Guy Den Ouden and Francisco Rocha will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Porto 2 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:00 pm on CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Guy Den Ouden who should win in 2 sets.
Guy Den Ouden -> 1.131
Francisco Rocha -> 5.25
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Prediction and head to head Guy Den Ouden vs. Francisco Rocha
There is no head to head record between Guy Den Ouden and Francisco Rocha since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Guy Den Ouden
41 - 16win/loss
160
147
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 47-18 | 0-1 | 46-15 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-24 | 3-7 | 28-12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-19 | 35-9 | 24-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 14-12 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-13 | 16-5 | 13-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 161, Den Ouden reached the 2nd round after beating Mili Poljicak 6-3 1-6 6-2.
In the 1st round, Den Ouden defeated Poljicak (6-3 1-6 6-2). During the match, Den Ouden scored 86 points vs Poljicak’s 82. The Dutch was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about the service games, Den Ouden scored just 1 ace in the match and he committed only 7 double faults. Guy Den Ouden lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Den Ouden put 66% of his first serves in, winning 72% (39/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (11/28) on the 2nd serve. The Dutch broke Poljicak 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Den Ouden has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 67% of his matches (180-88). 40-13 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Den Ouden has an overall108-45 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.
Den Ouden’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Antalya,the Kigali 2 Challenger,M25 Santa Margherita di Pula,the Prague Challenger,the Heilbronn Challenger and the Hagen Challenger.
Den Ouden has a composed 41-16 win-loss record in 2025, 40-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Porto 2 Challenger
Guy has never competed in this tournament before.
Francisco Rocha
15 - 17win/loss
736
675
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-24 | 8-12 | 11-10 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-30 | 19-15 | 9-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-13 | 10-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-7 | 10-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-7 | 9-5 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 812, Rocha reached the 2nd round after beating Maxwell Mckennon 4-2 ret..
In the 1st round against Mckennon, Francisco had a free pass after Mckennon retired on a 4-2 . scoreline.
Francisco has a compiled 15-17 win-loss record in 2025, 8-6 on clay (See FULL STATS)
.Previously in the Porto 2 Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Den Ouden | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 24 | 6 |
| Pts | 86-82 | 25-17 |
| Total Points | 168 | 42 |
| Winners | 39 | 9 |
| %Winners | 45% | 36% |
Both Den Ouden and Rocha played 1 match. At the moment, Guy Den Ouden lost 1 set while Francisco Rocha hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Den Ouden has played 1 set more than Rocha (3 vs 2). Therefore, Den Ouden played 18 games more than Rocha. The Dutch scored 39 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Portuguese scored 9 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Den Ouden | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 3 |
| 1st in | 54/82 | 9/16 |
| %1st in | 66% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 39/54 | 9/9 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 100% |
| 2nd pts | 11/28 | 3/7 |
| %2nd pts | 39% | 43% |
Den Ouden made 1 ace . Rocha also scored 3 aces . Den Ouden won 72% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 39% of the points. On the other side, Rocha won 100% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Den Ouden | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 1 |
| Converted | 4/11 | 1/3 |
| % Converted | 36% | 33% |
| Conceded | 8 | 0 |
| Saved | 5 | 0 |
| % Saved | 63% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
Guy broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Guy lost his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The Portuguese broke his opponent once with a 33% conversion rate. Rocha was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Den Ouden | |||
| R1 Poljicak | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 1-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 24 | |
| pts | 86-82 | 86-82 | |
| Total points | 168 | 168 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 54/82 | 54/82 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 39/54 | 39/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/28 | 11/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 39% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Rocha | |||
| R1 Mckennon | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-2 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 1 | |
| Tot Games | 6 | 6 | |
| pts | 25-17 | 25-17 | |
| Total points | 42 | 42 | |
| Winners | 9 | 9 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 9/16 | 9/16 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 9/9 | 9/9 | |
| % 1st pts | 100% | 100% | |
| 2nd pts | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/3 | 1/3 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Tennis Scores in Porto 2 Challenger
- Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas – Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (7-5 2-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gilles Arnaud BaillyArnaud Bailly – Pedro AraujoAraujo (6-0 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona – Alex BarrenaBarrena (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo – Matej DodigDodig (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov – Daniel MichalskiMichalski (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- David Jorda SanchisJorda Sanchis – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Tiago TorresTorres (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo – Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco RochaRocha – (0-0) – H2H and prediction