Magdalena Frech and Peyton Stearns will face off in the 2^nd round of the U.S. Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:00 pm on Court 6. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Peyton Stearns who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Peyton Stearns is the pick to win this match.
Peyton Stearns -> 1.61
Magdalena Frech -> 2.32

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Prediction and head to head Magdalena Frech vs. Peyton Stearns

This will be the 3^rd time that Magdalena Frech and Peyton Stearns square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Stearns (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Stearns won 6-2 6-4 in the qualifications in Montreal back in 2023.

Magdalena Frech

Ranked no. 33, Frech reached the 2^nd round after defeating Talia Gibson 6-2 6-2.

In the 1^st round, Magdalena had a good straight sets win against Gibson (6-2 6-2). During the match, Frech scored 60 points vs Gibson’s 40. Frech was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about the service games, Frech recorded 2 aces and she was very solid in conceding no double faults. Magdalena Frech lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Frech put 67% of her first serves in, winning 70% (23/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the 2nd serve. Magdalena broke Gibson 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).

Frech has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (358-261). 6-12 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Frech has a composed 148-114 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The Pole has a composed 11-21 win-loss record in 2025, 6-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Peyton Stearns

Ranked no. 54, the American reached the 2^nd round after defeating Darja Semenistaja 7-5 6-0.

In the 1^st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Semenistaja (7-5 6-0). During the match Stearns scored 65 points vs Semenistaja’s 45. Peyton was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.

About the serving games, Stearns struck 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Peyton Stearns was exceptionally effective on serve to win 92% (22/24) of her 1st serve and 60% (15/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Stearns broke Semenistaja 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).

Stearns’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Rome.

Stearns has a compiled 19-19 win-loss record in 2025, 9-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2023. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Frech	Stearns
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	16	18
Pts	60-40	65-45
Total Points	100	110
Winners	23	22
%Winners	38%	34%

Both Frech and Stearns played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Frech and Stearns have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Frech played 2 games less than Stearns. Frech scored 23 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Stearns bagged 22 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Frech	Stearns
Aces	2	6
Avg per match	2	6
1st in	33/49	24/49
%1st in	67%	49%
1st pts	23/33	22/24
%1st pts	70%	92%
2nd pts	9/16	15/25
%2nd pts	56%	60%

Frech fired 2 aces . Stearns recorded 6 aces . Frech won 70% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Stearns won 92% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Frech	Stearns
Won	5	4
Converted	5/8	4/6
% Converted	63%	67%
Conceded	3	0
Saved	2	0
% Saved	67%	0%
Times Broken	1	0

The Pole broke her opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Pole conceded her serve once and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Peyton broke her opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Peyton was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.

Frech
	R1 Gibson	Total
Score	6-2 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	16	16
pts	60-40	60-40
Total points	100	100
Winners	23	23
%Winners	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	33/49	33/49
% 1st in	67%	67%
1st pts	23/33	23/33
% 1st pts	70%	70%
2nd pts	9/16	9/16
% 2nd pts	56%	56%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/8	5/8
Converted %	63%	63%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	2/3	2
Saved %	67%	67%
Times Broken	1	1

Stearns
	R1 Semenistaja	Total
Score	7-5 6-0
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	65-45	65-45
Total points	110	110
Winners	22	22
%Winners	34%	34%
SERVE
Aces	6	6
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	24/49	24/49
% 1st in	49%	49%
1st pts	22/24	22/24
% 1st pts	92%	92%
2nd pts	15/25	15/25
% 2nd pts	60%	60%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/6	4/6
Converted %	67%	67%
Conceded	0	0
Saved	0/0	0
Saved %	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Janice TjenTjen (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Cristina BucsaBucsa – Alexandra EalaEala (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Emma NavarroNavarro – Caty McNallyMcNally (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Go SoedaSoeda – Salvatore CarusoCaruso (0-6 6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Marius CopilCopil – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (7-6⁵ 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jason JungJung – Alex BoltBolt (7-6² 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jiri VeselyVesely – Bjorn FratangeloFratangelo (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Antoine HoangHoang – Lukas LackoLacko (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano (4-6 6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ruben BemelmansBemelmans – Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Mikael YmerYmer – Brydan KleinKlein (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Yannick MadenMaden (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Soon-Woo KwonKwon – Gianluca MagerMager (4-6 6-2 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Lukas RosolRosol – Denis IstominIstomin (6-3 4-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Paul JubbJubb – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (4-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dennis NovakNovak – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (7-6⁵ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Marcel GranollersGranollers – Marcos GironGiron (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Yuichi SugitaSugita (7-6¹ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Gregoire BarrereBarrere – James DuckworthDuckworth (7-6³ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elsa JacquemotJacquemot – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elise MertensMertens – Lulu SunSun (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Cristina BucsaBucsa – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mccartney KesslerKessler – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Priscilla HonHon (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ann LiLi – Belinda BencicBencic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Taylor TownsendTownsend (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Renata ZarazuaZarazua – Diane ParryParry (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Zeynep SonmezSonmez – Marta KostyukKostyuk (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-5) – H2H and prediction
• Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hailey BaptisteBaptiste – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Magdalena FrechFrech – Peyton StearnsStearns (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Donna VekicVekic – Cori GauffGauff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jaqueline CristianCristian – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (1-4) – H2H and prediction
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Anna BondarBondar (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Xin Yu WangYu Wang (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasia ZakharovaZakharova – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Suzan LamensLamens – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-0) – H2H and prediction