Rio Noguchi and Kaichi Uchida will play each other in the 2nd round of the Zhangjiagang Challenger for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 4:00 pm on COURT 5. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rio Noguchi who should win in 3 sets.
Rio Noguchi -> 1.44
Kaichi Uchida -> 2.625
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Prediction and head to head Rio Noguchi vs. Kaichi Uchida
This will be the 5th time that Rio Noguchi and Kaichi Uchida play each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Noguchi (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Noguchi won 6-0 6-1 in the qualifications in the Chicago Challenger back in 2024.
Rio Noguchi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36-30 | 36-30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 41-31 | 36-22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-31 | 12-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-22 | 41-10 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-26 | 18-18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 219, the Japanese reached the 2nd round after beating Linang Xiao 7-6(6) 6-1
.In the 1st round, Noguchi had a good straight sets win against Xiao (7-66 6-1). During the match, Noguchi scored 76 points vs Xiao’s 68. Noguchi was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Noguchi fired 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Rio Noguchi lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Noguchi put 59% of his first serves in, winning 63% (33/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (19/36) on the 2nd serve. Noguchi broke Xiao 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Noguchi has winning record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (360-248). 31-20 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Noguchi has a compiled 255-160 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger where he beat Jie Cui in the final 7-6(9) 6-2.
Noguchi has a compiled 31-20 win-loss record in 2025, 31-20 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Zhangjiagang Challenger
Kaichi Uchida
18 - 21win/loss
288
147
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 44-30 | 36-20 | 0-3 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2024 | 42-30 | 18-22 | 16-6 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-33 | 4-18 | 3-10 | 9-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-34 | 24-23 | 8-5 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-26 | 27-13 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 579, the Japanese got to the 2nd round after defeating Qian Sun 6-1 6-3, Takeru Yuzuki 6-4 6-2 and Luca Castelnuovo 7-6(4) 6-3.
In the 1st round, Uchida had a good straight sets win against Castelnuovo (7-64 6-3). During the match Uchida scored 79 points vs Castelnuovo’s 67. Kaichi was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Uchida recorded 6 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Kaichi Uchida conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 8 break points. Furthermore, Uchida put 59% of his first serves in, winning 87% (41/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Castelnuovo once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).
Kaichi’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Nakhon Pathom.
Kaichi has an overall 18-21 win-loss record in 2025, 15-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Zhangjiagang Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Noguchi | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 56 |
| Pts | 76-68 | 203-156 |
| Total Points | 144 | 359 |
| Winners | 33 | 89 |
| %Winners | 43% | 44% |
Noguchi played 1 match while Uchida competed in 3 matches. Uchida started his run from the qualifications while Noguchi had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Noguchi has played 4 set(s) less than Uchida (2 vs 6). Therefore, Noguchi played 36 games less than Uchida. Noguchi scored 33 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese struck 89 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Noguchi | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 52/88 | 103/181 |
| %1st in | 59% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 33/52 | 89/103 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 86% |
| 2nd pts | 19/36 | 43/78 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 55% |
Noguchi recorded 6 aces . Uchida recorded 13 aces (4.3 per match). Noguchi won 63% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Uchida won 86% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Noguchi | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 8 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 8/22 |
| % Converted | 57% | 36% |
| Conceded | 6 | 13 |
| Saved | 4 | 13 |
| % Saved | 67% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
The Japanese broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Noguchi lost his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Kaichi broke his opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Japanese was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 13 break points.
| Noguchi | |||
| R1 Xiao | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 76-68 | 76-68 | |
| Total points | 144 | 144 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 52/88 | 52/88 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 33/52 | 33/52 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/36 | 19/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Uchida | |||||
| Q1 Sun | Q3 Yuzuki | R1 Castelnuovo | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 | 7-64 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 18 | 22 | 56 | |
| pts | 63-47 | 61-42 | 79-67 | 203-156 | |
| Total points | 110 | 103 | 146 | 359 | |
| Winners | 23 | 25 | 41 | 89 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 41% | 52% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 7 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 30/58 | 26/43 | 47/80 | 103/181 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 60% | 59% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 23/30 | 25/26 | 41/47 | 89/103 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 96% | 87% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/28 | 11/17 | 16/33 | 43/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 65% | 48% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/10 | 1/4 | 8/22 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 30% | 25% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 | 8 | 13 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 0/0 | 8/8 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 100% | 200% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Tennis Scores in Zhangjiagang Challenger
- Kokoro IsomuraIsomura – Jie CuiCui (3-6 6-2 7-69) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sanhui ShinShin – Fajing SunSun (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Renta TokudaTokuda – Philip SekulicSekulic (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Hiroki MoriyaMoriya (6-3 4-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama – Tsung-Hao HuangHuang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Filip PeliwoPeliwo – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kaichi UchidaUchida – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Renta TokudaTokuda – Oliver CrawfordCrawford (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sanhui ShinShin – (1-1) – H2H and prediction