerRoyer (7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – David GoffinGoffin (6-4 6-0 6-2) – See score progression
• Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Adam WaltonWalton (7-6⁵ 6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Ugo BlanchetBlanchet – Jakub MensikMensik (6-7² 7-6⁵ 3-6 6-4 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Zizou BergsBergs – Jack DraperDraper (w/o) – See score progression
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Marcos GironGiron (2-6 4-6 7-5 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Luciano DarderiDarderi – Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri (6-0 7-6³ 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-4 6-7⁵ 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Mattia BellucciBellucci (6-1 6-0 6-3) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Zachary SvajdaSvajda (6-7⁵ 6-3 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (3-6 6-0 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-4 3-6 2-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Francisco ComesanaComesana (7-6⁵ 6-3 6-7⁰ 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Joao FonsecaFonseca (7-6⁴ 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Holger RuneRune (7-6⁵ 2-6 6-3 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Lloyd HarrisHarris (4-6 7-6³ 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Martin DammDamm (6-4 7-5 6-7⁸ 7-5) – See score progression
• Raphael CollignonCollignon – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 3-6 3-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-4 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Jerome KymKym – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (4-6 7-6² 7-5 3-6 7-6⁸) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – David GoffinGoffin (6-4 6-0 6-2) – See score progression
• Zizou BergsBergs – Jack DraperDraper (w/o) – See score progression
• Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Adam WaltonWalton (7-6(5) 6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Tristan BoyerBoyer (6-3 6-3 5-7 7-6(4)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (4-0) – H2H and prediction
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Tommy PaulPaul (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Flavio CobolliCobolli (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo BlanchetBlanchet – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Valentin RoyerRoyer – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (2-0) – H2H and prediction