Karolina Muchova and Sorana Cirstea will clash against each other in the 2^nd round of the U.S. Open for the 7^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:00 pm on Grandstand. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karolina Muchova who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Karolina Muchova is the pick to win this match.
Karolina Muchova -> 1.6
Sorana Cirstea -> 2.34

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Prediction and head to head Karolina Muchova vs. Sorana Cirstea

This will be the 7^th time that Karolina Muchova and Sorana Cirstea fight against each other. The head to head is 5-1 for Muchova (see full H2H stats), 5-1 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Muchova won 6-2 7-5 in the quarter in Dubai back in February 2025.

Highlights Karolina Muchova vs Sorana Cirstea – Dubai 20-February-2025

Karolina Muchova

Ranked no. 13, Muchova got to the 2^nd round after defeating Venus Williams 6-3 2-6 6-1.

In the 1^st round, Karolina defeated Williams (6-3 2-6 6-1). During the match, Muchova scored 85 points vs Williams’s 71. Karolina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about the service games, Muchova fired 7 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Karolina Muchova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Muchova put 70% of her first serves in, winning 79% (38/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 33% (7/21) on the 2nd serve. Muchova broke Williams 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).

Muchova has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 67% of her matches (243-120). 14-8 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Muchova has a compiled 126-53 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Muchova’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Australia, Linz and Dubai.

Muchova has a composed 17-12 win-loss record in 2025, 14-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Sorana Cirstea

Ranked no. 71, Cirstea got to the 2^nd round after defeating Solana Sierra 7-5 6-0.

In the 1^st round, Cirstea had a good straight sets win against Sierra (7-5 6-0). During the match Cirstea scored 66 points vs Sierra’s 44. The Romanian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about serving, Cirstea fired 4 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Sorana Cirstea was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 92% (22/24) of her 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sorana broke Sierra 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Cleveland where she defeated Ann Li in the final 6-2 6-4.

Cirstea has a compiled 22-14 win-loss record in 2025, 18-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Muchova	Cirstea
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	2
Tot Games	24	18
Pts	85-71	66-44
Total Points	156	110
Winners	38	22
%Winners	45%	33%

Both Muchova and Cirstea played 1 match. At the moment, Karolina Muchova surrendered 1 set while Sorana Cirstea hasn’t conceded a set so far. Muchova has played 1 set more than Cirstea (3 vs 2). Therefore, Muchova played 6 games more than Cirstea. Muchova scored 38 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Cirstea fired 22 winners (33%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Muchova	Cirstea
Aces	7	4
Avg per match	7	4
1st in	48/69	24/49
%1st in	70%	49%
1st pts	38/48	22/24
%1st pts	79%	92%
2nd pts	7/21	16/25
%2nd pts	33%	64%

Muchova blasted 7 aces . Cirstea recorded 4 aces . Muchova won 79% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 33% of the points. On the other side, Cirstea won 92% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 64% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Muchova	Cirstea
Won	5	4
Converted	5/12	4/5
% Converted	42%	80%
Conceded	7	1
Saved	4	1
% Saved	57%	100%
Times Broken	3	0

The Czech broke her opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Czech conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. The Romanian broke her opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Cirstea was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.

Muchova
	R1 Williams	Total
Score	6-3 2-6 6-1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	24	24
pts	85-71	85-71
Total points	156	156
Winners	38	38
%Winners	45%	45%
SERVE
Aces	7	7
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	48/69	48/69
% 1st in	70%	70%
1st pts	38/48	38/48
% 1st pts	79%	79%
2nd pts	7/21	7/21
% 2nd pts	33%	33%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/12	5/12
Converted %	42%	42%
Conceded	7	7
Saved	4/7	4
Saved %	57%	57%
Times Broken	3	3

Cirstea
	R1 Sierra	Total
Score	7-5 6-0
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	66-44	66-44
Total points	110	110
Winners	22	22
%Winners	33%	33%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	24/49	24/49
% 1st in	49%	49%
1st pts	22/24	22/24
% 1st pts	92%	92%
2nd pts	16/25	16/25
% 2nd pts	64%	64%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/5	4/5
Converted %	80%	80%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	1/1	1
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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• Emma NavarroNavarro – Caty McNallyMcNally (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Janice TjenTjen (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano (4-6 6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ruben BemelmansBemelmans – Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Mikael YmerYmer – Brydan KleinKlein (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Yannick MadenMaden (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Soon-Woo KwonKwon – Gianluca MagerMager (4-6 6-2 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Lukas RosolRosol – Denis IstominIstomin (6-3 4-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Go SoedaSoeda – Salvatore CarusoCaruso (0-6 6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Marius CopilCopil – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (7-6⁵ 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jason JungJung – Alex BoltBolt (7-6² 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jiri VeselyVesely – Bjorn FratangeloFratangelo (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Antoine HoangHoang – Lukas LackoLacko (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Marcel GranollersGranollers – Marcos GironGiron (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Yuichi SugitaSugita (7-6¹ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Gregoire BarrereBarrere – James DuckworthDuckworth (7-6³ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Paul JubbJubb – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (4-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dennis NovakNovak – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (7-6⁵ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Cristina BucsaCristina – Alexandra EalaAlexandra (6-4 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

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• Cristina BucsaBucsa – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
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• Zeynep SonmezSonmez – Marta KostyukKostyuk (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-5) – H2H and prediction
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• Hailey BaptisteBaptiste – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
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• Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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