Alexander Bublik and Tristan Schoolkate will play each other in the 2^nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:00 pm on Court 11. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Bublik who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Bublik is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Bublik -> 1.22
Tristan Schoolkate -> 4.3

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Tristan Schoolkate

There is no head to head record between Alexander Bublik and Tristan Schoolkate since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Alexander Bublik

Ranked no. 24, Alexander reached the 2^nd round after defeating Marin Cilic 6-4 6-1 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Alexander had a good straight sets win against Cilic (6-4 6-1 6-4). During the match, Bublik scored 90 points vs Cilic’s 67. Alexander was extremely aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Regarding the service games, Bublik bagged 16 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alexander Bublik conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 56% of his first serves in, winning 95% (42/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (16/35) on the 2nd serve. Bublik broke Cilic 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Bublik has good match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (357-259). 6-7 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Bublik has a compiled 133-106 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Turin Challenger where he beat Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 6-3 and in Halle where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and in Gstaad where he defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the final 6-4 4-6 6-3 and in Kitzbuhel where he defeated Arthur Cazaux in the final 6-4 6-3.

Bublik has an aggregate 36-17 win-loss record in 2025, 6-7 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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Previously at the U.S. Open

Tristan Schoolkate

Ranked no. 96 (career-high), Tristan got to the 2^nd round after beating Lorenzo Sonego 6-3 7-6(8) 1-6 1-6 7-6(6).

In the 1^st round, The Australian had a tough win against Sonego to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-3 7-6⁸ 1-6 1-6 7-6⁶).During the match Schoolkate scored less points (8) than Sonego. In fact, the world no. 24 won 164 points vs Sonego’s. That means that Schoolkate was more focused during the important points. Tristan was very aggressive to blast 69 winners.

Talking about serving, Schoolkate blasted 10 aces and he was not very solid on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Tristan Schoolkate lost the serve 6 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Schoolkate put 57% of his first serves in, winning 76% (69/91) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (34/68) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Sonego twice after converting 14% of his break points (2/14).

His best result of the season was winning the title the Brisbane 1 Challenger where he defeated Marek Gengel in the final 7-6(3) 7-6(4) and the Ilkley Challenger where he overcame Jack Pinnington Jones in the final 6-7(8) 6-4 6-3.

Tristan has an aggregate 40-26 win-loss record in 2025, 31-20 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Bublik	Schoolkate
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	5
Tot Games	27	49
Pts	90-67	164-172
Total Points	157	336
Winners	42	69
%Winners	47%	42%

Both Bublik and Schoolkate played 1 match. At the moment, Tristan Schoolkate lost 2 sets while Alexander Bublik hasn’t lost a set so far. Bublik has played 2 set(s) less than Schoolkate (3 vs 5). Therefore, Bublik played 22 games less than Schoolkate. The Kazakhstani scored 42 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Schoolkate scored 69 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Bublik	Schoolkate
Aces	16	10
Avg per match	16	10
1st in	44/79	91/159
%1st in	56%	57%
1st pts	42/44	69/91
%1st pts	95%	76%
2nd pts	16/35	34/68
%2nd pts	46%	50%

Bublik managed to score 16 aces . Schoolkate struck 10 aces . Bublik won 95% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Schoolkate won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Bublik	Schoolkate
Won	4	2
Converted	4/9	2/14
% Converted	44%	14%
Conceded	2	14
Saved	2	8
% Saved	100%	57%
Times Broken	0	6

Alexander broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani was rock solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 2 break points. Schoolkate broke his opponent twice with a 14% conversion rate. Schoolkate conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.

Bublik
	R1 Cilic	Total
Score	6-4 6-1 6-4
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	27	27
pts	90-67	90-67
Total points	157	157
Winners	42	42
%Winners	47%	47%
SERVE
Aces	16	16
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	44/79	44/79
% 1st in	56%	56%
1st pts	42/44	42/44
% 1st pts	95%	95%
2nd pts	16/35	16/35
% 2nd pts	46%	46%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/9	4/9
Converted %	44%	44%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	2/2	2
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Schoolkate
	R1 Sonego	Total
Score	6-3 7-68 1-6 1-6 7-66
Tot Set	5	5
Tot Games	49	49
pts	164-172	164-172
Total points	336	336
Winners	69	69
%Winners	42%	42%
SERVE
Aces	10	10
Double Faults	11	11
1st in	91/159	91/159
% 1st in	57%	57%
1st pts	69/91	69/91
% 1st pts	76%	76%
2nd pts	34/68	34/68
% 2nd pts	50%	50%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/14	2/14
Converted %	14%	14%
Conceded	14	14
Saved	8/14	8
Saved %	57%	57%
Times Broken	6	6

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (3-6 6-0 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Zizou BergsBergs – Jack DraperDraper (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Zachary SvajdaSvajda (6-7(5) 6-3 6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Tomas MachacMachac – Joao FonsecaFonseca (7-6(4) 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

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