Naomi Osaka and Hailey Baptiste will play each other in the 2^nd round of the U.S. Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.41
Hailey Baptiste -> 2.91

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Prediction and head to head Naomi Osaka vs. Hailey Baptiste

This will be the 3^rd time that Naomi Osaka and Hailey Baptiste face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Osaka (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Osaka won 7-6(6) 3-6 6-4 in the 3^rd round in Miami back in March 2025.

Highlights Naomi Osaka vs Hailey Baptiste – Miami 22-March-2025

Naomi Osaka

Ranked no. 24, Naomi got to the 2^nd round after defeating Greetje Minnen 6-3 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Naomi had a good straight sets win against Minnen (6-3 6-4). During the match, Osaka scored 69 points vs Minnen’s 49. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Osaka managed to score 7 aces and she was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Naomi Osaka lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Osaka put 58% of her first serves in, winning 68% (26/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. Naomi was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Minnen 6 times.

Osaka has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (242-124). 17-6 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Osaka has an aggregate 174-75 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title the Malo where she overcame Kaja Juvan in the final 6-1 7-5.

Naomi has a composed 28-12 win-loss record in 2025, 17-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Hailey Baptiste

Ranked no. 47 (career-high), the American reached the 2^nd round after defeating Katerina Siniakova 7-5 6-3.

In the 1^st round, Hailey had a good straight sets win against Siniakova (7-5 6-3). During the match Baptiste scored 72 points vs Siniakova’s 56. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Baptiste was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 7 double faults. Hailey Baptiste lost the serve 4 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Baptiste put 59% of her first serves in, winning 63% (27/43) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (14/30) on the 2nd serve. Hailey broke Siniakova 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).

The American has an overall 27-20 win-loss record in 2025, 10-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2020 and 2021. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Osaka	Baptiste
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	19	21
Pts	69-49	72-56
Total Points	118	128
Winners	26	27
%Winners	38%	38%

Both Osaka and Baptiste played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Osaka and Baptiste have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Osaka played 2 games less than Baptiste. The Japanese scored 26 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Baptiste struck 27 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Osaka	Baptiste
Aces	7	0
Avg per match	7	0
1st in	38/65	43/73
%1st in	58%	59%
1st pts	26/38	27/43
%1st pts	68%	63%
2nd pts	12/27	14/30
%2nd pts	44%	47%

Osaka fired 7 aces . Baptiste didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Osaka won 68% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Baptiste won 63% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Osaka	Baptiste
Won	6	6
Converted	6/6	6/10
% Converted	100%	60%
Conceded	7	13
Saved	4	9
% Saved	57%	69%
Times Broken	3	4

The Japanese broke her opponent 6 times with a 100% conversion rate. The Japanese dropped her serve 3 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Hailey broke her opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Hailey conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded.

Osaka
	R1 Minnen	Total
Score	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	19	19
pts	69-49	69-49
Total points	118	118
Winners	26	26
%Winners	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	7	7
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	38/65	38/65
% 1st in	58%	58%
1st pts	26/38	26/38
% 1st pts	68%	68%
2nd pts	12/27	12/27
% 2nd pts	44%	44%
Breaks
Won	6	6
Converted	6/6	6/6
Converted %	100%	100%
Conceded	7	7
Saved	4/7	4
Saved %	57%	57%
Times Broken	3	3

Baptiste
	R1 Siniakova	Total
Score	7-5 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	21	21
pts	72-56	72-56
Total points	128	128
Winners	27	27
%Winners	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	0	0
Double Faults	7	7
1st in	43/73	43/73
% 1st in	59%	59%
1st pts	27/43	27/43
% 1st pts	63%	63%
2nd pts	14/30	14/30
% 2nd pts	47%	47%
Breaks
Won	6	6
Converted	6/10	6/10
Converted %	60%	60%
Conceded	13	13
Saved	9/13	9
Saved %	69%	69%
Times Broken	4	4

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Cristina BucsaBucsa – Alexandra EalaEala (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Emma NavarroNavarro – Caty McNallyMcNally (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Janice TjenTjen (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Yannick MadenMaden (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Soon-Woo KwonKwon – Gianluca MagerMager (4-6 6-2 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Lukas RosolRosol – Denis IstominIstomin (6-3 4-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Go SoedaSoeda – Salvatore CarusoCaruso (0-6 6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Marius CopilCopil – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (7-6⁵ 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jason JungJung – Alex BoltBolt (7-6² 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jiri VeselyVesely – Bjorn FratangeloFratangelo (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Antoine HoangHoang – Lukas LackoLacko (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano (4-6 6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ruben BemelmansBemelmans – Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Mikael YmerYmer – Brydan KleinKlein (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Gregoire BarrereBarrere – James DuckworthDuckworth (7-6³ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Paul JubbJubb – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (4-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dennis NovakNovak – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (7-6⁵ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Marcel GranollersGranollers – Marcos GironGiron (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Yuichi SugitaSugita (7-6¹ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elsa JacquemotJacquemot – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elise MertensMertens – Lulu SunSun (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Cristina BucsaBucsa – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mccartney KesslerKessler – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Priscilla HonHon (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ann LiLi – Belinda BencicBencic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Taylor TownsendTownsend (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Renata ZarazuaZarazua – Diane ParryParry (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Zeynep SonmezSonmez – Marta KostyukKostyuk (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-5) – H2H and prediction
• Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hailey BaptisteBaptiste – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Magdalena FrechFrech – Peyton StearnsStearns (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Donna VekicVekic – Cori GauffGauff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jaqueline CristianCristian – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (1-4) – H2H and prediction
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Anna BondarBondar (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Xin Yu WangYu Wang (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasia ZakharovaZakharova – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Suzan LamensLamens – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-0) – H2H and prediction