Novak Djokovic and Cameron Norrie will square off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.168
Cameron Norrie -> 5.1

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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Cameron Norrie

This will be the 7th time that Novak Djokovic and Cameron Norrie square off. The head to head is 6-0 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Djokovic won 6-2 6-3 6-2 in the 4th round in at the French Open back in June 2025.

Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Cameron Norrie – French Open 02-June-2025

Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic

28 - 9win/loss

Hard
14-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
9-3
Grass
5-1
Rank
4
High
1
WWWWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-11 21-7 9-3 4-0 5-1 0-0
2024 37-9 15-5 16-3 1-0 5-1 0-0
2023 56-7 27-1 12-3 11-2 6-1 0-0
2022 42-7 2-1 14-4 19-2 7-0 0-0
2021 55-7 19-3 18-3 11-1 7-0 0-0

Ranked no. 7, Djokovic got to the 3rd round after beating Learner Tien 6-1 7-6(3) 6-2 and Zachary Svajda 6-7(5) 6-3 6-3 6-1.

In the 2nd round against Svajda, Novak recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 6-3 6-3 6-1). During the match, Djokovic scored 125 points vs Svajda’s 94. Djokovic was quite aggressive to blast 51 winners.

Talking about the service games, Djokovic struck 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Novak Djokovic was pretty efficient on serve to win 84% (51/61) of his 1st serve and 67% (29/43) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Serbian broke Svajda 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Serbian has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 58% of the points he played.

Djokovic has a superlative win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 85% of his matches (466-85). 14-5 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Djokovic has an overall 201-33 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Geneva where he overcame Hubert Hurkacz in the final 5-7 7-6(2) 7-6(2).

Novak has a composed 28-9 win-loss record in 2025, 14-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Djokovic's Record

Cameron Norrie

Cameron Norrie

29 - 22win/loss

Hard
10-11
I Hard
1-1
Clay
14-7
Grass
4-3
Rank
27
High
8
LWWWWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-29 11-15 14-7 10-4 4-3 0-0
2024 24-21 7-4 8-8 6-5 3-4 0-0
2023 36-25 14-12 18-7 1-4 3-2 0-0
2022 49-26 26-11 11-5 6-7 6-3 0-0
2021 56-25 25-11 16-5 9-7 6-2 0-0

Ranked no. 35, Norrie got to the 3rd round after beating Sebastian Korda 7-5 6-4 ret. and Francisco Comesana 7-6(5) 6-3 6-7(0) 7-6(4).

In the 2nd round, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Comesana (7-65 6-3 6-70 7-64). During the match Norrie scored 170 points vs Comesana’s 162. Cameron was extremely aggressive to blast 65 winners.

About the serving games, Norrie managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Cameron Norrie lost the serve 6 times and he saved 14 break points. Furthermore, Norrie put 61% of his first serves in, winning 65% (65/100) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (33/65) on the 2nd serve. Cameron broke Comesana 8 times after converting 40% of his break points (8/20).

Cameron’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Geneva.

The Brit has an aggregate 29-22 win-loss record in 2025, 10-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2022. See his history.

U.S. Open
Norrie's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

N.Djokovic
C.Norrie
4h:56
4h:56
Time on court​
5h:47
5h:47
!
2h:31
2h:31
Last match​
!
4h:00
4h:00
2
2
Match played
2
2
66
66
Games Played​
70
70
7
7
Set played​​
7
7
233
233
Total points​
253
253
116.5
116.5
Avg point​
126.5
126.5
94
94
Winners
101
101
47
47
Avg Winners​
50.5
50.5
40%
40%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
17
17
Aces
11
11
8.5
8.5
Avg Aces
5.5
5.5
8
8
Double Faults
9
9
4
4
Avg Double Faults
4.5
4.5
94/117
94/117
1st won total​
101/147
101/147
!
80%
80%
1st won %
69%
69%
47/81
47/81
2nd won total​
50/96
50/96
58%
58%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
12/24
12/24
BP won
10/27
10/27
6/12
6/12
Avg BP won
5/13.5
5/13.5
50%
50%
Won
37%
37%
11
11
Conceded
26
26
5.5
5.5
Avg Conceded
13
13
3
3
Broken
6
6
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
3
3
8
8
Saved
20
20

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Djokovic Norrie
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 7 7
Tot Games 66 70
Pts 233-169 253-233
Total Points 402 486
Winners 94 101
%Winners 40% 40%

Both Djokovic and Norrie played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Novak Djokovic surrendered 1 set, while Cameron Norrie conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Djokovic and Norrie have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Djokovic played 4 games less than Norrie. Novak scored 94 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Norrie recorded 101 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Djokovic Norrie
Aces 17 11
Avg per match 8.5 5.5
1st in 117/198 147/243
%1st in 59% 60%
1st pts 94/117 101/147
%1st pts 80% 69%
2nd pts 47/81 50/96
%2nd pts 58% 52%

Djokovic bagged 17 aces (8.5 per match). Norrie managed to score 11 aces (5.5 per match). Djokovic won 80% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Norrie won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Djokovic Norrie
Won 12 10
Converted 12/24 10/27
% Converted 50% 37%
Conceded 11 26
Saved 8 20
% Saved 73% 77%
Times Broken 3 6

Djokovic broke his opponents 12 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Serbian lost his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Norrie broke his opponents 10 times with a 37% conversion rate. Cameron conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.

Djokovic
R1
Tien
R2
Svajda
Total
Score 6-1 7-63 6-2 6-75 6-3 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 3 4 7
Tot Games 28 38 66
pts 108-75 125-94 233-169
Total points 183 219 402
Winners 43 51 94
%Winners 40% 41% 40%
SERVE
Aces 7 10 17
Double Faults 4 4 8
1st in 56/94 61/104 117/198
% 1st in 60% 59% 59%
1st pts 43/56 51/61 94/117
% 1st pts 77% 84% 80%
2nd pts 18/38 29/43 47/81
% 2nd pts 47% 67% 58%
Breaks
Won 6 6 12
Converted 6/9 6/15 12/24
Converted % 67% 40% 50%
Conceded 8 3 11
Saved 6/8 2/3 8
Saved % 75% 67% 71%
Times Broken 2 1 3
Norrie
R1
Korda
R2
Comesana
Total
Score 7-5 6-4 ret. 7-65 6-3 6-70 7-64
Tot Set 2 4 6
Tot Games 22 48 70
pts 83-71 170-162 253-233
Total points 154 332 486
Winners 36 65 101
%Winners 43% 38% 40%
SERVE
Aces 3 8 11
Double Faults 3 6 9
1st in 47/78 100/165 147/243
% 1st in 60% 61% 60%
1st pts 36/47 65/100 101/147
% 1st pts 77% 65% 69%
2nd pts 17/31 33/65 50/96
% 2nd pts 55% 51% 52%
Breaks
Won 2 8 10
Converted 2/7 8/20 10/27
Converted % 29% 40% 37%
Conceded 6 20 26
Saved 6/6 14/20 20
Saved % 100% 70% 85%
Times Broken 0 6 6

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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