Daria Kasatkina and Kamilla Rakhimova will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:00 pm on Stadium 17. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.58
Kamilla Rakhimova -> 2.38

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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Kamilla Rakhimova

There is no head to head record between Daria Kasatkina and Kamilla Rakhimova since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Daria Kasatkina

Daria Kasatkina

18 - 19win/loss

Hard
11-10
I Hard
0-0
Clay
5-5
Grass
2-4
Rank
37
High
8
LLLWWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-22 12-13 5-5 0-0 2-4 0-0
2024 40-23 24-16 8-4 0-1 8-2 0-0
2023 39-25 19-15 12-6 2-1 6-3 0-0
2022 41-22 24-14 12-5 1-1 4-2 0-0
2021 38-19 19-10 5-5 7-1 7-3 0-0

Ranked no. 18, the Australian reached the 2nd round after beating Elena Gabriela Ruse 7-5 6-1.

In the 1st round, Darya had a good straight sets win against Gabriela Ruse (7-5 6-1). During the match, Kasatkina scored 66 points vs Gabriela Ruse’s 43. Kasatkina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Regarding the service games, Kasatkina struck 2 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 4 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 62% of her first serves in, winning 58% (19/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Darya broke Gabriela Ruse 8 times after converting 62% of her break points (8/13).

Kasatkina has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (317-211). 11-10 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kasatkina has an aggregate 165-126 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The Australian has an aggregate 18-19 win-loss record in 2025, 11-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Kasatkina's Record

Kamilla Rakhimova

Kamilla Rakhimova

25 - 25win/loss

Hard
10-13
I Hard
0-0
Clay
7-8
Grass
8-4
Rank
110
High
60
LLLWLLWLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 27-33 12-21 7-8 0-0 8-4 0-0
2024 38-34 26-23 9-9 0-0 3-2 0-0
2023 32-30 20-14 11-11 1-2 0-3 0-0
2022 33-27 14-12 6-10 10-3 3-2 0-0
2021 25-22 9-7 10-7 5-6 1-2 0-0

Ranked no. 65, Kamilla got to the 2nd round after beating Caroline Garcia 6-4 4-6 6-3.

In the 1st round, Rakhimova defeated Garcia (6-4 4-6 6-3). During the match Rakhimova scored 101 points vs Garcia’s 95. Kamilla was very aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Talking about serving, Rakhimova managed to score 2 aces and she was not very solid on her 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Kamilla Rakhimova lost the serve twice and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Rakhimova put 57% of her first serves in, winning 69% (43/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (24/46) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Garcia 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).

The Russian has a composed 25-25 win-loss record in 2025, 10-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See her history.

U.S. Open
Rakhimova's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

D.Kasatkina
K.Rakhimova
1h:18
1h:18
Time on court​
!
2h:17
2h:17
1h:18
1h:18
Last match​
!
2h:17
2h:17
1
1
Match played
1
1
19
19
Games Played​
29
29
2
2
Set played​​
3
3
66
66
Total points​
101
101
66
66
Avg point​
101
101
19
19
Winners
43
43
19
19
Avg Winners​
43
43
29%
29%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
2
2
2
2
Avg Aces
2
2
8
8
Double Faults
11
11
!
8
8
Avg Double Faults
!
11
11
19/33
19/33
1st won total​
43/62
43/62
58%
58%
1st won %
69%
69%
10/20
10/20
2nd won total​
24/46
24/46
50%
50%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
8/13
8/13
BP won
3/5
3/5
8/13
8/13
Avg BP won
3/5
3/5
!
62%
62%
Won
!
60%
60%
6
6
Conceded
10
10
6
6
Avg Conceded
10
10
4
4
Broken
2
2
4
4
Avg Broken
2
2
2
2
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Kasatkina Rakhimova
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 19 29
Pts 66-43 101-95
Total Points 109 196
Winners 19 43
%Winners 29% 43%

Both Kasatkina and Rakhimova played 1 match. At the moment, Kamilla Rakhimova lost 1 set while Daria Kasatkina hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Kasatkina has played 1 set(s) less than Rakhimova (2 vs 3). Therefore, Kasatkina played 10 games less than Rakhimova. Kasatkina scored 19 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian bagged 43 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Kasatkina Rakhimova
Aces 2 2
Avg per match 2 2
1st in 33/53 62/108
%1st in 62% 57%
1st pts 19/33 43/62
%1st pts 58% 69%
2nd pts 10/20 24/46
%2nd pts 50% 52%

Kasatkina made 2 aces . Rakhimova scored 2 aces . Kasatkina won 58% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Rakhimova won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Kasatkina Rakhimova
Won 8 3
Converted 8/13 3/5
% Converted 62% 60%
Conceded 6 10
Saved 2 8
% Saved 33% 80%
Times Broken 4 2

Kasatkina broke her opponent 8 times with a 62% conversion rate. Kasatkina conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Kamilla conceded her serve twice and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded.

Kasatkina
R1
Gabriela Ruse
Total
Score 7-5 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 66-43 66-43
Total points 109 109
Winners 19 19
%Winners 29% 29%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 8 8
1st in 33/53 33/53
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 19/33 19/33
% 1st pts 58% 58%
2nd pts 10/20 10/20
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 8 8
Converted 8/13 8/13
Converted % 62% 62%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 2/6 2
Saved % 33% 33%
Times Broken 4 4
Rakhimova
R1
Garcia
Total
Score 6-4 4-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 29 29
pts 101-95 101-95
Total points 196 196
Winners 43 43
%Winners 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 11 11
1st in 62/108 62/108
% 1st in 57% 57%
1st pts 43/62 43/62
% 1st pts 69% 69%
2nd pts 24/46 24/46
% 2nd pts 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/5 3/5
Converted % 60% 60%
Conceded 10 10
Saved 8/10 8
Saved % 80% 80%
Times Broken 2 2

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw